Infection risk shifts of protests during pandemics

  • This research article examines the dual impact of protests on COVID-19 spread, a challenge for policymakers balancing public health and the right to assemble. Using a game theoretical model, it shows that protests can shift infection risks between counties, creating a dilemma for regulators. The empirical study analyzes two German protests in November 2020 using proprietary data from a bus-shuttle service, finding evidence to support the assumption that protests can shift infection risks. The article concludes by discussing the implications of these findings for policymakers, highlighting that regulators’ individually rational strategic decisions may lead to inefficient outcomes.

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Author:Lennart KraftORCiDGND, Michael NiekampGND
Parent Title (English):medRxiv
Document Type:Preprint
Date of Publication (online):2023/04/19
Date of first Publication:2023/04/19
Publishing Institution:Universitätsbibliothek Johann Christian Senckenberg
Release Date:2023/06/16
Page Number:15
Institutes:Wirtschaftswissenschaften / Wirtschaftswissenschaften
Dewey Decimal Classification:6 Technik, Medizin, angewandte Wissenschaften / 61 Medizin und Gesundheit / 610 Medizin und Gesundheit
JEL-Classification:I Health, Education, and Welfare / I1 Health / I12 Health Production
I Health, Education, and Welfare / I1 Health / I18 Government Policy; Regulation; Public Health
P Economic Systems / P1 Capitalist Systems / P16 Political Economy
Licence (German):License LogoCreative Commons - CC BY-ND - Namensnennung - Keine Bearbeitungen 4.0 International