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- A multi-model intercomparison of halogenated very short-lived substances (TransCom-VSLS) : linking oceanic emissions and tropospheric transport for a reconciled estimate of the stratospheric source gas injection of bromine (2016)
- The first concerted multi-model intercomparison of halogenated very short-lived substances (VSLS) has been performed, within the framework of the ongoing Atmospheric Tracer Transport Model Intercomparison Project (TransCom). Eleven global models or model variants participated, simulating the major natural bromine VSLS, bromoform (CHBr3) and dibromomethane (CH2Br2), over a 20-year period (1993-2012). The overarching goal of TransCom-VSLS was to provide a reconciled model estimate of the stratospheric source gas injection (SGI) of bromine from these gases, to constrain the current measurement-derived range, and to investigate inter-model differences due to emissions and transport processes. Models ran with standardised idealised chemistry, to isolate differences due to transport, and we investigated the sensitivity of results to a range of VSLS emission inventories. Models were tested in their ability to reproduce the observed seasonal and spatial distribution of VSLS at the surface, using measurements from NOAA’s long-term global monitoring network, and in the tropical troposphere, using recent aircraft measurements - including high altitude observations from the NASA Global Hawk platform. The models generally capture the seasonal cycle of surface CHBr3 and CH2Br2 well, with a strong model measurement correlation (r ≥0.7) and a low sensitivity to the choice of emission inventory, at most sites. In a given model, the absolute model-measurement agreement is highly sensitive to the choice of emissions and inter-model differences are also apparent, even when using the same inventory, highlighting the challenges faced in evaluating such inventories at the global scale. Across the ensemble, most consistency is found within the tropics where most of the models (8 out of 11) achieve optimal agreement to surface CHBr3 observations using the lowest of the three CHBr3 emission inventories tested (similarly, 8 out of 11 models for CH2Br2). In general, the models are able to reproduce well observations of CHBr3 and CH2Br2 obtained in the tropical tropopause layer (TTL) at various locations throughout the Pacific. Zonal variability in VSLS loading in the TTL is generally consistent among models, with CHBr3 (and to a lesser extent CH2Br2) most elevated over the tropical West Pacific during boreal winter. The models also indicate the Asian Monsoon during boreal summer to be an important pathway for VSLS reaching the stratosphere, though the strength of this signal varies considerably among models. We derive an ensemble climatological mean estimate of the stratospheric bromine SGI from CHBr3 and CH2Br2 of 2.0 (1.2-2.5) ppt, ∼57% larger than the best estimate from the most re- cent World Meteorological Organization (WMO) Ozone Assessment Report. We find no evidence for a long-term, transport-driven trend in the stratospheric SGI of bromine over the simulation period. However, transport-driven inter-annual variability in the annual mean bromine SGI is of the order of a ±5%, with SGI exhibiting a strong positive correlation with ENSO in the East Pacific
- A multi-model intercomparison of halogenated very short-lived substances (TransCom-VSLS) : linking oceanic emissions and tropospheric transport for a reconciled estimate of the stratospheric source gas injection of bromine (2016)
- The first concerted multi-model intercomparison of halogenated very short-lived substances (VSLS) has been performed, within the framework of the ongoing Atmospheric Tracer Transport Model Intercomparison Project (TransCom). Eleven global models or model variants participated (nine chemical transport models and two chemistry–climate models) by simulating the major natural bromine VSLS, bromoform (CHBr3) and dibromomethane (CH2Br2), over a 20-year period (1993–2012). Except for three model simulations, all others were driven offline by (or nudged to) reanalysed meteorology. The overarching goal of TransCom-VSLS was to provide a reconciled model estimate of the stratospheric source gas injection (SGI) of bromine from these gases, to constrain the current measurement-derived range, and to investigate inter-model differences due to emissions and transport processes. Models ran with standardised idealised chemistry, to isolate differences due to transport, and we investigated the sensitivity of results to a range