TY - UNPD A1 - Kräussl, Roman T1 - Sovereign credit ratings and their impact on recent financial crises T2 - Center for Financial Studies (Frankfurt am Main): CFS working paper series ; No. 2000,04 N2 - This paper discusses the role of the credit rating agencies during the recent financial crises. In particular, it examines whether the agencies can add to the dynamics of emerging market crises. Academics and investors often argue that sovereign credit ratings are responsible for pronounced boom-bust cycles in emerging-markets lending. Using a vector autoregressive system this paper examines how US dollar bond yield spreads and the short-term international liquidity position react to an unexpected sovereign credit rating change. Contrary to common belief and previous studies, the empirical results suggest that an abrupt downgrade does not necessarily intensify a financial crisis. T3 - CFS working paper series - 2000, 04 KW - Risk Management KW - Value at Risk KW - Density Forecasting KW - Predictive Likelihood KW - Kreditrisiko KW - Rating KW - Währungskrise Y1 - 2000 UR - http://publikationen.ub.uni-frankfurt.de/frontdoor/index/index/docId/4524 UR - https://nbn-resolving.org/urn:nbn:de:hebis:30-9698 ER -