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Did consumers want less debt? Consumer credit demand versus supply in the wake of the 2008-2009 financial crisis : [version january 2014]

  • We explore the sources of household balance sheet adjustment following the collapse of the housing market in 2006. First, we use microdata from the Federal Reserve Board’s Senior Loan Officer Opinion Survey to document that banks cumulatively tightened consumer lending standards more in counties that experienced a house price boom in the mid-2000s than in non-boom counties. We then use the idea that renters, unlike homeowners, did not experience an adverse wealth shock when the housing market collapsed to examine the relative importance of two explanations for the observed deleveraging and the sluggish pickup in consumption after 2008. First, households may have optimally adjusted to lower wealth by reducing their demand for debt and implicitly, their demand for consumption. Alternatively, banks may have been more reluctant to lend in areas with pronounced real estate declines. Our evidence is consistent with the second explanation. Renters with low risk scores, compared to homeowners in the same markets, reduced their levels of nonmortgage debt and credit card debt more in counties where house prices fell more. The contrast suggests that the observed reductions in aggregate borrowing were more driven by cutbacks in the provision of credit than by a demand-based response to lower housing wealth.

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Metadaten
Verfasserangaben:Reint GroppGND, John Krainer, Elizabeth Laderman
URN:urn:nbn:de:hebis:30:3-333113
URL:http://ssrn.com/abstract=2402086
DOI:https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2402086
Titel des übergeordneten Werkes (Deutsch):SAFE working paper series ; No. 42
Schriftenreihe (Bandnummer):SAFE working paper (42)
Verlag:SAFE
Verlagsort:Frankfurt am Main
Dokumentart:Arbeitspapier
Sprache:Englisch
Jahr der Fertigstellung:2014
Jahr der Erstveröffentlichung:2014
Veröffentlichende Institution:Universitätsbibliothek Johann Christian Senckenberg
Datum der Freischaltung:21.03.2014
Freies Schlagwort / Tag:credit supply; deleveraging; financial crisis; households
Ausgabe / Heft:version january 2014
HeBIS-PPN:348921691
Institute:Wirtschaftswissenschaften / Wirtschaftswissenschaften
Wissenschaftliche Zentren und koordinierte Programme / House of Finance (HoF)
Wissenschaftliche Zentren und koordinierte Programme / Center for Financial Studies (CFS)
Wissenschaftliche Zentren und koordinierte Programme / Sustainable Architecture for Finance in Europe (SAFE)
DDC-Klassifikation:3 Sozialwissenschaften / 33 Wirtschaft / 330 Wirtschaft
Sammlungen:Universitätspublikationen
Lizenz (Deutsch):License LogoDeutsches Urheberrecht