of VSLS emission inventories. Models were tested in their ability to reproduce the observed seasonal and spatial distribution of VSLS at the surface, using measurements from NOAA's long-term global monitoring network, and in the tropical troposphere, using recent aircraft measurements – including high-altitude observations from the NASA Global Hawk platform. The models generally capture the observed seasonal cycle of surface CHBr3 and CH2Br2 well, with a strong model–measurement correlation (r ≥ 0.7) at most sites. In a given model, the absolute model–measurement agreement at the surface is highly sensitive to the choice of emissions. Large inter-model differences are apparent when using the same emission inventory, highlighting the challenges faced in evaluating such inventories at the global scale. Across the ensemble, most consistency is found within the tropics where most of the models (8 out of 11) achieve best agreement to surface CHBr3 observations using the lowest of the three CHBr3 emission inventories tested (similarly, 8 out of 11 models for CH2Br2). In general, the models reproduce observations of CHBr3 and CH2Br2 obtained in the tropical tropopause layer (TTL) at various locations throughout the Pacific well. Zonal variability in VSLS loading in the TTL is generally consistent among models, with CHBr3 (and to a lesser extent CH2Br2) most elevated over the tropical western Pacific during boreal winter. The models also indicate the Asian monsoon during boreal summer to be an important pathway for VSLS reaching the stratosphere, though the strength of this signal varies considerably among models. We derive an ensemble climatological mean estimate of the stratospheric bromine SGI from CHBr3 and CH2Br2 of 2.0 (1.2–2.5) ppt, ∼ 57 % larger than the best estimate from the most recent World Meteorological Organization (WMO) Ozone Assessment Report. We find no evidence for a long-term, transport-driven trend in the stratospheric SGI of bromine over the simulation period. The transport-driven interannual variability in the annual mean bromine SGI is of the order of ±5 %, with SGI exhibiting a strong positive correlation with the El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) in the eastern Pacific. Overall, our results do not show systematic differences between models specific to the choice of reanalysis meteorology, rather clear differences are seen related to differences in the implementation of transport processes in the models.
- Evaluating global emission inventories of biogenic bromocarbons (2013)
- Emissions of halogenated very short-lived substances (VSLS) are poorly constrained. However, their inclusion in global models is required to simulate a realistic inorganic bromine (Bry) loading in both the troposphere, where bromine chemistry perturbs global oxidizing capacity, and in the stratosphere, where it is a major sink for ozone (O3). We have performed simulations using a 3-D chemical transport model (CTM) including three top-down and a single bottom-up derived emission inventory of the major brominated VSLS bromoform (CHBr3) and dibromomethane (CH2Br2). We perform the first concerted evaluation of these inventories, comparing both the magnitude and spatial distribution of emissions. For a quantitative evaluation of each inventory, model output is compared with independent long-term observations at National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) ground-based stations and with aircraft observations made during the NSF HIAPER Pole-to-Pole Observations (HIPPO) project. For CHBr3, the mean absolute deviation between model and surface observation ranges from 0.22 (38%) to 0.78 (115%) parts per trillion (ppt) in the tropics, depending on emission inventory. For CH2Br2, the range is 0.17 (24%) to 1.25 (167%) ppt. We also use aircraft observations made during the 2011 "Stratospheric Ozone: Halogen Impacts in a Varying Atmosphere" (SHIVA) campaign, in the tropical West Pacific. Here, the performance of the various inventories also varies significantly, but overall the CTM is able to reproduce observed CHBr3 well in the free troposphere using an inventory based on observed sea-to-air fluxes. Finally, we identify the range of uncertainty associated with these VSLS emission inventories on stratospheric bromine loading due to VSLS (BryVSLS). Our simulations show BryVSLS ranges from ~ 4.0 to 8.0 ppt depending on the inventory. We report an optimised estimate at the lower end of this range (~ 4 ppt) based on combining the CHBr3 and CH2Br2 inventories which give best agreement with the compilation of observations in the tropics.
