TY - UNPD A1 - Caporin, Massimiliano A1 - Costola, Michele T1 - Time-varying granger causality tests for applications in global crude oil markets: a study on the DCC-MGARCH Hong test T2 - SAFE working paper ; No. 324 N2 - Analysing causality among oil prices and, in general, among financial and economic variables is of central relevance in applied economics studies. The recent contribution of Lu et al. (2014) proposes a novel test for causality— the DCC-MGARCH Hong test. We show that the critical values of the test statistic must be evaluated through simulations, thereby challenging the evidence in papers adopting the DCC-MGARCH Hong test. We also note that rolling Hong tests represent a more viable solution in the presence of short-lived causality periods. T3 - SAFE working paper - 324 KW - Granger Causality KW - Hong test KW - DCC-GARCH KW - Oil market KW - COVID-19 Y1 - 2021 UR - http://publikationen.ub.uni-frankfurt.de/frontdoor/index/index/docId/61638 UR - https://nbn-resolving.org/urn:nbn:de:hebis:30:3-616382 UR - https://ssrn.com/abstract=3941778 PB - SAFE CY - Frankfurt am Main ER -