Toward seamless hydrologic predictions across scales

  • Land surface and hydrologic models (LSM/HM) are used at diverse spatial resolutions ranging from 1-10 km in catchment-scale applications to over 50 km in global-scale applications. Application of the same model structure at different spatial scales requires that the model estimates similar fluxes independent of the model resolution and fulfills a flux-matching condition across scales. An analysis of state-of-the-art LSMs and HMs reveals that most do not have consistent and realistic parameter fields for land surface geophysical properties. Multiple experiments with the mHM, Noah-MP, PCR-GLOBWB and WaterGAP models are conducted to demonstrate the pitfalls of poor parameterization practices currently used in most operational models, which are insufficient to satisfy the flux-matching condition. These examples demonstrate that J. Dooge’s 1982 statement on the unsolved problem of parameterization in these models remains true. We provide a short review of existing parameter regionalization techniques and discuss a method for obtaining seamless hydrological predictions of water fluxes and states across multiple spatial resolutions. The multiscale parameter regionalization (MPR) technique is a practical and robust method that provides consistent (seamless) parameter and flux fields across scales. A general model protocol is presented to describe how MPR can be applied to a specific model, with an example of this application using the PCR-GLOBWB model. Applying MPR to PCR-GLOBWB substantially improves the flux-matching condition. Estimation of evapotranspiration without MPR at 5 arcmin and 30 arcmin spatial resolutions for the Rhine river basin results in a difference of approximately 29%. Applying MPR reduce this difference to 9%. For total soil water, the differences without and with MPR are 25% and 7%, respectively.

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Metadaten
Author:Luis Eduardo Samaniego EguigurenORCiDGND, Rohini KumarORCiDGND, Stephan Thober, Oldrich Rakovec, Matthias Zink, Niko Wanders, Stephanie Eisner, Hannes Müller SchmiedORCiDGND, Edwin H. Sutanudjaja, Kirsten Warrach-Sagi, Sabine Attinger
URN:urn:nbn:de:hebis:30:3-444882
DOI:https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-2017-89, 2017
ISSN:1812-2116
Parent Title (English):Hydrology and earth system sciences discussions
Publisher:European Geosciences Union
Place of publication:Katlenburg-Lindau.
Document Type:Article
Language:English
Year of Completion:2017
Date of first Publication:2017/03/06
Publishing Institution:Universitätsbibliothek Johann Christian Senckenberg
Release Date:2017/11/02
Volume:2017
Issue:89
Page Number:36
HeBIS-PPN:425301249
Institutes:Fachübergreifende Einrichtungen / Biodiversität und Klima Forschungszentrum (BiK-F)
Dewey Decimal Classification:5 Naturwissenschaften und Mathematik / 55 Geowissenschaften, Geologie / 550 Geowissenschaften
Sammlungen:Universitätspublikationen
Licence (German):License LogoCreative Commons - Namensnennung 3.0