- Evaluating global emission inventories of biogenic bromocarbons (2013)
- Emissions of halogenated very short-lived substances (VSLS) are poorly constrained. However, their inclusion in global models is required to simulate a realistic inorganic bromine (Bry) loading in both the troposphere, where bromine chemistry perturbs global oxidising capacity, and in the stratosphere, where it is a major sink for ozone (O3). We have performed simulations using a 3-D chemical transport model (CTM) including three top-down and a single bottom-up derived emission inventory of the major brominated VSLS bromoform (CHBr3) and dibromomethane (CH2Br2). We perform the first concerted evaluation of these inventories, comparing both the magnitude and spatial distribution of emissions. For a quantitative evaluation of each inventory, model output is compared with independent long-term observations at National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) ground-based stations and with aircraft observations made during the NSF (National Science Foundation) HIAPER Pole-to-Pole Observations (HIPPO) project. For CHBr3, the mean absolute deviation between model and surface observation ranges from 0.22 (38%) to 0.78 (115%) parts per trillion (ppt) in the tropics, depending on emission inventory. For CH2Br2, the range is 0.17 (24%) to 1.25 (167%) ppt. We also use aircraft observations made during the 2011 Stratospheric Ozone: Halogen Impacts in a Varying Atmosphere (SHIVA) campaign, in the tropical western Pacific. Here, the performance of the various inventories also varies significantly, but overall the CTM is able to reproduce observed CHBr3 well in the free troposphere using an inventory based on observed sea-to-air fluxes. Finally, we identify the range of uncertainty associated with these VSLS emission inventories on stratospheric bromine loading due to VSLS (BryVSLS). Our simulations show BryVSLS ranges from ~4.0 to 8.0 ppt depending on the inventory. We report an optimised estimate at the lower end of this range (~4 ppt) based on combining the CHBr3 and CH2Br2 inventories which give best agreement with the compilation of observations in the tropics.
- The contribution of oceanic methyl iodide to stratospheric iodine (2013)
- We investigate the contribution of oceanic methyl iodide (CH3I) to the stratospheric iodine budget. Based on CH3I measurements from three tropical ship campaigns and the Lagrangian transport model FLEXPART, we provide a detailed analysis of CH3I transport from the ocean surface to the cold point in the upper tropical tropopause layer (TTL). While average oceanic emissions differ by less than 50% from campaign to campaign, the measurements show much stronger variations within each campaign. A positive correlation between the oceanic CH3I emissions and the efficiency of CH3I troposphere–stratosphere transport has been identified for some cruise sections. The mechanism of strong horizontal surface winds triggering large emissions on the one hand and being associated with tropical convective systems, such as developing typhoons, on the other hand, could explain the identified correlations. As a result of the simultaneous occurrence of large CH3I emissions and strong vertical uplift, localized maximum mixing ratios of 0.6 ppt CH3I at the cold point have been determined for observed peak emissions during the SHIVA (Stratospheric Ozone: Halogen Impacts in a Varying Atmosphere)-Sonne research vessel campaign in the coastal western Pacific. The other two campaigns give considerably smaller maxima of 0.1 ppt CH3I in the open western Pacific and 0.03 ppt in the coastal eastern Atlantic. In order to assess the representativeness of the large local mixing ratios, we use climatological emission scenarios to derive global upper air estimates of CH3I abundances. The model results are compared with available upper air measurements, including data from the recent ATTREX and HIPPO2 aircraft campaigns. In the eastern Pacific region, the location of the available measurement campaigns in the upper TTL, the comparisons give a good agreement, indicating that around 0.01 to 0.02 ppt of CH3I enter the stratosphere. However, other tropical regions that are subject to stronger convective activity show larger CH3I entrainment, e.g., 0.08 ppt in the western Pacific. Overall our model results give a tropical contribution of 0.04 ppt CH3I to the stratospheric iodine budget. The strong variations in the geographical distribution of CH3I entrainment suggest that currently available upper air measurements are not representative of global estimates and further campaigns will be necessary in order to better understand the CH3I contribution to stratospheric iodine.
