TY  - JOUR
A1  - Pfenninger, Markus
A1  - Bálint, Miklós
A1  - Pauls, Steffen U.
T1  - Methodological framework for projecting the potential loss of intraspecific genetic diversity due to global climate change
T2  - BMC evolutionary biology
N2  - Background: While research on the impact of global climate change (GCC) on ecosystems and species is flourishing, a fundamental component of biodiversity -- molecular variation -- has not yet received its due attention in such studies. Here we present a methodological framework for projecting the loss of intraspecific genetic diversity due to GCC.
Methods: The framework consists of multiple steps that and combines 1) hierarchical genetic clustering methods to define comparable units of inference, 2) species accumulation curves (SAC) to infer sampling completeness, and 3) species distribution modelling (SDM) to project the genetic diversity loss under GCC. We suggest procedures for existing data sets as well as specifically designed studies. We illustrate the approach with two worked examples from a land snail (Trochulus villosus) and a caddisfly (Smicridea (S.) mucronata).
Results: Sampling completeness was diagnosed on the third most coarse haplotype clade level for T. villosus and the second most coarse for S. mucronata. For both species, a substantial species range loss was projected under the chosen climate scenario. However, despite substantial differences in data set quality concerning spatial sampling and sampling depth, no loss of haplotype clades due to GCC was predicted for either species.
Conclusions: The suggested approach presents a feasible method to tap the rich resources of existing phylogeographic data sets and guide the design and analysis of studies explicitly designed to estimate the impact of GCC on a currently still neglected level of biodiversity.
Y1  - 2012
UR  - http://publikationen.ub.uni-frankfurt.de/frontdoor/index/index/docId/25628
UR  - https://nbn-resolving.org/urn:nbn:de:hebis:30:3-256287
SN  - 1471-2148
N1  - © 2012 Pfenninger et al.; licensee BioMed Central Ltd. This is an Open Access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.0), which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
VL  - 12
IS  - 224
PB  - BioMed Central
CY  - London
ER  -