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- Short-lived brominated hydrocarbons : observations in the source regions and the tropical tropopause layer (2012)
- We conducted measurements of the five important short-lived organic bromine species in the marine boundary layer (MBL). Measurements were made in the Northern Hemisphere mid-latitudes (Sylt Island, North Sea) in June 2009 and in the tropical Western Pacific during the TransBrom ship campaign in October 2009. For the one-week time series on Sylt Island, mean mixing ratios of CHBr3, CH2Br2, CHBr2Cl and CH2BrCl were 2.0, 1.1, 0.2, 0.1 ppt, respectively. We found maxima of 5.8 and 1.6 ppt for the two main components CHBr3 and CH2Br2. Along the cruise track in the Western Pacific (between 41° N and 13° S) we measured mean mixing ratios of 0.9, 0.9, 0.2, 0.1 and 0.1 ppt for CHBr3, CH2Br2, CHBrCl2, CHBr2Cl and CH2BrCl. Air samples with coastal influence showed considerably higher mixing ratios than the samples with open ocean origin. Correlation analyses of the two data sets yielded strong linear relationships between the mixing ratios of four of the five species (except for CH2BrCl). Using a combined data set from the two campaigns and a comparison with the results from two former studies, rough estimates of the molar emission ratios between the correlated substances were: 9/1/0.35/0.35 for CHBr3/CH2Br2/CHBrCl2/CHBr2Cl. Additional measurements were made in the tropical tropopause layer (TTL) above Teresina (Brazil, 5° S) in June 2008, using balloon-borne cryogenic whole air sampling technique. Near the level of zero clear-sky net radiative heating (LZRH) at 14.8 km about 2.25 ppt organic bromine was bound to the five short-lived species, making up 13% of total organic bromine (17.82 ppt). CH2Br2 (1.45 ppt) and CHBr3 (0.56 ppt) accounted for 90% of the budget of short-lived compounds in that region. Near the tropopause (at 17.5 km) organic bromine from these substances was reduced to 1.35 ppt, with 1.07 and 0.12 ppt attributed to CH2Br2 and CHBr3, respectively.
- Quantifying transport into the lowermost stratosphere using simultaneous in-situ measurements of SF6 and CO2 (2008)
- The seasonality of transport and mixing of air into the lowermost stratosphere (LMS) is studied using distributions of mean age of air and a~mass balance approach, based on in-situ observations of SF6 and CO2 during the SPURT (Spurenstofftransport in der Tropopausenregion, trace gas transport in the tropopause region) aircraft campaigns. Combining the information of the mean age of air and the water vapour distributions we demonstrate that the tropospheric air transported into the LMS above the extratropical tropopause layer (ExTL) originates predominantly from the tropical tropopause layer (TTL). The concept of our mass balance is based on simultaneous measurements of the two passive tracers and the assumption that transport into the LMS can be described by age spectra which are superposition of two different modes. Based on this concept we conclude that the stratospheric influence on LMS composition is strongest in April with tropospheric fractions (α1) below 20% and that the strongest tropospheric signatures are found in October with (α1 greater than 80%. Beyond the fractions, our mass balance concept allows to calculate the associated transit times for transport of tropospheric air from the tropics into the LMS. The shortest transit times (<0.3 years) are derived for the summer, continuously increasing up to 0.8 years by the end of spring. These findings suggest that strong quasi-horizontal mixing across the weak subtropical jet from summer to mid of autumn and the considerably shorter residual transport time-scales within the lower branch of the Brewer-Dobson circulation in summer than in winter dominates the tropospheric influence in the LMS until the beginning of next year's summer.