- The contribution of oceanic methyl iodide to stratospheric iodine (2013)
- We investigate the contribution of oceanic methyl iodide (CH3I) to the stratospheric iodine budget. Based on CH3I measurements during three tropical ship campaigns and the Lagrangian transport model FLEXPART we provide a detailed analysis of CH3I transport from the ocean surface to the cold point in the upper tropical tropopause layer (TTL). While average oceanic emissions differ by less than 50% from campaign to campaign, the measurements show much stronger variations within each campaign. A positive correlation between the oceanic CH3I emissions and the efficiency of CH3I troposphere–stratosphere transport has been identified for some cruise sections. The mechanism of strong horizontal surface winds triggering large emissions on the one hand and being associated with tropical convective systems, such as developing typhoons, on the other hand, could explain the identified correlations. As a result of the simultaneous occurrence of large CH3I emissions and strong vertical uplift, localized maximum mixing ratios of 0.6 ppt CH3I at the cold point have been determined for observed peak emissions during the SHIVA-Sonne campaign in the coastal West Pacific. The other two campaigns give considerable smaller maxima of 0.1 ppt CH3I for the TransBrom campaign in the open West Pacific and 0.03 ppt for emissions from the coastal East Atlantic during the DRIVE campaign. In order to assess the representativeness of the large local mixing ratios we use climatological emission scenarios to derive global upper air estimates of CH3I abundances. The model results are compared to available upper air measurements including data from the recent ATTREX and HIPPO2 aircraft campaigns. In the East Pacific region, the location of the available measurement campaigns in the upper TTL, the comparisons give a good agreement indicating that around 0.01 to 0.02 ppt of CH3I enter the stratosphere. However, other tropical regions, which are subject to stronger convective activity show larger CH3I entrainment, e.g., 0.08 ppt in the West Pacific. The strong variations in the geographical distribution of CH3I entrainment suggest that currently available upper air measurements are not representative of global estimates and further campaigns will be necessary in order to better understand the CH3I contribution to stratospheric iodine.
- A new time-independent formulation of fractional release (2017)
- The fractional release factor (FRF) gives information on the amount of a halocarbon that is released at some point into the stratosphere from its source form to the inorganic form, which can harm the ozone layer through catalytic reactions. The quantity is of major importance because it directly affects the calculation of the ozone depletion potential (ODP). In this context time-independent values are needed which, in particular, should be independent of the trends in the tropospheric mixing ratios (tropospheric trends) of the respective halogenated trace gases. For a given atmospheric situation, such FRF values would represent a molecular property. We analysed the temporal evolution of FRF from ECHAM/MESSy Atmospheric Chemistry (EMAC) model simulations for several halocarbons and nitrous oxide between 1965 and 2011 on different mean age levels and found that the widely used formulation of FRF yields highly time-dependent values. We show that this is caused by the way that the tropospheric trend is handled in the widely used calculation method of FRF. Taking into account chemical loss in the calculation of stratospheric mixing ratios reduces the time dependence in FRFs. Therefore we implemented a loss term in the formulation of the FRF and applied the parameterization of a mean arrival time to our data set. We find that the time dependence in the FRF can almost be compensated for by applying a new trend correction in the calculation of the FRF. We suggest that this new method should be used to calculate time-independent FRFs, which can then be used e.g. for the calculation of ODP.
- Comparison of GC/time-of-flight MS with GC/quadrupole MS for halocarbon trace gas analysis (2015)
- We present the application of time-of-flight mass spectrometry (TOF MS) for the analysis of halocarbons in the atmosphere after cryogenic sample preconcentration and gas chromatographic separation. For the described field of application, the quadrupole mass spectrometer (QP MS) is a state-of-the-art detector. This work aims at comparing two commercially available instruments, a QP MS and a TOF MS, with respect to mass resolution, mass accuracy, stability of the mass axis and instrument sensitivity, detector sensitivity, measurement precision and detector linearity. Both mass spectrometers are operated on the same gas chromatographic system by splitting the column effluent to both detectors. The QP MS had to be operated in optimised single ion monitoring (SIM) mode to achieve a sensitivity which could compete with the TOF MS. The TOF MS provided full mass range information in any acquired mass spectrum without losing sensitivity. Whilst the QP MS showed the performance already achieved in earlier tests, the sensitivity of the TOF MS was on average higher than that of the QP MS in the "operational" SIM mode by a factor of up to 3, reaching detection limits of less than 0.2 pg. Measurement precision determined for the whole analytical system was up to 0.2% depending on substance and sampled volume. The TOF MS instrument used for this study displayed significant non-linearities of up to 10% for two-thirds of all analysed substances.
