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The analysis of the global stratospheric meridional circulation, known as the Brewer-Dobson circulation, is an essential part of both experimental and theoretical atmospheric sciences. This large-scale circulation has a crucial influence on the global burden of greenhouse gases and ozone depleting substances throughout the complete atmosphere. This makes it an important factor for the Earth’s radiative budget, which is perceptible at the Earth’s surface despite the remote location of the stratosphere. In the course of climate change it is generally expected that also the Brewer-Dobson circulation undergoes significant changes in structure and strength, although the exact repercussions are still uncertain and thus remain an open scientific question. A general problem for the observational investigation of the dynamical processes in the stratosphere is that residual mean transport cannot be measured directly and hence requires the use of sophisticated proxies. Many studies in the past consider the so-called mean age of air, which is a measure of the average time an air parcel has spent in the stratosphere since passing a certain reference point. While changes in the strength and structure can be detected and visualized using mean age of air, a more thorough distinction between the different involved transport mechanisms of the circulation (residual circulation, mixing) cannot be made. For that, consideration of a full distribution of all relevant transit times through the stratosphere, an age spectrum, is favorable and a powerful tool to analyze the spatial structure as well as possible future changes in detail. Mean age of air and age spectra can be readily derived in atmospheric modeling studies, but an observationally based retrieval is challenging. Mean age of air is usually approximated from measurements of very long-lived trace gas species that act as a dynamical tracer for the stratosphere. The retrieval of age spectra from observations, however, remains an open task for which different methods have been proposed in the past, that often require a combination of strong assumptions and model data explicitly. This is a major issue for a precise and independent investigation of stratospheric dynamics based on measurements. The focus of this cumulative dissertation is on the development process and application of an inversion method to derive stratospheric age spectra from mixing ratios of chemically active substances that combines an applicable and precise ansatz with a minimized amount of necessary model data. Chemically active species have the important benefit that chemistry and transport in the stratosphere are strongly correlated so that the state of depletion of a trace gas can give some information on certain parts of the age spectrum. Considering a sufficient number of distinct trace gases simultaneously, a full approximation of the age spectrum should be possible. The main section of this thesis is split into three parts, which follow the main aspects and key results of the three publications involved (Hauck et al., 2019, 2020; Keber et al., 2020). The newly developed inverse method is based upon the previously established ansatz by Schoeberl et al. (2005), but constrains the shape of the age spectrum by a single parameter inverse Gaussian function. This keeps the balance between applicability and accuracy with a limited amount of measurement data. Additionally, the method introduces a seasonal scaling factor that imposes higher order maxima and minima onto the intrinsically monomodal spectrum based on the seasonal cycle of the tropical upward mass flux to incorporate phases of weaker and stronger transport. A proof of concept of the inverse method is provided using an idealized simulation of the ECHAM/MESSy Atmospheric Chemistry (EMAC) model, where the method is applied to a set of artificial radioactive trace gases with known chemical lifetime. The results imply that the method works properly and retrieves age spectra that match the EMAC reference spectra significantly well on the global and seasonal scale. Only in the lower stratosphere, the performance of the inverse method on the seasonal scale decreases as entrainment into the stratosphere is considered only across the tropical tropopause. Transport across the local extratropical tropopause, however, is a key feature for trace gases in the extratropical lowermost stratosphere so that this entrainment must be included explicitly.
In the second part, the discovered problems are approached to make the inverse method applicable to observations. The formulation of the method is extended to incorporate transport explicitly across the tropical (30° S – 30° N), northern extratropical (30° N – 90° N), and southern extratropical tropopause (30° S – 90° S) each with a single age spectrum that can be inverted independently.
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Background: Point of care devices for performing targeted coagulation substitution in bleeding patients have become increasingly important in recent years. New on the market is the Quantra® from HemoSonics (LC, Charlottesville, VA, US). It uses sonorheometry, a sonic estimation of elasticity via resonance (SEER), a novel ultrasound-based technology that measures viscoelastic properties of whole blood. Several studies have already shown the comparability with devices already established on the market such as the ROTEM® (TEM International GmbH, Munich, Germany).
