TY - JOUR A1 - Garritzmann, Julian L. A1 - Neimanns, Erik A1 - Busemeyer, Marius R. T1 - Public opinion towards welfare state reform: The role of political trust and government satisfaction T2 - European journal of political research N2 - The traditional welfare state, which emerged as a response to industrialization, is not well equipped to address the challenges of today's post-industrial knowledge economies. Experts and policymakers have therefore called for welfare state readjustment towards a ‘social investment’ model (focusing on human skills and capabilities). Under what conditions are citizens willing to accept such future-oriented reforms? We point at the crucial but hitherto neglected role of citizens’ trust in and satisfaction with government. Trust and satisfaction matter because future-oriented reforms generate uncertainties, risks and costs, which trust and government satisfaction can attenuate. We offer micro-level causal evidence using experiments in a representative survey covering eight European countries and confirm these findings with European Social Survey data for 22 countries. We find that trust and government satisfaction increase reform support and moderate the effects of self-interest and ideological standpoints. These findings have crucial implications not least because they help explain why some countries manage – but others fail – to enact important reforms. KW - welfare state reform KW - social investment KW - public opinion KW - reform capacity KW - political trust KW - government satisfaction Y1 - 2021 UR - http://publikationen.ub.uni-frankfurt.de/frontdoor/index/index/docId/75244 UR - https://nbn-resolving.org/urn:nbn:de:hebis:30:3-752440 SN - 1475-6765 N1 - Research for this paper was supported with a Starting Grant from the European Research Council, Grant No. 311769. Open access funding enabled and organized by Projekt DEAL. VL - 62 IS - 1 SP - 197 EP - 220 PB - Blackwell Publ. CY - Oxford ER -