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Accelerating scientific and technological progress and forecasting accuracy

  • In this article, the author shows that progress of info-communications is a key factor of society changes, as it radically changes the key aspects of human life. Studying the time of progress and comparing it with the most important anthropic characteristic - length of human life, he comes to the conclusion that our generation has witnessed the tipping point in the rate of development of human civilization. This showing up in the fact that the present stage of the scientific and technological advance lead to the transformation, perhaps on the same scale, what were the appearance of written language and publishing, but these multiple fundamental changes in the life of society occur within the life of a single generation. In these circumstances, the task of forecasting, in its traditional setting, is becoming increasingly inaccurate. According to the author, the only possibility is to venture outside the framework of formal logic and technocratic approaches and try to find answers to these questions by generating new meanings of the realities surrounding us and in this context philosophy has a special role.

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Metadaten
Verfasserangaben:Irina Shestakova
URN:urn:nbn:de:hebis:30:3-330610
Titel des übergeordneten Werkes (Deutsch):Journal of religious culture = Journal für Religionskultur
Schriftenreihe (Bandnummer):Journal of religious culture = Journal für Religionskultur (186)
Verlag:Goethe-Univ.
Verlagsort:Frankfurt am Main
Dokumentart:Ausgabe (Heft) zu einer Zeitschrift
Sprache:Englisch
Jahr der Fertigstellung:2014
Jahr der Erstveröffentlichung:2014
Veröffentlichende Institution:Universitätsbibliothek Johann Christian Senckenberg
Datum der Freischaltung:10.03.2014
Freies Schlagwort / Tag:planning horizons; progress; speed of societal changes; strategic planning; the area of incorrect forecasting; the dimensionless characteristic time of progress; time of one generation life
Ausgabe / Heft:186
Seitenzahl:7
Erste Seite:1
Letzte Seite:7
HeBIS-PPN:348522819
Institute:Evangelische Theologie / Evangelische Theologie
DDC-Klassifikation:2 Religion / 29 Andere Religionen / 290 Andere Religionen
Sammlungen:Universitätspublikationen
Lizenz (Deutsch):License LogoDeutsches Urheberrecht