Inflation and unemployment revisited: grease vs. sand

As inflation rates in the United States decline, analysts are asking if there are economic reasons to hold the rates at levels above zero. Previous studies of whether inflation "greases the wheels" of the labor market ig
As inflation rates in the United States decline, analysts are asking if there are economic reasons to hold the rates at levels above zero. Previous studies of whether inflation "greases the wheels" of the labor market ignore inflation's potential for disrupting wage patterns in the same market. This paper outlines an institutionally-based model of wage-setting that allows the benefits of inflation (downward wage flexibility) to be separated from disruptive uncertainty about inflation rate (undue variation in relative prices). Our estimates, using a unique 40-year panel of wage changes made by large mid-western employers, suggest that low rates of inflation do help the economy to adjust to changes in labor supply and demand. However, when inflation's disruptive effects are balanced against this benefit the labor market justification for pursuing a positive long-term inflation goal effectively disappears.
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Metadaten
Author:Erica L. Groshen, Mark E. Schweitzer
URN:urn:nbn:de:hebis:30-9568
URL:https://www.ifk-cfs.de/788.html
Parent Title (German):Institut für Kapitalmarktforschung (Frankfurt am Main): CFS working paper series ; No. 1999,06
Series (Serial Number):CFS working paper series (1999, 06)
Publisher:Inst. für Kapitalmarktforschung
Place of publication:Frankfurt am Main
Document Type:Working Paper
Language:English
Year of Completion:1999
Year of first Publication:1999
Publishing Institution:Universitätsbibliothek Johann Christian Senckenberg
Release Date:2005/06/13
Tag:Inflation ; Nominal Wage Rigidity ; Wage Setting
SWD-Keyword:Arbeitsloser; Arbeitslosigkeit; Arbeitsmarkttheorie; Beschäftigungstheorie; Beschäftigungswirkung; Inflation
Issue:Version: August 1998
Pagenumber:17
Last Page:16
HeBIS PPN:197808875
Institutes:Center for Financial Studies (CFS)
Dewey Decimal Classification:330 Wirtschaft
JEL-Classification:E31 Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
E52 Monetary Policy
J30 General
Sammlungen:Universitätspublikationen
Licence (German):License Logo Veröffentlichungsvertrag für Publikationen

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