- Short-lived brominated species : observations in the source regions and the tropical tropopause layer (2011)
- We conducted measurements of up to the five important short-lived brominated species in the marine boundary layer (MBL) of the mid-latitudes (List/Sylt, North Sea) in June 2009 and of the tropical Western Pacific during the TransBrom ship campaign in October 2009. For the one-week time series in List mean mixing ratios of 2.0, 1.1, 0.2, 0.1 ppt were analysed for CHBr3, CH2Br2, CHBr2Cl and CH2BrCl, with maxima of 5.8 and 1.6 ppt for the two main components CHBr3 and CH2Br2. Along the cruise track in the Western Pacific (between 41° N and 13° S) mean mixing ratios of 1.0, 0.9, 0.2, 0.1 and 0.1 ppt for CHBr3, CH2Br2, CHBrCl2, CHBr2Cl and CH2BrCl were determined. Air samples with coastal influence showed considerably higher mixing ratios than the samples with open ocean origin. Correlation analyses of the two datasets yielded strong linear relationships between the mixing ratios of four of the five species (except for CH2BrCl). Using a combined dataset from the two campaigns, rough estimates of the molar emission ratios between the correlated substances were derived as follows: 9/1/0.3/0.3 for CHBr3/CH2Br2/CHBrCl2/CHBr2Cl. Additional measurements were made in the tropical tropopause layer (TTL) above Teresina (Brazil, 5.07° S, 42.87° W) in June 2008, using balloon-borne cryogenic whole air sampling technique. Near the level of zero clear-sky net radiative heating (LZRH) at 14.8 km about 2.25 ppt organic bromine was bound to the five short-lived species, making up 13 % of total organic bromine (17.82 ppt). CH2Br2 (1.45 ppt) and CHBr3 (0.56 ppt) accounted for 90 % of the budget of short-lived compounds in that region. Near the tropopause (at 17.5 km) organic bromine from short-lived substances was reduced to 1.35 ppt, with 1.07 ppt and 0.12 ppt attributed to CH2Br2 and CHBr3 respectively.
- On the observation of mesospheric air inside the arctic stratospheric polar vortex in early 2003 (2005)
- During several balloon flights inside the Arctic polar vortex in early 2003, unusual trace gas distributions were observed, which indicate a strong influence of mesospheric air in the stratosphere. The tuneable diode laser (TDL) instrument SPIRALE (Spectroscopie InFrarouge par Absorption de Lasers Embarqués) measured unusually high CO values (up to 600 ppb) on 27 January at about 30 km altitude. The cryosampler BONBON sampled air masses with very high molecular Hydrogen, extremely low SF6 and enhanced CO values on 6 March at about 25 km altitude. Finally, the MIPAS (Michelson Interferometer for Passive Atmospheric Sounding) Fourier Transform Infra-Red (FTIR) spectrometer showed NOy values which are significantly higher than NOy* (the NOy derived from a correlation between N2O and NOy under undisturbed conditions), on 21 and 22 March in a layer centred at 22 km altitude. Thus, the mesospheric air seems to have been present in a layer descending from about 30 km in late January to 25 km altitude in early March and about 22 km altitude on 20 March. We present corroborating evidence from a model study using the KASIMA (KArlsruhe Simulation model of the Middle Atmosphere) model that also shows a layer of mesospheric air, which descended into the stratosphere in November and early December 2002, before the minor warming which occurred in late December 2002 lead to a descent of upper stratospheric air, cutting of a layer in which mesospheric air is present. This layer then descended inside the vortex over the course of the winter. The same feature is found in trajectory calculations, based on a large number of trajectories started in the vicinity of the observations on 6 March. Based on the difference between the mean age derived from SF6 (which has an irreversible mesospheric loss) and from CO2 (whose mesospheric loss is much smaller and reversible) we estimate that the fraction of mesospheric air in the layer observed on 6 March, must have been somewhere between 35% and 100%.
- Observation of mesospheric air inside the arctic stratospheric polar vortex in early 2003 (2006)
- During several balloon flights inside the Arctic polar vortex in early 2003, unusual trace gas distributions were observed, which indicate a strong influence of mesospheric air in the stratosphere. The tuneable diode laser (TDL) instrument SPIRALE (Spectroscopie InFrarouge par Absorption de Lasers Embarqués) measured unusually high CO values (up to 600 ppb) on 27 January at about 30 km altitude. The cryosampler BONBON sampled air masses with very high molecular Hydrogen, extremely low SF6 and enhanced CO values on 6 March at about 25 km altitude. Finally, the MIPAS (Michelson Interferometer for Passive Atmospheric Sounding) Fourier Transform Infra-Red (FTIR) spectrometer showed NOy values which are significantly higher than NOy* (the NOy derived from a correlation between N2O and NOy under undisturbed conditions), on 21 and 22 March in a layer centred at 22 km altitude. Thus, the mesospheric air seems to have been present in a layer descending from about 30 km in late January to 25 km altitude in early March and about 22 km altitude on 20 March. We present corroborating evidence from a model study using the KASIMA (KArlsruhe Simulation model of the Middle Atmosphere) model that also shows a layer of mesospheric air, which descended into the stratosphere in November and early December 2002, before the minor warming which occurred in late December 2002 lead to a descent of upper stratospheric air, cutting of a layer in which mesospheric air is present. This layer then descended inside the vortex over the course of the winter. The same feature is found in trajectory calculations, based on a large number of trajectories started in the vicinity of the observations on 6 March. Based on the difference between the mean age derived from SF6 (which has an irreversible mesospheric loss) and from CO2 (whose mesospheric loss is much smaller and reversible) we estimate that the fraction of mesospheric air in the layer observed on 6 March, must have been somewhere between 35% and 100%.
