Measurement of contagion in banks' equity prices

  • This paper uses the co-incidence of extreme shocks to banks’ risk to examine within country and across country contagion among large EU banks. Banks’ risk is measured by the first difference of weekly distances to default and abnormal returns. Using Monte Carlo simulations, the paper examines whether the observed frequency of large shocks experienced by two or more banks simultaneously is consistent with the assumption of a multivariate normal or a student t distribution. Further, the paper proposes a simple metric, which is used to identify contagion from one bank to another and identify “systemically important” banks in the EU.

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Metadaten
Author:Reint GroppGND, Gerard Moerman
URN:urn:nbn:de:hebis:30:3-333263
URL:http://ssrn.com/abstract=926280
ISSN:1561-0810
ISSN:1725-2806
Parent Title (German):European Central Bank: Working paper series ; No. 297
Series (Serial Number):European Central Bank: Working paper series (297)
Publisher:Europ. Central Bank
Place of publication:Frankfurt am Main
Document Type:Working Paper
Language:English
Year of Completion:2003
Year of first Publication:2003
Publishing Institution:Universitätsbibliothek Johann Christian Senckenberg
Release Date:2014/03/20
Tag:Banking; Contagion; Monte Carlo simulations
GND Keyword:Europäische Union; Schock <Wirtschaft>; Monte-Carlo-Simulation
Page Number:58 S.
Note:
© European Central Bank, 2003. All rights reserved. Reproduction for educational and non-commercial purposes is permitted provided that the source is acknowledged. The views expressed in this paper do not necessarily reflect those of the European Central Bank.
HeBIS-PPN:347254276
Institutes:Wirtschaftswissenschaften / Wirtschaftswissenschaften
Wissenschaftliche Zentren und koordinierte Programme / Sustainable Architecture for Finance in Europe (SAFE)
Dewey Decimal Classification:3 Sozialwissenschaften / 33 Wirtschaft / 330 Wirtschaft
Sammlungen:Universitätspublikationen
Licence (German):License LogoDeutsches Urheberrecht