@misc{Ahrens1999, author = {Ralf Ahrens}, title = {Predicting recessions with interest rate spreads: a multicountry regime-switching analysis}, booktitle = {Center for Financial Studies (Frankfurt am Main): CFS working paper series ; No. 1999,15}, institution = {Center for Financial Studies (CFS)}, series = {CFS working paper series}, number = {1999, 15}, type = {workingpaper}, year = {1999}, }