TY - UNPD A1 - Verona, Fabio A1 - Martins, Manuel M. F. A1 - Drumond, InĂªs T1 - (Un)anticipated monetary policy in a DSGE model with a shadow banking system : [Version 21 Juni 2012] T2 - Working paper series / Institute for Monetary and Financial Stability ; 56 N2 - Motivated by the U.S. events of the 2000s, we address whether a too low for too long interest rate policy may generate a boom-bust cycle. We simulate anticipated and unanticipated monetary policies in state-of-the-art DSGE models and in a model with bond financing via a shadow banking system, in which the bond spread is calibrated for normal and optimistic times. Our results suggest that the U.S. boom-bust was caused by the combination of (i) too low for too long interest rates, (ii) excessive optimism and (iii) a failure of agents to anticipate the extent of the abnormally favorable conditions. T3 - Working paper series / Institute for Monetary and Financial Stability - 56 KW - DSGE model KW - shadow banking system KW - too low for too long KW - boom-bust Y1 - 2012 UR - http://publikationen.ub.uni-frankfurt.de/frontdoor/index/index/docId/26869 UR - https://nbn-resolving.org/urn:nbn:de:hebis:30:3-268698 UR - http://www.imfs-frankfurt.de/fileadmin/user_upload/pdf/WP_56.pdf IS - 21 Juni 2012 ER -