- Untersuchung des Transports in der untersten Stratosphäre anhand von in-situ Messungen langlebiger Spurengase (2005)
- Im Rahmen des Projektes SPURT (Spurenstofftransport in der Tropopausenregion) als Teil des deutschen Atmosphärenforschungsprogramms AFO 2000 wurden bei 8 Messkampagnen mit insgesamt 36 Flügen innerhalb eines Beobachtungszeitraums von zwei Jahren (Nov. 2001 bis Juli 2003) Spurengasmessungen in dem Breitenbereich zwischen 35°N und 75°N durchgeführt. Für die Messungen der Spurengase N2O, F12, SF6, H2 und CO wurde der vollautomatisierte in-situ GC (Gaschromatograph) GhOST II (Gas Chromatograph for the Observation of Stratospheric Tracers) entwickelt und eingesetzt. Das Ziel dieser Messungen war die Untersuchung der jahreszeitlichen Variabilität der Spurengase in der oberen Troposphäre und untersten Stratosphäre (UT/LMS: Upper Troposphere/Lowermost Stratosphere), um die Transport- und Austauschprozesse in der Tropopausenregion besser zu verstehen. Zur Untersuchung von Transport und Mischung in der UT/LMS wurden die Rückwärtstrajektorien entlang der Flugpfade, die Verteilungen der Tracer N2O, F12, SF6, CO und CO2 (MPI für Chemie in Mainz), die Tracer/Tracer-Korrelationen N2O/F12, N2O/O3 F12/O3 und SF6/O3 und die Verteilungen des aus SF6-Messungen berechnete mittlere Alters der Luft herangezogen. Zusätzlich wurden die simultanen Messungen der beiden Alterstracer CO2 und SF6 genutzt, um die Propagation der Amplitude des troposphärischen CO2-Jahresgangs in die LMS zu bestimmen und daraus mit Hilfe eines empirischen Altersspektrums den Eintrag und die mittlere Transportzeit aus der Troposphäre in die unterste Stratosphäre zu quantifizieren. Grundsätzlich muss die LMS in zwei Bereiche eingeteilt werden – die Übergangsschicht („tropopause following layer“) bis etwa 20-30 K über der potentiellen Temperatur der lokalen Tropopause [Hoor et al., 2004] und die freie LMS oberhalb dieser Schicht. Als wesentliche Unterscheidungsmerkmale beider Bereiche wird die mittlere Transportzeit des Eintrags troposphärischer Luft identifiziert. Aus Trajektorienuntersuchungen und Tracerverteilungen (Kap. 3.4) kann gezeigt werden, dass der Transport in die Übergangsschicht und die Mischungsprozesse in diesem Bereich auf der Zeitskala der mesoskaligen troposphärischen Prozesse ablaufen. Im Gegensatz dazu werden aus der Massenbilanz (Kap. 5.3) mittlere Transportzeiten aus der Troposphäre in die freie LMS von einigen Wochen bis zu mehreren Monaten abgeleitet. Außerdem konnte nachgewiesen werden, dass der troposphärische Eintrag in der freien LMS fast ausschließlich auf quasihorizontale isentrope Einmischung aus den Tropen über die Transportbarriere des Subtropenjets zurückzuführen ist. Nur im Sommer und Herbst konnte auch oberhalb der Übergangsschicht für einzelne Messungen ein Einfluss aus der extratropischen Troposphäre beobachtet werden. Die in dieser Arbeit untersuchten Tracerverteilungen und -korrelationen (Kap. 4) und die Verteilung des mittleren Alters (Kap.5.2) in der LMS zeigen einen Jahresgang mit einem maximalen troposphärischen Einfluss im Oktober und einem maximalen stratosphärischen Einfluss im April. Diese saisonale Charakteristik in der freien LMS kann durch