- A multi-model intercomparison of halogenated very short-lived substances (TransCom-VSLS) : linking oceanic emissions and tropospheric transport for a reconciled estimate of the stratospheric source gas injection of bromine (2016)
- The first concerted multi-model intercomparison of halogenated very short-lived substances (VSLS) has been performed, within the framework of the ongoing Atmospheric Tracer Transport Model Intercomparison Project (TransCom). Eleven global models or model variants participated, simulating the major natural bromine VSLS, bromoform (CHBr3) and dibromomethane (CH2Br2), over a 20-year period (1993-2012). The overarching goal of TransCom-VSLS was to provide a reconciled model estimate of the stratospheric source gas injection (SGI) of bromine from these gases, to constrain the current measurement-derived range, and to investigate inter-model differences due to emissions and transport processes. Models ran with standardised idealised chemistry, to isolate differences due to transport, and we investigated the sensitivity of results to a range of VSLS emission inventories. Models were tested in their ability to reproduce the observed seasonal and spatial distribution of VSLS at the surface, using measurements from NOAA’s long-term global monitoring network, and in the tropical troposphere, using recent aircraft measurements - including high altitude observations from the NASA Global Hawk platform. The models generally capture the seasonal cycle of surface CHBr3 and CH2Br2 well, with a strong model measurement correlation (r ≥0.7) and a low sensitivity to the choice of emission inventory, at most sites. In a given model, the absolute model-measurement agreement is highly sensitive to the choice of emissions and inter-model differences are also apparent, even when using the same inventory, highlighting the challenges faced in evaluating such inventories at the global scale. Across the ensemble, most consistency is found within the tropics where most of the models (8 out of 11) achieve optimal agreement to surface CHBr3 observations using the lowest of the three CHBr3 emission inventories tested (similarly, 8 out of 11 models for CH2Br2). In general, the models are able to reproduce well observations of CHBr3 and CH2Br2 obtained in the tropical tropopause layer (TTL) at various locations throughout the Pacific. Zonal variability in VSLS loading in the TTL is generally consistent among models, with CHBr3 (and to a lesser extent CH2Br2) most elevated over the tropical West Pacific during boreal winter. The models also indicate the Asian Monsoon during boreal summer to be an important pathway for VSLS reaching the stratosphere, though the strength of this signal varies considerably among models. We derive an ensemble climatological mean estimate of the stratospheric bromine SGI from CHBr3 and CH2Br2 of 2.0 (1.2-2.5) ppt, ∼57% larger than the best estimate from the most re- cent World Meteorological Organization (WMO) Ozone Assessment Report. We find no evidence for a long-term, transport-driven trend in the stratospheric SGI of bromine over the simulation period. However, transport-driven inter-annual variability in the annual mean bromine SGI is of the order of a ±5%, with SGI exhibiting a strong positive correlation with ENSO in the East Pacific
- A multi-model intercomparison of halogenated very short-lived substances (TransCom-VSLS) : linking oceanic emissions and tropospheric transport for a reconciled estimate of the stratospheric source gas injection of bromine (2016)
- The first concerted multi-model intercomparison of halogenated very short-lived substances (VSLS) has been performed, within the framework of the ongoing Atmospheric Tracer Transport Model Intercomparison Project (TransCom). Eleven global models or model variants participated (nine chemical transport models and two chemistry–climate models) by simulating the major natural bromine VSLS, bromoform (CHBr3) and dibromomethane (CH2Br2), over a 20-year period (1993–2012). Except for three model simulations, all others were driven offline by (or nudged to) reanalysed meteorology. The overarching goal of TransCom-VSLS was to provide a reconciled model estimate of the stratospheric source gas injection (SGI) of bromine from these gases, to constrain the current measurement-derived range, and to investigate inter-model differences due to emissions and transport processes. Models ran with standardised idealised chemistry, to isolate differences due to transport, and we investigated the sensitivity of results to a range of VSLS emission