TY - UNPD A1 - Hendricks, Lutz A1 - Leukhina, Oksana T1 - The return to college: selection and dropout risk T2 - Center for Financial Studies (Frankfurt am Main): CFS working paper series ; No. 487 N2 - This paper studies the effect of graduating from college on lifetime earnings. We develop a quantitative model of college choice with uncertain graduation. Departing from much of the literature, we model in detail how students progress through college. This allows us to parameterize the model using transcript data. College transcripts reveal substantial and persistent heterogeneity in students’ credit accumulation rates that are strongly related to graduation outcomes. From this data, the model infers a large ability gap between college graduates and high school graduates that accounts for 54% of the college lifetime earnings premium. T3 - CFS working paper series - 487 KW - Education KW - College premium KW - College dropout risk Y1 - 2014 UR - http://publikationen.ub.uni-frankfurt.de/frontdoor/index/index/docId/35310 UR - https://nbn-resolving.org/urn:nbn:de:hebis:30:3-353107 UR - http://ssrn.com/abstract=2518430 IS - November 1, 2014 PB - Center for Financial Studies CY - Frankfurt, M. ER -