TY - JOUR A1 - Bahls, Martin A1 - Lorenz, Matthias W. A1 - Dörr, Marcus A1 - Gao, Lu A1 - Kitagawa, Kazuo A1 - Tuomainen, Tomi-Pekka A1 - Agewall, Stefan A1 - Berenson, Gerald A1 - Catapano, Alberico L. A1 - Norata, Giuseppe D. A1 - Bots, Michiel L. A1 - Gilst, Wiek van A1 - Asselbergs, Folkert W. A1 - Brouwers, Frank P. A1 - Uthoff, Heiko A1 - Sander, Dirk A1 - Poppert, Holger A1 - Hecht Olsen, Michael A1 - Empana, Jean Philippe A1 - Schminke, Ulf A1 - Baldassarre, Damiano A1 - Veglia, Fabrizio A1 - Franco, Oscar H. A1 - Kavousi, Maryam A1 - Groot, Eric de A1 - Mathiesen, Ellisiv B. A1 - Grigore, Liliana A1 - Polak, Joseph F. A1 - Rundek, Tatjana A1 - Stehouwer, Coen D. A. A1 - Skilton, Michael R. A1 - Hatzitolios, Apostolos I. A1 - Savopoulos, Christos A1 - Ntaios, George A1 - Plichart, Matthieu A1 - McLachlan, Stela A1 - Lind, Lars A1 - Willeit, Peter A1 - Steinmetz, Helmuth A1 - Desvarieux, Moise A1 - Ikram, M. Arfan A1 - Johnsen, Stein Harald A1 - Schmidt, Caroline A1 - Willeit, Johann A1 - Ducimetiere, Pierre A1 - Price, Jackie F. A1 - Bergström, Göran A1 - Kauhanen, Jussi A1 - Kiechl, Stefan A1 - Sitzer, Matthias A1 - Bickel, Horst A1 - Sacco, Ralph L. A1 - Hofman, Albert A1 - Völzke, Henry A1 - Thompson, Simon G. T1 - Progression of conventional cardiovascular risk factors and vascular disease risk in individuals: insights from the PROG-IMT consortium T2 - European Journal of Preventive Cardiology N2 - Aims: Averaged measurements, but not the progression based on multiple assessments of carotid intima-media thickness, (cIMT) are predictive of cardiovascular disease (CVD) events in individuals. Whether this is true for conventional risk factors is unclear. Methods and results: An individual participant meta-analysis was used to associate the annualised progression of systolic blood pressure, total cholesterol, low-density lipoprotein cholesterol and high-density lipoprotein cholesterol with future cardiovascular disease risk in 13 prospective cohort studies of the PROG-IMT collaboration (n = 34,072). Follow-up data included information on a combined cardiovascular disease endpoint of myocardial infarction, stroke, or vascular death. In secondary analyses, annualised progression was replaced with average. Log hazard ratios per standard deviation difference were pooled across studies by a random effects meta-analysis. In primary analysis, the annualised progression of total cholesterol was marginally related to a higher cardiovascular disease risk (hazard ratio (HR) 1.04, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.00 to 1.07). The annualised progression of systolic blood pressure, low-density lipoprotein cholesterol and high-density lipoprotein cholesterol was not associated with future cardiovascular disease risk. In secondary analysis, average systolic blood pressure (HR 1.20 95% CI 1.11 to 1.29) and low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HR 1.09, 95% CI 1.02 to 1.16) were related to a greater, while high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HR 0.92, 95% CI 0.88 to 0.97) was related to a lower risk of future cardiovascular disease events. Conclusion: Averaged measurements of systolic blood pressure, low-density lipoprotein cholesterol and high-density lipoprotein cholesterol displayed significant linear relationships with the risk of future cardiovascular disease events. However, there was no clear association between the annualised progression of these conventional risk factors in individuals with the risk of future clinical endpoints. KW - risk factors KW - CVD biomarker KW - risk factor progression Y1 - 2020 UR - http://publikationen.ub.uni-frankfurt.de/frontdoor/index/index/docId/55391 UR - https://nbn-resolving.org/urn:nbn:de:hebis:30:3-553917 SN - 2047-4881 SN - 2047-4873 VL - 27 IS - 3 SP - 234 EP - 242 PB - SAGE Publications CY - London ER -