Open Access

Stephan Gufler

• We study exchangeable coalescent trees and the evolving genealogical trees in models for neutral haploid populations. We show that every exchangeable infinite coalescent tree can be obtained as the genealogical tree of iid samples from a random marked metric measure space when the marks are added to the metric distances. We apply this representation to generalize the tree-valued Fleming-Viot process to include the case with dust in which the genealogical trees have isolated leaves. Using the Donnelly-Kurtz lookdown approach, we describe all individuals ever alive in the population model by a random complete and separable metric space, the lookdown space, which we endow with a family of sampling measures. This yields a pathwise construction of tree-valued Fleming-Viot processes. In the case of coming down from infinity, we also read off a process whose state space is endowed with the Gromov-Hausdorff-Prohorov topology. This process has additional jumps at the extinction times of parts of the population. In the case with only binary reproduction events, we construct the lookdown space also from the Aldous continuum random tree by removing the root and the highest leaf, and by deforming the metric in a way that corresponds to the time change that relates the Fleming-Viot process with a Dawson-Watanabe process. The sampling measures on the lookdown space are then image measures of the normalized local time measures. We also show invariance principles for Markov chains that describe the evolving genealogy in Cannings models. For such Markov chains with values in the space of distance matrix distributions, we show convergence to tree-valued Fleming-Viot processes under the conditions of Möhle and Sagitov for the convergence of the genealogy at a fixed time to a coalescent with simultaneous multiple mergers. For the convergence of Markov chains with values in the space of marked metric measure spaces, an additional assumption is needed in the case with dust.