TY - UNPD A1 - Kaustia, Markku A1 - Lehtoranta, Antti A1 - Puttonen, Vesa T1 - Does sophistication affect long-term return expectations? : Evidence from financial advisers' exam scores T2 - SAFE working paper series ; No. 3 N2 - We use unique data from financial advisers’ professional exam scores and combine it with other variables to create an index of financial sophistication. Using this index to explain long-term stock return expectations, we find that more sophisticated financial advisers tend to have lower return expectations. A one standard deviation increase in the sophistication index reduces expected returns by 1.1 percentage points. The effect is stronger for emerging market stocks (2.3 percentage points). The sophistication effect contributes 60% to the model fit, while employer fixed effects combined contribute less than 30%. These results help understand the formation of potentially excessively optimistic expectations. T3 - SAFE working paper - 3 KW - stock return expectations KW - sophistication KW - financial literacy KW - adviser Y1 - 2013 UR - http://publikationen.ub.uni-frankfurt.de/frontdoor/index/index/docId/29371 UR - https://nbn-resolving.org/urn:nbn:de:hebis:30:3-293716 UR - http://ssrn.com/abstract=2209649 PB - Goethe-Univ., House of Finance, Sustainable Architecture for Finance in Europe, SAFE CY - Frankfurt am Main ER -