inventories. Models were tested in their ability to reproduce the observed seasonal and spatial distribution of VSLS at the surface, using measurements from NOAA's long-term global monitoring network, and in the tropical troposphere, using recent aircraft measurements – including high-altitude observations from the NASA Global Hawk platform. The models generally capture the observed seasonal cycle of surface CHBr3 and CH2Br2 well, with a strong model–measurement correlation (r ≥ 0.7) at most sites. In a given model, the absolute model–measurement agreement at the surface is highly sensitive to the choice of emissions. Large inter-model differences are apparent when using the same emission inventory, highlighting the challenges faced in evaluating such inventories at the global scale. Across the ensemble, most consistency is found within the tropics where most of the models (8 out of 11) achieve best agreement to surface CHBr3 observations using the lowest of the three CHBr3 emission inventories tested (similarly, 8 out of 11 models for CH2Br2). In general, the models reproduce observations of CHBr3 and CH2Br2 obtained in the tropical tropopause layer (TTL) at various locations throughout the Pacific well. Zonal variability in VSLS loading in the TTL is generally consistent among models, with CHBr3 (and to a lesser extent CH2Br2) most elevated over the tropical western Pacific during boreal winter. The models also indicate the Asian monsoon during boreal summer to be an important pathway for VSLS reaching the stratosphere, though the strength of this signal varies considerably among models. We derive an ensemble climatological mean estimate of the stratospheric bromine SGI from CHBr3 and CH2Br2 of 2.0 (1.2–2.5) ppt, ∼ 57 % larger than the best estimate from the most recent World Meteorological Organization (WMO) Ozone Assessment Report. We find no evidence for a long-term, transport-driven trend in the stratospheric SGI of bromine over the simulation period. The transport-driven interannual variability in the annual mean bromine SGI is of the order of ±5 %, with SGI exhibiting a strong positive correlation with the El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) in the eastern Pacific. Overall, our results do not show systematic differences between models specific to the choice of reanalysis meteorology, rather clear differences are seen related to differences in the implementation of transport processes in the models.
- Evaluating global emission inventories of biogenic bromocarbons (2013)
- Emissions of halogenated very short-lived substances (VSLS) are poorly constrained. However, their inclusion in global models is required to simulate a realistic inorganic bromine (Bry) loading in both the troposphere, where bromine chemistry perturbs global oxidizing capacity, and in the stratosphere, where it is a major sink for ozone (O3). We have performed simulations using a 3-D chemical transport model (CTM) including three top-down and a single bottom-up derived emission inventory of the major brominated VSLS bromoform (CHBr3) and dibromomethane (CH2Br2). We perform the first concerted evaluation of these inventories, comparing both the magnitude and spatial distribution of emissions. For a quantitative evaluation of each inventory, model output is compared with independent long-term observations at National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) ground-based stations and with aircraft observations made during the NSF HIAPER Pole-to-Pole Observations (HIPPO) project. For CHBr3, the mean absolute deviation between model and surface observation ranges from 0.22 (38%) to 0.78 (115%) parts per trillion (ppt) in the tropics, depending on emission inventory. For CH2Br2, the range is 0.17 (24%) to 1.25 (167%) ppt. We also use aircraft observations made during the 2011 "Stratospheric Ozone: Halogen Impacts in a Varying Atmosphere" (SHIVA) campaign, in the tropical West Pacific. Here, the performance of the various inventories also varies significantly, but overall the CTM is able to reproduce observed CHBr3 well in the free troposphere using an inventory based on observed sea-to-air fluxes. Finally, we identify the range of uncertainty associated with these VSLS emission inventories on stratospheric bromine loading due to VSLS (BryVSLS). Our simulations show BryVSLS ranges from ~ 4.0 to 8.0 ppt depending on the inventory. We report an optimised estimate at the lower end of this range (~ 4 ppt) based on combining the CHBr3 and CH2Br2 inventories which give best agreement with the compilation of observations in the tropics.
