TY - UNPD A1 - Jaschke, Stefan A1 - Stahl, Gerhard A1 - Stehle, Richard T1 - Evaluating VaR forecasts under stress: the German experience T2 - Center for Financial Studies (Frankfurt am Main): CFS working paper series ; No. 2003,32 N2 - We present an analysis of VaR forecasts and P&L-series of all 13 German banks that used internal models for regulatory purposes in the year 2001. To this end, we introduce the notion of well-behaved forecast systems. Furthermore, we provide a series of statistical tools to perform our analyses. The results shed light on the forecast quality of VaR models of the individual banks, the regulator's portfolio as a whole, and the main ingredients of the computation of the regulatory capital required by the Basel rules. T3 - CFS working paper series - 2003, 32 KW - banking supervision KW - VaR KW - exploratory data analysis KW - backtesting KW - Value at Risk KW - Deutschland KW - Bank KW - Prognose Y1 - 2003 UR - http://publikationen.ub.uni-frankfurt.de/frontdoor/index/index/docId/4466 UR - https://nbn-resolving.org/urn:nbn:de:hebis:30-10376 IS - October 2003 ER -