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We assess the relationship between finance and growth over the period 1980-2014. We estimate a cross-country growth regression for 48 countries during 20 periods of 15 years starting in 1980 (to 1995) and ending in 1999 (to 2014). We use OLS and IV estimations and we find that: 1) overall financial development had a positive effect on economic growth during all periods of our sample, i.e., we confirm that from 1980 to 2014 financial services provided by the various financial systems were significant (to various degrees) for firm creation, industrial expansion and economic growth; but that, 2) the structure of financial markets was particularly relevant for economic growth until the financial crisis; while 3) the structure of the banking sector played a major role since; and finally that, 4) the legal system is the primary determinant of the effectiveness of the overall financial system in facilitating innovation and growth in (almost) all of our sample period. Hence, overall our results suggest that the relationship between finance and growth matters but also that it varies over time in strength and in sector origination.
JEL Classification: O16, G16, G20.
Gegenstand des Beitrages ist das Konzeptionsproblem der juristischen Schlüsselqualifikationen, das bisher auf der Ebene der Gesetzgebung, der Wissenschaft und der Praxis ungelöst ist. Gerade diese Tatsache könnte paradoxerweise mittel- und langfristig dazu führen, dass sich das Profil rechtswissenschaftlicher Fakultäten schärft, die Schlüsselqualifikationen in ihre rechtswissenschaftliche Ausbildung systematisch, aber nicht naiv, integrieren. Dazu muss ein funktionaler Blick auf die in den universitären Alltag zu integrierenden Schlüsselqualifikationen geworfen werden. Diese sind nicht selbsterklärend, sondern lediglich Mittel, die einem bestimmten Zweck dienen, der selbst wieder begründungsbedürftig ist. Wer als Studierender von einer Profilbildung juristischer Fakultäten profitieren will, sollte sich mit den zunehmend deutlicher werdenden Entwicklungen auseinander setzen, die dazu führen, Schlüsselqualifikationen auf eine je charakteristische Weise in den Ausbildungsalltag einer Fakultät einzubinden - oder aus diesem auszuschließen. Zu wünschen wäre, dass sich über kurz oder lang ein hochschulübergreifendes Forum herausbildet. Ziel wäre es, die Praxisrelevanz der rechtswissenschaftlichen Ausbildung zu steigern und deren Hinwendung zu rechtsdidaktischen, deontologischen und konzeptionellen Fragen zu ermöglichen, ohne das wissenschaftliche Fundament der Hochschulen und deren Autonomie einzuschränken, sondern beides im Idealfall zu stimulieren. Die Verfasser, die beide seit Jahren Seminare am Fachbereichszentrum für Schlüsselqualifikationen des Fachbereichs FB 01 der Johann Wolfgang Goethe-Universität Frankfurt am Main leiten, stellen damit keine Prognose auf, dass die Integration von Schlüsselqualifikationen im hier beschriebenen Sinn flächendeckend stattfinden oder gelingen wird. Nichtsdestoweniger zeigt sich am Umgang mit den Schlüsselqualifikationen exemplarisch, welche Analysen und Ableitungen eine Hochschule aus dem gesetzlich vorgegebenen Dialog zwischen Theorie und Praxis entwickelt hat. Hieraus lassen sich wiederum Schlussfolgerungen über den Zustand der Hochschulausbildung in Deutschland ziehen. Nach Auffassung der Autoren haben Hochschulen mit inklusivem Ansatz eine bessere Chance zur Bewahrung der eigenen Autonomie als solche, die sich gegenüber tendenziell übergriffigen Akteuren aus Wirtschaft und Politik (vermeintlich) kategorisch abschotten. Hochschulen, die das Stadium einer leitbildgetreuen Dialogfähigkeit erreichen, haben es einfacher, neben ihrer Wettbewerbsfähigkeit auch ihr Kernanliegen zu behaupten. Die Bedeutung von Hochschulen, die ihre Augen vor einer Aufweichung des ihnen zukommenden Forschungs-, Lehr- und Bildungsauftrags verschließen, wird, so die Prognose der Autoren, in Gesellschaft, Wirtschaft und Politik auf Dauer schwinden.
Rechtswissenschaftliche Abhandlungen und Veranstaltungen zu internationalen Gerichten stehen häufig unter dem Titel „Internationale Streitbeilegung“. Es wäre aber viel besser, so die Leitthese dieses Beitrags, solche Texte und Veranstaltungen als „internationale Gerichtsbarkeit“ zu betiteln. Dies ist keineswegs ein bloßer Streit um Worte, da hinter diesen Alternativen unterschiedliche rechtswissenschaftliche Auffassungen stehen. Im Folgenden sei gezeigt, dass anders als die Be-zeichnung „Internationale Streitbeilegung“ suggeriert, nicht nur eine, sondern vier Funktionen die Rechtsprechung heutiger internationaler Gerichte kennzeichnen. Es handelt sich dabei um: Streitbeilegung im Einzelfall, Stabilisierung normativer Erwartungen, Rechtschöpfung sowie Kontrolle und Legitimation öffentlicher Gewalt. Die Ana-lyse dieser Funktionen zeigt, dass die Bezeichnung „Internationale Streitbeilegung“ überkommen ist. Entsprechend sollte die Bezeichnung des Fachs geändert und es als Teil des Fachs internationale Institutionen verortet werden.