- Evaluating global emission inventories of biogenic bromocarbons (2013)
- Emissions of halogenated very short-lived substances (VSLS) are poorly constrained. However, their inclusion in global models is required to simulate a realistic inorganic bromine (Bry) loading in both the troposphere, where bromine chemistry perturbs global oxidising capacity, and in the stratosphere, where it is a major sink for ozone (O3). We have performed simulations using a 3-D chemical transport model (CTM) including three top-down and a single bottom-up derived emission inventory of the major brominated VSLS bromoform (CHBr3) and dibromomethane (CH2Br2). We perform the first concerted evaluation of these inventories, comparing both the magnitude and spatial distribution of emissions. For a quantitative evaluation of each inventory, model output is compared with independent long-term observations at National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) ground-based stations and with aircraft observations made during the NSF (National Science Foundation) HIAPER Pole-to-Pole Observations (HIPPO) project. For CHBr3, the mean absolute deviation between model and surface observation ranges from 0.22 (38%) to 0.78 (115%) parts per trillion (ppt) in the tropics, depending on emission inventory. For CH2Br2, the range is 0.17 (24%) to 1.25 (167%) ppt. We also use aircraft observations made during the 2011 Stratospheric Ozone: Halogen Impacts in a Varying Atmosphere (SHIVA) campaign, in the tropical western Pacific. Here, the performance of the various inventories also varies significantly, but overall the CTM is able to reproduce observed CHBr3 well in the free troposphere using an inventory based on observed sea-to-air fluxes. Finally, we identify the range of uncertainty associated with these VSLS emission inventories on stratospheric bromine loading due to VSLS (BryVSLS). Our simulations show BryVSLS ranges from ~4.0 to 8.0 ppt depending on the inventory. We report an optimised estimate at the lower end of this range (~4 ppt) based on combining the CHBr3 and CH2Br2 inventories which give best agreement with the compilation of observations in the tropics.
- Untersuchung des Transports in der untersten Stratosphäre anhand von in-situ Messungen langlebiger Spurengase (2005)
- Im Rahmen des Projektes SPURT (Spurenstofftransport in der Tropopausenregion) als Teil des deutschen Atmosphärenforschungsprogramms AFO 2000 wurden bei 8 Messkampagnen mit insgesamt 36 Flügen innerhalb eines Beobachtungszeitraums von zwei Jahren (Nov. 2001 bis Juli 2003) Spurengasmessungen in dem Breitenbereich zwischen 35°N und 75°N durchgeführt. Für die Messungen der Spurengase N2O, F12, SF6, H2 und CO wurde der vollautomatisierte in-situ GC (Gaschromatograph) GhOST II (Gas Chromatograph for the Observation of Stratospheric Tracers) entwickelt und eingesetzt. Das Ziel dieser Messungen war die Untersuchung der jahreszeitlichen Variabilität der Spurengase in der oberen Troposphäre und untersten Stratosphäre (UT/LMS: Upper Troposphere/Lowermost Stratosphere), um die Transport- und Austauschprozesse in der Tropopausenregion besser zu verstehen. Zur Untersuchung von Transport und Mischung in der UT/LMS wurden die Rückwärtstrajektorien entlang der Flugpfade, die Verteilungen der Tracer N2O, F12, SF6, CO und CO2 (MPI für Chemie in Mainz), die Tracer/Tracer-Korrelationen N2O/F12, N2O/O3 F12/O3 und SF6/O3 und die Verteilungen des aus SF6-Messungen berechnete mittlere Alters der Luft herangezogen. Zusätzlich wurden die simultanen Messungen der beiden Alterstracer CO2 und SF6 genutzt, um die Propagation der Amplitude des troposphärischen CO2-Jahresgangs in die LMS zu bestimmen und daraus mit Hilfe eines empirischen Altersspektrums den Eintrag und die mittlere Transportzeit aus der Troposphäre in die unterste Stratosphäre zu quantifizieren. Grundsätzlich muss die LMS in zwei Bereiche eingeteilt werden – die Übergangsschicht („tropopause following layer“) bis etwa 20-30 K über der potentiellen Temperatur der lokalen Tropopause [Hoor et al., 2004] und die freie LMS oberhalb dieser Schicht. Als wesentliche Unterscheidungsmerkmale beider Bereiche wird die mittlere Transportzeit des Eintrags troposphärischer Luft identifiziert. Aus Trajektorienuntersuchungen und Tracerverteilungen (Kap. 