TY - UNPD A1 - Ottaviano, Gianmarco I. P. A1 - Pessoa, João Paulo A1 - Sampson, Thomas A1 - Van Reenen, John T1 - The costs and benefits of leaving the EU T2 - Center for Financial Studies (Frankfurt am Main): CFS working paper series ; No. 472 N2 - What would be the economic effects of the UK leaving the European Union on living standards of British people? We focus on the effects of trade on welfare net of lower fiscal transfers to the EU. We use a standard quantitative static general equilibrium trade model with multiple sectors, countries and intermediates, as in Costinot and Rodriguez-Clare (2013). Static losses range between 1.13% and 3.09% of GDP, depending on the assumptions used in our counterfactual scenarios. Including dynamic effects could more than double such losses. T3 - CFS working paper series - 472 KW - trade KW - European Union KW - welfare Y1 - 2014 UR - http://publikationen.ub.uni-frankfurt.de/frontdoor/index/index/docId/35104 UR - https://nbn-resolving.org/urn:nbn:de:hebis:30:3-351041 UR - http://ssrn.com/abstract=2506664 IS - May 13, 2014 PB - Center for Financial Studies CY - Frankfurt, M. ER -