TY  - JOUR
A1  - Cunze, Sarah
A1  - Leiblein, Marion Carmen
A1  - Tackenberg, Oliver
T1  - Range expansion of Ambrosia artemisiifolia in Europe is promoted by climate change
T2  - ISRN ecology
N2  - Ambrosia artemisiifolia L., native to North America, is a problematic invasive species, because of its highly allergenic pollen. The species is expected to expand its range due to climate change. By means of ecological niche modelling (ENM), we predict habitat suitability for A. artemisiifolia in Europe under current and future climatic conditions. Overall, we compared the performance and results of 16 algorithms commonly applied in ENM. As occurrence records of invasive species may be dominated by sampling bias, we also used data from the native range. To assess the quality of the modelling approaches we assembled a new map of current occurrences of A. artemisiifolia in Europe. Our results show that ENM yields a good estimation of the potential range of A. artemisiifolia in Europe only when using the North American data. A strong sampling bias in the European Global Biodiversity Information Facility (GBIF) data for A. artemisiifolia causes unrealistic results. Using the North American data reflects the realized European distribution very well. All models predict an enlargement and a northwards shift of potential range in Central and Northern Europe during the next decades. Climate warming will lead to an increase and northwards shift of A. artemisiifolia in Europe.
Y1  - 2013
UR  - http://publikationen.ub.uni-frankfurt.de/frontdoor/index/index/docId/25884
UR  - https://nbn-resolving.org/urn:nbn:de:hebis:30:3-258846
SN  - 2090-4622
SN  - 2090-4614
N1  - Copyright © 2013 Sarah Cunze et al. This is an open access article distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution License http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/ , which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
VL  - 2013
IS  - Article ID 610126
PB  - Hindawi
CY  - New York, NY [u.a.]
ER  -