Objective: In contrast to existing studies, the planned study will be the first prospective interventional study using the new Quantra® system in a cardiac surgical patient cohort. The aim is to investigate the non-inferiority between an already existing coagulation algorithm, based on ROTEM®/Multiplate®, and a new algorithm based on the Quantra®, for the treatment of coagulopathic cardiac surgical patients.
Methods: The study is divided into two phases. In an initial observation phase, whole blood samples of 20 patients will be analyzed using both ROTEM®/Multiplate® and Quantra® obtained at three defined points of time (prior to surgery, after completion of cardiopulmonary bypass, on arrival in the intensive care unit). The obtained threshold values will be used to create an algorithm for hemotherapy. In a second intervention phase, the new algorithm will be tested against an algorithm used routineously for years at our department for non-inferiority.
Results: The main objective of the examination is the cumulative loss of blood within 24 hours after surgery. Statistical calculations based on literature and in-house data suggest that the new algorithm is not inferior if the difference in cumulative blood loss is < 150ml/24 h.
Conclusions: Because of the comparability of the Quantra® sonorheometry system with ROTEM® rotational thromboelastometric measurement methods, the existing hemotherapy treatment algorithm can be adapted to the Quantra device with a proof of non-inferiority. Clinical Trial: International Registered Report Identifier (IRRID): clinicaltrials.gov: NCT03902275
Das Ziel dieser Arbeit ist die Untersuchung der stratosphärischen Meridionalzirkulation mit Hilfe von chemisch aktiven Spurengasen. Diese motiviert sich durch die Tatsache, dass der Klimawandel neben den viel erforschten Auswirkungen auf die Troposphäre, auch Reaktionen in der Stratosphäre zur Folge hat, welche bisher weit weniger tiefgehend untersucht wurden. Das macht die Stratosphäre zu einem aktuellen und frequentierten Forschungsgebiet der experimentellen und theoretischen Meteorologie. Neben vereinzelten hochaufgelösten in-situ Messungen und globalen Satellitendaten sind es hier vor allem globale numerische Klima-Chemiemodelle, die für Analysen genutzt werden. Für diese Arbeit wurden Daten des EMAC-Modells (engl.: ECHAM/MESSy Atmospheric Chemistry) ausgwertet, welche im Rahmen der ESCiMo (engl.: Earth System Chemistry integrated Modelling) Initiative vom MESSy-Konsortium (engl.: Modular Earth Submodel System) erstellt wurden. Die Zielsetzung dieser Arbeit war, ob sich etwaige Änderungen des stratosphärischen Transports anhand von modellierten, chemisch aktiven, idealisierten Spurengasen feststellen lassen. Idealisiert bedeutet hierbei, dass diese Gase ein konstantes Mischungsverhältnis am Erdboden aufweisen und den identischen chemischen Prozessen unterliegen wie die realistischen Tracer. Dies hat zur Folge, dass diese Spurengase somit nicht in das Strahlungsbudget des Modells rückkoppeln und ihre Verteilung nicht durch zeitliche troposphärische Trends beeinflusst wird. Zur Analyse des stratosphärischen Transports wurden die Differenzen der monatlich gemittelten Mischungsverhältnisse zweier Zeitpunkte der verschiedenen Substanzen im Vertikalprofil betrachtet und ausgewertet, wobei hier die photolytische Lebenszeit und die Zeitskala des Transports zu berücksichtigen war. Um die Saisonalität von Transport und Chemie zu berücksichtigen, wurden dazu die Monate März, Juni, September und Dezember analysiert.
