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Wed, 25 Jun 2014 17:05:32 +0200Wed, 25 Jun 2014 17:05:32 +0200Consumption and wage humps in a life-cycle model with education
http://publikationen.ub.uni-frankfurt.de/frontdoor/index/index/docId/34326
he observed hump-shaped life-cycle pattern in individuals' consumption cannot be explained by the classical consumption-savings model. We explicitly solve a model with utility of both consumption and leisure and with educational decisions affecting future wages. We show optimal consumption is hump shaped and determine the peak age. The hump results from consumption and leisure being substitutes and from the implicit price of leisure being decreasing over time; more leisure means less education, which lowers future wages, and the present value of foregone wages decreases with age. Consumption is hump shaped whether the wage is hump shaped or increasing over life.Holger Kraft; Claus Munk; Frank Thomas Seifried; Mogens Steffensenworkingpaperhttp://publikationen.ub.uni-frankfurt.de/frontdoor/index/index/docId/34326Wed, 25 Jun 2014 17:05:32 +0200Asset pricing and consumption-portfolio choice with recursive utility and unspanned risk
http://publikationen.ub.uni-frankfurt.de/frontdoor/index/index/docId/34180
We study consumption-portfolio and asset pricing frameworks with recursive preferences and unspanned risk. We show that in both cases, portfolio choice and asset pricing, the value function of the investor/representative agent can be characterized by a specific semilinear partial differential equation. To date, the solution to this equation has mostly been approximated by Campbell-Shiller techniques, without addressing general issues of existence and uniqueness. We develop a novel approach that rigorously constructs the solution by a fixed point argument. We prove that under regularity conditions a solution exists and establish a fast and accurate numerical method to solve consumption-portfolio and asset pricing problems with recursive preferences and unspanned risk. Our setting is not restricted to affine asset price dynamics. Numerical examples illustrate our approach.Holger Kraft; Thomas Seiferling; Frank Thomas Seifriedworkingpaperhttp://publikationen.ub.uni-frankfurt.de/frontdoor/index/index/docId/34180Tue, 17 Jun 2014 15:58:40 +0200Stochastic differential utility as the continuous-time limit of recursive utility
http://publikationen.ub.uni-frankfurt.de/frontdoor/index/index/docId/30570
We establish a convergence theorem that shows that discrete-time recursive utility, as developed by Kreps and Porteus (1978), converges to stochastic differential utility, as introduced by Dufffie and Epstein (1992), in the continuous-time limit of vanishing grid size.Holger Kraft; Frank Thomas Seifriedworkingpaperhttp://publikationen.ub.uni-frankfurt.de/frontdoor/index/index/docId/30570Thu, 27 Jun 2013 16:09:30 +0200Consumption habits and humps
http://publikationen.ub.uni-frankfurt.de/frontdoor/index/index/docId/30568
We show that the optimal consumption of an individual over the life cycle can have the hump shape (inverted U-shape) observed empirically if the preferences of the individual exhibit internal habit formation. In the absence of habit formation, an impatient individual would prefer a decreasing consumption path over life. However, because of habit formation, a high initial consumption would lead to high required consumption in the future. To cover the future required consumption, wealth is set aside, but the necessary amount decreases with age which allows consumption to increase in the early part of life. At some age, the impatience outweighs the habit concerns so that consumption starts to decrease. We derive the optimal consumption strategy in closed form, deduce sufficient conditions for the presence of a consumption hump, and characterize the age at which the hump occurs. Numerical examples illustrate our findings. We show that our model calibrates well to U.S. consumption data from the Consumer Expenditure Survey.Holger Kraft; Claus Munk; Frank Thomas Seifried; Sebastian Wagnerworkingpaperhttp://publikationen.ub.uni-frankfurt.de/frontdoor/index/index/docId/30568Thu, 27 Jun 2013 15:22:20 +0200Foundations of continuous-time recursive utility : differentiability and normalization of certainty equivalents
http://publikationen.ub.uni-frankfurt.de/frontdoor/index/index/docId/6243
This paper relates recursive utility in continuous time to its discrete-time origins and provides a rigorous and intuitive alternative to a heuristic approach presented in [Duffie, Epstein 1992], who formally define recursive utility in continuous time via backward stochastic differential equations (stochastic differential utility). Furthermore, we show that the notion of Gâteaux differentiability of certainty equivalents used in their paper has to be replaced by a different concept. Our approach allows us to address the important issue of normalization of aggregators in non-Brownian settings. We show that normalization is always feasible if the certainty equivalent of the aggregator is of expected utility type. Conversely, we prove that in general L´evy frameworks this is essentially also necessary, i.e. aggregators that are not of expected utility type cannot be normalized in general. Besides, for these settings we clarify the relationship of our approach to stochastic differential utility and, finally, establish dynamic programming results. JEL Classifications: D81, D91, C61Holger Kraft; Frank Thomas Seifriedworkingpaperhttp://publikationen.ub.uni-frankfurt.de/frontdoor/index/index/docId/6243Fri, 13 Mar 2009 11:12:36 +0100