Luis de Molina (1535-1600) grants slaves a legal status through which they can take up a position with respect to their masters between equivalent legal entity and legal object. Here, what is decisive is the figure of the subjective right, which both for Molina and modern proponents of this legal concept describes the 'right per se'. According to Molina's definition of ius, the denial of a subjective right or the hindrance of exercising an individual right represents an injustice. The rights granted to a slave in virtue of his being regarded a human being (despite the condition of slavery) serve to protect the slave against unjust acts. Molina does not distinguish the slave as a legal entity as separate from his master insofar as the slave should be protected against injustices committed against him or his property; injustices for which he would be entitled to compensation. Yet, the slave is not able to stake his claim to a particular right because it is not possible for him to take the matter to court. His natural law justified coequal legal status with respect to his master is limited in such a way by the positive legal order (by means of which slavery is generally made possible) that he is to be held legally incompetent as a legal entity with regard to defending and enforcing his 'qua homo'-legal rights. This precarious situation is due to the complicated legal intermediate position of a human legal entity, which, at the same time, represents the legal object of another person.
This note discusses the basic economics of central clearing for derivatives and the need for a proper regulation, supervision and resolution of central counterparty clearing houses (CCPs). New regulation in the U.S. and in Europe renders the involvement of a central counterparty mandatory for standardized OTC derivatives’ trading and sets higher capital and collateral requirements for non-centrally cleared derivatives.
From a macrofinance perspective, CCPs provide a trade-off between reduced contagion risk in the financial industry and the creation of a significant systemic risk. However, so far, regulation and supervision of CCPs is very fragmented, limited and ignores two important aspects: the risk of consolidation of CCPs on the one side and the competition among CCPs on the other side. i) As the economies of scale of CCP operations in risk and cost reduction can be large, they provide an argument in favor of consolidation, leading at the extreme to a monopoly CCP that poses the ultimate default risk – a systemic risk for the entire financial sector. As a systemic risk event requires a government bailout, there is a public policy issue here. ii) As long as no monopoly CCP exists, there is competition for market share among existing CCPs. Such competition may undermine the stability of the entire financial system because it induces “predatory margining”: a reduction of margin requirements to increase market share.
The policy lesson from our consideration emphasizes the importance of a single authority supervising all competing CCPs as well as of a specific regulation and resolution framework for CCPs. Our general recommendations can be applied to the current situation in Europe, and the proposed merger between Deutsche Börse and London Stock Exchange.
n this paper we analyze an economy with two heterogeneous investors who both exhibit misspecified filtering models for the unobservable expected growth rate of the aggregated dividend. A key result of our analysis with respect to long-run investor survival is that there are degrees of model misspecification on the part of one investor for which there is no compensation by the other investor's deficiency. The main finding with respect to the asset pricing properties of our model is that the two dimensions of asset pricing and survival are basically independent. In scenarios when the investors are more similar with respect to their expected consumption shares, return volatilities can nevertheless be higher than in cases when they are very different.
Motivated by the U.S. events of the 2000s, we address whether a too low for too long interest rate policy may generate a boom-bust cycle. We simulate anticipated and unanticipated monetary policies in state-of-the-art DSGE models and in a model with bond financing via a shadow banking system, in which the bond spread is calibrated for normal and optimistic times. Our results suggest that the U.S. boom-bust was caused by the combination of (i) too low for too long interest rates, (ii) excessive optimism and (iii) a failure of agents to anticipate the extent of the abnormally favorable conditions.
The term structure of interest rates is crucial for the transmission of monetary policy to financial markets and the macroeconomy. Disentangling the impact of monetary policy on the components of interest rates, expected short rates and term premia, is essential to understanding this channel. To accomplish this, we provide a quantitative structural model with endogenous, time-varying term premia that are consistent with empirical findings. News about future policy, in contrast to unexpected policy shocks, has quantitatively significant effects on term premia along the entire term structure. This provides a plausible explanation for partly contradictory estimates in the empirical literature.
June 4th, 2013 marks the formal launch of the third generation of the Equator Principles (EP III) and the tenth anniversary of the EPs – enough reasons for evaluating the EPs initiative from an economic ethics and business ethics perspectives. In particular, this essay deals with the following questions: What are the EPs and where are they going? What has been achieved so far by the EPs? What are the strengths and weaknesses of the EPs? Which necessary reform steps need to be adopted in order to further strengthen the EPs framework? Can the EPs be regarded as a role-model in the field of sustainable finance and CSR? The paper is structured as follows: The first chapter defines the term EPs and introduces the keywords related to the EPs framework. The second chapter gives a brief overview of the history of the EPs. The third chapter discusses the Equator Principles Association, the governing, administering, and managing institution behind the EPs. The fourth chapter summarizes the main features and characteristics of the newly released third generation of the EPs. The fifth chapter critically evaluates the EP III from an economic ethics and business ethics perspectives. The paper concludes with a summary of the main findings.