Personalized preoperative prediction of the length of hospital stay after TAVI using a dedicated decision tree algorithm

  • Background: The aim of this study was to identify pre-operative parameters able to predict length of stay (LoS) based on clinical data and patient-reported outcome measures (PROMs) from a scorecard database in patients with significant aortic stenosis who underwent TAVI (transfemoral aortic valve implantation). Methods: 302 participants (51.7% males, age range 78.2–84.2 years.) were prospectively recruited. After computing the median LoS value (=6 days, range = 5–8 days), we implemented a decision tree algorithm by setting dichotomized values at median LoS as the dependent variable and assessed baseline clinical variables and PROMs (Clinical Frailty Scale (CFS), EuroQol-5 Dimension-5 Levels (EQ-5D) and Kansas City Cardiomyopathy Questionnaire (KCCQ)) as potential predictors. Results: Among clinical parameters, only peripheral arterial disease (p = 0.029, HR = 1.826) and glomerular filtration rate (GFR, cut-off < 33 mL/min/1.73 m2, p = 0.003, HR = 2.252) were predictive of LoS. Additionally, two PROMs (CFS; cut-off = 3, p < 0.001, HR = 1.324 and KCCQ; cut-off = 30, p = 0.003, HR = 2.274) were strong predictors. Further, a risk score for LoS (RS_LoS) was calculated based on these predictors. Patients with RS_LoS = 0 had a median LoS of 5 days; patients RS_LoS ≥ 3 had a median LoS of 8 days. Conclusions: based on the pre-operative values of the above four predictors, a personalized prediction of LoS after TAVI can be achieved.

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Author:Maria ZisiopoulouORCiDGND, Alexander BerkowitschGND, Ralf Neuber, Haralampos Theodoros GouverisORCiDGND, Stephan Fichtlscherer, Thomas WaltherGND, Mariuca Vasa-NicoteraORCiDGND, Philipp SeppeltORCiDGND
URN:urn:nbn:de:hebis:30:3-827322
DOI:https://doi.org/10.3390/jpm12030346
ISSN:2075-4426
Parent Title (English):Journal of Personalized Medicine
Publisher:MDPI
Place of publication:Basel
Document Type:Article
Language:English
Date of Publication (online):2022/02/24
Date of first Publication:2022/02/24
Publishing Institution:Universitätsbibliothek Johann Christian Senckenberg
Release Date:2024/03/12
Tag:TAVI; algorithm; aortic stenosis; decision tree; hospital length of stay; patient-reported outcomes; prediction
Volume:12
Issue:3, art. 346
Article Number:346
Page Number:12
First Page:1
Last Page:12
Institutes:Medizin
Dewey Decimal Classification:6 Technik, Medizin, angewandte Wissenschaften / 61 Medizin und Gesundheit / 610 Medizin und Gesundheit
Sammlungen:Universitätspublikationen
Licence (German):License LogoCreative Commons - CC BY - Namensnennung 4.0 International