The impact of reasons for credit rating announcements in equity and CDS markets

  • Over the last four decades the literature on bond rating changes and its effects on security prices increased significantly with almost all studies not controlling for the respective reason for those. We therefore investigate the impact of rating events on the stock and the credit default swap (CDS) market incorporating rating reviews and rating changes together with the reason mentioned by the rating agency. Our results for the general effects are in line with prior findings but conditioning on the respective reason shows that the markets’ anticipation of rating actions is largely driven by events due to changes in firms’ operating performance. Furthermore, we provide empirical evidence for the hypothesis in prior literature that a surprise downgrade does not necessarily have to be bad news for stockholders when wealth is transferred from bondholders, but negative rating actions are always bad news for bondholders. The results additionally reveal increasing rating announcement effects by declining credit quality of firms for both rating reviews and changes. JEL Classification: D82, G14, G20. Keywords: Credit Default Swaps, Credit Ratings, Credit Rating Reasons, Event Study.

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Metadaten
Author:Björn Imbierowicz, Mark WahrenburgORCiDGND
URN:urn:nbn:de:hebis:30-70263
Document Type:Report
Language:English
Date of Publication (online):2009/09/16
Year of first Publication:2009
Publishing Institution:Universitätsbibliothek Johann Christian Senckenberg
Release Date:2009/09/16
Tag:Credit Default Swaps; Credit Rating Reasons; Credit Ratings; Event Study
Issue:Version: March 26, 2009
Page Number:26
HeBIS-PPN:218472072
Institutes:Wirtschaftswissenschaften / Wirtschaftswissenschaften
Dewey Decimal Classification:3 Sozialwissenschaften / 33 Wirtschaft / 330 Wirtschaft
Licence (German):License LogoDeutsches Urheberrecht