Die Resultate zeigten, dass chemisch aktive Substanzen in der Tat geeignet sind Änderungen in der Dynamik festzustellen. So stellte sich heraus, dass mit einer allgemeinen Intensivierung der stratosphärischen Meridionalzirkulation im kommenden Jahrhundert gerechnet werden kann, wobei hiervon besonders die untere Stratosphäre betroffen ist. Eine Differenzierung welche Komponente der Zirkulation (Residualtransport oder bidirektionale quasi-horizontale Mischung) hierbei von übergeordneter Bedeutung ist, konnte nicht spezifiziert werden. Um abzuschätzen, ob sich die Änderung der Zirkulation durch Änderungen in den Mischungsverhältnissen von chemisch aktiven Substanzen mit Hilfe von direkten Messungen nachweisen lässt, wurde die atmosphärische Variabilität des Modells bestimmt und mit den Veränderungen dieser Mischungsverhältnisse verglichen. Es zeigte sich, dass diese modellierte atmosphärische Variabilität zum Teil deutlich größer war, als die Differenzen der Mischungsverhältnisse und so ohne eine Vielzahl von in-situ Messungen keine eindeutige Aussage zulassen. Um eine statistisch valide Aussage treffen zu können, müssen daher mehrere Messreihen innerhalb eines Monats durchgeführt werden. Zudem stellte sich heraus, dass der Monat Juni der bestmögliche Messzeitraum ist, da hier die natürliche Variabilität am geringsten ist. Zuletzt wurden die Spurengase mit vergleichsweise kleiner chemischer Lebenszeit auf normierten N2O-Isoplethen untersucht und die Verschiebung dieser Kurve zwischen den zwei Zeitpunkten analysiert. Die so gewonnenen Resultate ließen den Schluss zu, dass sich auf diese Weise die atmosphärische Variabilität reduzieren lässt und bei Nutzung mit experimentellen Daten eine zu den Tracer-Differenzen konsistente Aussage zulässt. So bestärkte diese Methode die These, dass sich der stratosphärische Transport innerhalb des 21. Jahrhunderts wahrscheinlich verstärken wird.
Deriving stratospheric age of air spectra using an idealized set of chemically active trace gases
(2019)
Analysis of stratospheric transport from an observational point of view is frequently realized by evaluation of the mean age of air values from long-lived trace gases. However, this provides more insight into general transport strength and less into its mechanism. Deriving complete transit time distributions (age spectra) is desirable, but their deduction from direct measurements is difficult. It is so far primarily based on model work. This paper introduces a modified version of an inverse method to infer age spectra from mixing ratios of short-lived trace gases and investigates its basic principle in an idealized model simulation. For a full description of transport seasonality the method includes an imposed seasonal cycle to gain multimodal spectra. An ECHAM/MESSy Atmospheric Chemistry (EMAC) model simulation is utilized for a general proof of concept of the method and features an idealized dataset of 40 radioactive trace gases with different chemical lifetimes as well as 40 chemically inert pulsed trace gases to calculate pulse age spectra. It is assessed whether the modified inverse method in combination with the seasonal cycle can provide matching age spectra when chemistry is well-known. Annual and seasonal mean inverse spectra are compared to pulse spectra including first and second moments as well as the ratio between them to assess the performance on these timescales. Results indicate that the modified inverse age spectra match the annual and seasonal pulse age spectra well on global scale beyond 1.5 years of mean age of air. The imposed seasonal cycle emerges as a reliable tool to include transport seasonality in the age spectra. Below 1.5 years of mean age of air, tropospheric influence intensifies and breaks the assumption of single entry through the tropical tropopause, leading to inaccurate spectra, in particular in the Northern Hemisphere. The imposed seasonal cycle wrongly prescribes seasonal entry in this lower region and does not lead to a better agreement between inverse and pulse age spectra without further improvement. Tests with a focus on future application to observational data imply that subsets of trace gases with 5 to 10 species are sufficient for deriving well-matching age spectra. These subsets can also compensate for an average uncertainty of up to ±20 % in the knowledge of chemical lifetime if a deviation of circa ±10 % in modal age and amplitude of the resulting spectra is tolerated.
