TY - UNPD A1 - Bornhorst, Fabian A1 - Mody, Ashoka T1 - Test of the German Resilience T2 - Center for Financial Studies (Frankfurt am Main): CFS working paper series ; No. 2012,14 N2 - From its early post-war catch-up phase, Germany’s formidable export engine has been its consistent driver of growth. But Germany has almost equally consistently run current account surpluses. Exports have powered the dynamic phases and helped emerge from stagnation. Volatile external demand, in turn, has elevated German GDP growth volatility by advanced countries’ standards, keeping domestic consumption growth at surprisingly low levels. As a consequence, despite the size of its economy and important labor market reforms, Germany’s ability to act as global locomotive has been limited. With increasing competition in its traditional areas of manufacturing, a more domestically-driven growth dynamic, especially in the production and delivery of services, will be good for Germany and for the global economy. Absent such an effort, German growth will remain constrained, and Germany will play only a modest role in spurring growth elsewhere. T3 - CFS working paper series - 2012, 14 KW - Economic Performance KW - Economic Reforms KW - Economic Recovery KW - Current Account KW - Productivity KW - Labor Market KW - Spillovers KW - Germany Y1 - 2012 UR - http://publikationen.ub.uni-frankfurt.de/frontdoor/index/index/docId/26877 UR - https://nbn-resolving.org/urn:nbn:de:hebis:30:3-268775 IS - Version October 2012 PB - CFS CY - Frankfurt, Main ER -