A potential sudden stop of energy imports from Russia: Effects on energy security and economic output in Germany and the EU

  • The Russian war of aggression against Ukraine since 24 February 2022 has intensified the discussion of Europe’s reliance on energy imports from Russia. A ban on Russian imports of oil, natural gas and coal has already been imposed by the United States, while the United Kingdom plans to cease imports of oil and coal from Russia by the end of 2022. The German Federal Government is currently opposing an energy embargo against Russia. However, the Federal Ministry for Economic Affairs and Climate Action is working on a strategy to reduce energy imports from Russia. In this paper, the authors give an overview of the German and European reliance on energy imports from Russia with a focus on gas imports and discuss price effects, alternative suppliers of natural gas, and the potential for saving and replacing natural gas. They also provide an overview of estimates of the consequences on the economic outlook if the conflict intensifies.

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Author:Eva M. BergerGND, Sylwia BialekORCiDGND, Niklas GarnadtGND, Veronika GrimmORCiDGND, Lars OtherGND, Leonard SalzmannORCiDGND, Monika SchnitzerGND, Achim TrugerGND, Volker WielandORCiDGND
URN:urn:nbn:de:hebis:30:3-651772
URL:https://www.imfs-frankfurt.de/de/forschung/imfs-working-papers/details/mm_publication/detail/publication/a-potential-sudden-stop-of-energy-imports-from-russia-effects-on-energy-security-and-economic-outpu.html
Parent Title (English):Working paper series / Institute for Monetary and Financial Stability ; 166
Series (Serial Number):Working paper series / Institute for Monetary and Financial Stability (166)
Publisher:Johann Wolfgang Goethe-Univ., Inst. for Monetary and Financial Stability
Place of publication:Frankfurt am Main
Document Type:Working Paper
Language:English
Year of Completion:2022
Year of first Publication:2022
Publishing Institution:Universitätsbibliothek Johann Christian Senckenberg
Release Date:2022/05/04
Issue:April 2022
Page Number:29
Institutes:Wirtschaftswissenschaften / Wirtschaftswissenschaften
Wissenschaftliche Zentren und koordinierte Programme / Institute for Monetary and Financial Stability (IMFS)
Wissenschaftliche Zentren und koordinierte Programme / House of Finance (HoF)
Dewey Decimal Classification:3 Sozialwissenschaften / 33 Wirtschaft / 330 Wirtschaft
Sammlungen:Universitätspublikationen
Licence (German):License LogoDeutsches Urheberrecht