Analysis of stratospheric transport from an observational point of view is frequently realized by evaluation of mean age of air values from long-lived trace gases. However, this provides more insight into general transport strength and less into its mechanism. Deriving complete transit time distributions (age spectra) is desirable, but their deduction from direct measurements is difficult and so far primarily achieved by assumptions about dynamics and spectra themselves. This paper introduces a modified version of an inverse method to infer age spectra from mixing ratios of short-lived trace gases. For a full description of transport seasonality the formulation includes an imposed seasonal cycle to gain multimodal spectra. The EMAC model simulation used for a proof of concept features an idealized dataset of 40 radioactive trace gases with different chemical lifetimes as well as 40 chemically inert pulsed trace gases to calculate pulse age spectra. Annual and seasonal mean inverse spectra are compared to pulse spectra including first and second moments as well as the ratio between them to assess the performance on these time scales. Results indicate that the modified inverse age spectra match the annual and seasonal pulse age spectra well on global scale beyond 1.5 years mean age of air. The imposed seasonal cycle emerges as a reliable tool to include transport seasonality in the age spectra. Below 1.5 years mean age of air, tropospheric influence intensifies and breaks the assumption of single entry through the tropical tropopause, leading to inaccurate spectra in particular in the northern hemisphere. The imposed seasonal cycle wrongly prescribes seasonal entry in this lower region and does not lead to a better agreement between inverse and pulse age spectra without further improvement. As the inverse method aims for future implementation on in situ observational data, possible critical factors for this purpose are delineated finally.
We present novel measurements of five short-lived brominated source gases (CH2Br2, CHBr3, CH2ClBr, CHCl2Br and CHClBr2) obtained using a gas chromatograph-mass spectrometer system on board the High Altitude and Long Range Research Aircraft (HALO). The instrument is extremely sensitive due to the use of chemical ionisation, allowing detection limits in the lower parts per quadrillion (10-15) range. Data from three campaigns using the HALO aircraft are presented, where the Upper Troposphere/Lower Stratosphere (UTLS) of the Northern Hemisphere mid to high latitudes were sampled during winter and during late summer to early fall. We show that an observed decrease with altitude in the stratosphere is consistent with the relative lifetimes of the different compounds. Distributions of the five source gases and total organic bromine just below the tropopause shows an increase in mixing ratio with latitude, in particular during polar winter. This increase in mixing ratio is explained by increasing lifetimes at higher latitudes during winter. As the mixing ratio at the extratropical tropopause are generally higher than those derived for the tropical tropopause, extratropical troposphere-to-stratosphere transport will result in elevated levels of organic bromine in comparison to air transported over the tropical tropopause. The observations are compared to model estimates using different emission scenarios. A scenario which has emissions most strongly concentrated to low latitudes cannot reproduce the observed latitudinal distributions and will tend to overestimate bromine input through the tropical tropopause from CH2Br2 and CHBr3. Consequently, the scenario also overestimates the amount of brominated organic gases in the stratosphere. The two scenarios with the highest overall emissions of CH2Br2 tend to overestimate mixing ratios at the tropical tropopause but are in much better agreement with extratropical tropopause values, showing that not only total emissions but also latitudinal distributions in the emissions are of importance. While an increase in tropopause values with latitude is reproduced with all emission scenarios during winter, the simulated extratropical tropopause values are on average lower than the observations during late summer to fall. We show that a good knowledge of the latitudinal distribution of tropopause mixing ratios and of the fractional contributions of tropical and extratropical air is needed to derive stratospheric inorganic bromine in the lowermost stratosphere from observations. Depending on the underlying emission scenario, differences of a factor 2 in reactive bromine derived from observations and model outputs are found for the lowermost stratosphere, based on source gas injection. We conclude that a good representation of the contributions of different source regions is required in models for a robust assessment of the role of short-lived halogen source gases on ozone depletion in the UTLS.