3.4) kann gezeigt werden, dass der Transport in die Übergangsschicht und die Mischungsprozesse in diesem Bereich auf der Zeitskala der mesoskaligen troposphärischen Prozesse ablaufen. Im Gegensatz dazu werden aus der Massenbilanz (Kap. 5.3) mittlere Transportzeiten aus der Troposphäre in die freie LMS von einigen Wochen bis zu mehreren Monaten abgeleitet. Außerdem konnte nachgewiesen werden, dass der troposphärische Eintrag in der freien LMS fast ausschließlich auf quasihorizontale isentrope Einmischung aus den Tropen über die Transportbarriere des Subtropenjets zurückzuführen ist. Nur im Sommer und Herbst konnte auch oberhalb der Übergangsschicht für einzelne Messungen ein Einfluss aus der extratropischen Troposphäre beobachtet werden. Die in dieser Arbeit untersuchten Tracerverteilungen und -korrelationen (Kap. 4) und die Verteilung des mittleren Alters (Kap.5.2) in der LMS zeigen einen Jahresgang mit einem maximalen troposphärischen Einfluss im Oktober und einem maximalen stratosphärischen Einfluss im April. Diese saisonale Charakteristik in der freien LMS kann durch die saisonalen Änderungen des Verhältnisses von Abwärtstransport aus der Overworld und quasihorizontalem Transport aus den Tropen und durch die mit den jeweiligen Transportprozessen assoziierte mittlere Transportzeiten erklärt werden, die aus Massenbilanzrechnungen bestimmt wurden. Es wird gezeigt, dass der überwiegende Eintrag von troposphärischer Luft in die LMS im Sommer und Herbst stattfindet, wobei im Mittel die kürzesten mittleren Transitzeiten (unter 0.3 Jahre) für den August und die längsten Transitzeiten (über 0.6 Jahre) für den Mai berechnet werden. Aus den Ergebnissen wird gefolgert, dass ein ausgeprägter isentroper Austauschprozess über den Subtropenjet im Sommer bis in den Herbst hinein der dominierende troposphärische Einfluss in der LMS bis in den Mai ist. Der Vergleich zwischen SPURT und anderen in der UT/LMS im Zeitraum von 1992 bis 1998 durchgeführten Messkampagnen zeigt einen systematischen Unterschied in den N2O/O3-Korrelationen. Die Zunahme von O3 relativ zu N2O in der LMS ist um etwa 6.5 ppb O3 pro 1 ppb N2O bzw. etwa 40% größer als die Zunahme bei jahreszeitlich vergleichbaren früheren Kampagnen. Durch eine weitergehende Analyse der Messungen, z.B. durch den Vergleich der N2O-Verteilungen in der LMS bei verschiedenen Messkampagnen, und zusätzlichen Informationen aus Satelliten- und Ballonmessungen wird abgeleitet, dass diese Änderung der N2O/O3-Korrelationen im Wesentlichen auf einen im Zeitraum von SPURT stärkeren quasihorizontalen Transport aus den Tropen in die Extratropen im Bereich des so genannten „tropical controlled transition layer“ [Rosenlof et al., 1997] zwischen 16-21 km (bzw. Θ ≈ 380-450 K) zurückzuführen ist. In Kooperation mit B. Bregman wurden mit dem Chemie-Transport-Modell TM5 des KNMI die Verteilungen von SF6 und CO2 in der Troposphäre und Stratosphäre, unter den Zielsetzungen Evaluation des Modelltransports und Erweiterung des Datensatzes von SPURT auf globalen Maßstab, für den Zeitraum 1.1.2000 bis 31.12.2002 modelliert. Dabei konnte gezeigt werden, dass bei Modellstudien zur Evaluation des Transports mit Hilfe von Alterstracern nicht nur troposphärisch monoton steigende Tracer wie SF6 sondern auch saisonal variable Tracer wie CO2 verwendet werden müssen. Bei dem Vergleich der Modellergebnisse des TM5 mit ER2- und SPURTMessungen zeigt sich, dass das Modell zum jetzigen Zeitpunkt in der Lage ist, das mittlere Alter in der unteren Stratosphäre und die SF6- und CO2-Verteilungen in der LMS qualitativ richtig wiederzugeben. Das mittlere Alter in der unteren Stratosphäre wird um etwa 0.5 bis 1 Jahr in den Tropen über- und in den Extratropen unterschätzt. Die vertikalen Gradienten im Modell für SF6 und CO2 in der LMS sind, insbesondere im Winter und Frühjahr, zu gering. Die Amplitude des CO2-Jahresganges in der oberen Troposphäre und in der LMS wird durch das Modell unterschätzt, während der saisonale Verlauf des Jahresganges richtig wiedergegeben wird. Im Moment wird vermutet, dass eine zu starke isentrope Mischung zwischen Tropen und Extratropen und/oder ein zu geringer Aufwärtstransport in der extratropischen Troposphäre im Sommer und Herbst die Ursachen für die beobachteten Abweichungen zwischen Modell und Messung sind.
