TY - UNPD A1 - Kubitza, Christian A1 - Grochola, Nicolaus A1 - Gründl, Helmut T1 - Life insurance convexity N2 - Life insurers sell savings contracts with surrender options, which allow policyholders to prematurely receive guaranteed surrender values. These surrender options move toward the money when interest rates rise. Hence, higher interest rates raise surrender rates, as we document empirically by exploiting plausibly exogenous variation in monetary policy. Using a calibrated model, we then estimate that surrender options would force insurers to sell up to 2% of their investments during an enduring interest rate rise of 25 bps per year. We show that these fire sales are fueled by surrender value guarantees and insurers’ long-term investments. T3 - ICIR Working Paper Series - No. 42 [21.6.2023] KW - Life Insurance KW - Liquidity Risk KW - Interest Rates KW - Surrender Options KW - Systemic Risk KW - Lebensversicherung KW - Liquiditätsrisiko KW - Zinssätze KW - Notverkäufe KW - systemisches Risiko Y1 - 2023 UR - http://publikationen.ub.uni-frankfurt.de/frontdoor/index/index/docId/77262 UR - https://nbn-resolving.org/urn:nbn:de:hebis:30:3-772621 UR - https://www.icir.de/fileadmin/user_upload/editors/documents/working_papers/22_kubitza_etal_life_insurance_convexity.pdf PB - International Center for Insurance Regulation CY - Frankfurt am Main ER -