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Precautionary saving and the marginal propensity to consume out of permanent income

  • The budget constraint requires that, eventually, consumption must adjust fully to any permanent shock to income. Intuition suggests that, knowing this, optimizing agents will fully adjust their spending immediately upon experiencing a permanent shock. However, this paper shows that if consumers are impatient and are subject to transitory as well as permanent shocks, the optimal marginal propensity to consume out of permanent shocks (the MPCP) is strictly less than 1, because buffer stock savers have a target wealth-to-permanent-income ratio; a positive shock to permanent income moves the ratio below its target, temporarily boosting saving. Keywords: Risk, Uncertainty, Consumption, Precautionary Saving, Buffer Stock Saving, Permanent Income Hypothesis.

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Metadaten
Verfasserangaben:Christopher D. Carroll
URN:urn:nbn:de:hebis:30-68357
Titel des übergeordneten Werkes (Deutsch):Center for Financial Studies (Frankfurt am Main): CFS working paper series ; No. 2009,16
Schriftenreihe (Bandnummer):CFS working paper series (2009, 16)
Dokumentart:Arbeitspapier
Sprache:Englisch
Jahr der Fertigstellung:2009
Jahr der Erstveröffentlichung:2009
Veröffentlichende Institution:Universitätsbibliothek Johann Christian Senckenberg
Datum der Freischaltung:14.08.2009
Freies Schlagwort / Tag:Buffer Stock Saving; Consumption; Permanent Income Hypothesis; Precautionary Saving; Risk; Uncertainty
GND-Schlagwort:Sparen
HeBIS-PPN:214929426
Institute:Wissenschaftliche Zentren und koordinierte Programme / Center for Financial Studies (CFS)
DDC-Klassifikation:3 Sozialwissenschaften / 33 Wirtschaft / 330 Wirtschaft
Lizenz (Deutsch):License LogoDeutsches Urheberrecht