TY - JOUR A1 - Friebel, Guido A1 - Manchin, Miriam A1 - Mendola, Mariapia A1 - Prarolo, Giovanni T1 - International migration and illegal costs: evidence from Africa-to-Europe smuggling routes T2 - Journal of international economics N2 - The 2011 Arab Spring marked the opening of the Central Mediterranean Route for irregular border crossings between Libya and Italy, which produced heterogeneous reductions of bilateral smuggling distances between country pairs in the Mediterranean region. We exploit this source of spatial and temporal variation in bilateral distance along land and sea routes to estimate the elasticity of irregular migration intentions for African and Near East countries. We estimate an elasticity of migration intentions to smuggling distances exceeding −3, mainly driven by countries with weak rule of law and high internet penetration. Our findings are consistent across irregular migration measures both at the aggregate and individual levels. We show that irregular migration elasticity is higher for youth, relatively skilled individuals and those with an informative advantage (having a social network abroad or a mobile phone). KW - International migration KW - Human smuggling KW - Illegal migration KW - Arab spring Y1 - 2024 UR - http://publikationen.ub.uni-frankfurt.de/frontdoor/index/index/docId/82850 UR - https://nbn-resolving.org/urn:nbn:de:hebis:30:3-828508 SN - 0022-1996 VL - 148 IS - 103878 PB - Elsevier CY - Amsterdam ER -