Episodes of liberalization in autocracies: a new approach to quantitatively studying democratization
- This paper introduces a new approach to the quantitative study of democratization. Building on the comparative case-study and large-N literature, it outlines an episode approach that identifies the discrete beginning of a period of political liberalization, traces its progression, and classifies episodes as successful versus different types of failing outcomes, thus avoiding potentially fallacious assumptions of unit homogeneity. We provide a description and analysis of all 383 liberalization episodes from 1900 to 2019, offering new insights on democratic “waves”. We also demonstrate the value of this approach by showing that while several established covariates are valuable for predicting the ultimate outcomes, none explain the onset of a period of liberalization.
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| Author: | Matthew Charles WilsonORCiDGND, Juraj MedzihorskyORCiDGND, Seraphine F. MaerzGND, Patrik LindenforsORCiDGND, Amanda B. EdgellORCiDGND, Vanessa Alexandra BoeseORCiDGND, Staffan I. LindbergORCiDGND |
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| URN: | urn:nbn:de:hebis:30:3-628983 |
| DOI: | https://doi.org/10.1017/psrm.2022.11 |
| ISSN: | 2049-8489 |
| Parent Title (English): | Political science research and methods |
| Publisher: | Cambridge Univ. Press |
| Place of publication: | Cambridge |
| Document Type: | Article |
| Language: | English |
| Date of Publication (online): | 2022/06/15 |
| Date of first Publication: | 2022/06/15 |
| Publishing Institution: | Universitätsbibliothek Johann Christian Senckenberg |
| Release Date: | 2023/03/13 |
| Tag: | Comparative politics; political institutions |
| Volume: | 2022 |
| Issue: | online version before inclusion in an issue |
| Page Number: | 20 |
| First Page: | 1 |
| Last Page: | 20 |
| Note: | Early View: Online Version before inclusion in an issue |
| HeBIS-PPN: | 508958334 |
| Institutes: | Gesellschaftswissenschaften |
| Dewey Decimal Classification: | 3 Sozialwissenschaften / 32 Politikwissenschaft / 320 Politikwissenschaft |
| Sammlungen: | Universitätspublikationen |
| Licence (German): |  Creative Commons - CC BY-NC-SA - Namensnennung - Nicht kommerziell - Weitergabe unter gleichen Bedingungen 4.0 International |