die saisonalen Änderungen des Verhältnisses von Abwärtstransport aus der Overworld und quasihorizontalem Transport aus den Tropen und durch die mit den jeweiligen Transportprozessen assoziierte mittlere Transportzeiten erklärt werden, die aus Massenbilanzrechnungen bestimmt wurden. Es wird gezeigt, dass der überwiegende Eintrag von troposphärischer Luft in die LMS im Sommer und Herbst stattfindet, wobei im Mittel die kürzesten mittleren Transitzeiten (unter 0.3 Jahre) für den August und die längsten Transitzeiten (über 0.6 Jahre) für den Mai berechnet werden. Aus den Ergebnissen wird gefolgert, dass ein ausgeprägter isentroper Austauschprozess über den Subtropenjet im Sommer bis in den Herbst hinein der dominierende troposphärische Einfluss in der LMS bis in den Mai ist. Der Vergleich zwischen SPURT und anderen in der UT/LMS im Zeitraum von 1992 bis 1998 durchgeführten Messkampagnen zeigt einen systematischen Unterschied in den N2O/O3-Korrelationen. Die Zunahme von O3 relativ zu N2O in der LMS ist um etwa 6.5 ppb O3 pro 1 ppb N2O bzw. etwa 40% größer als die Zunahme bei jahreszeitlich vergleichbaren früheren Kampagnen. Durch eine weitergehende Analyse der Messungen, z.B. durch den Vergleich der N2O-Verteilungen in der LMS bei verschiedenen Messkampagnen, und zusätzlichen Informationen aus Satelliten- und Ballonmessungen wird abgeleitet, dass diese Änderung der N2O/O3-Korrelationen im Wesentlichen auf einen im Zeitraum von SPURT stärkeren quasihorizontalen Transport aus den Tropen in die Extratropen im Bereich des so genannten „tropical controlled transition layer“ [Rosenlof et al., 1997] zwischen 16-21 km (bzw. Θ ≈ 380-450 K) zurückzuführen ist. In Kooperation mit B. Bregman wurden mit dem Chemie-Transport-Modell TM5 des KNMI die Verteilungen von SF6 und CO2 in der Troposphäre und Stratosphäre, unter den Zielsetzungen Evaluation des Modelltransports und Erweiterung des Datensatzes von SPURT auf globalen Maßstab, für den Zeitraum 1.1.2000 bis 31.12.2002 modelliert. Dabei konnte gezeigt werden, dass bei Modellstudien zur Evaluation des Transports mit Hilfe von Alterstracern nicht nur troposphärisch monoton steigende Tracer wie SF6 sondern auch saisonal variable Tracer wie CO2 verwendet werden müssen. Bei dem Vergleich der Modellergebnisse des TM5 mit ER2- und SPURTMessungen zeigt sich, dass das Modell zum jetzigen Zeitpunkt in der Lage ist, das mittlere Alter in der unteren Stratosphäre und die SF6- und CO2-Verteilungen in der LMS qualitativ richtig wiederzugeben. Das mittlere Alter in der unteren Stratosphäre wird um etwa 0.5 bis 1 Jahr in den Tropen über- und in den Extratropen unterschätzt. Die vertikalen Gradienten im Modell für SF6 und CO2 in der LMS sind, insbesondere im Winter und Frühjahr, zu gering. Die Amplitude des CO2-Jahresganges in der oberen Troposphäre und in der LMS wird durch das Modell unterschätzt, während der saisonale Verlauf des Jahresganges richtig wiedergegeben wird. Im Moment wird vermutet, dass eine zu starke isentrope Mischung zwischen Tropen und Extratropen und/oder ein zu geringer Aufwärtstransport in der extratropischen Troposphäre im Sommer und Herbst die Ursachen für die beobachteten Abweichungen zwischen Modell und Messung sind.
