Lung opacity and coronary artery calcium score: a combined tool for risk stratification and outcome prediction in COVID-19 patients

  • Highlights • Assessment of coronary artery plaque burden according to the CAC-DRS Score correlated well with pulmonary involvement of SARS-CoV-2 pneumonia (min. r=0.81, 95% CI 0.76 to 0.86). • Visual and quantitative CAC-DRS Score of coronary artery plaque burden provided independent prognostic information on all-cause mortality in patients with SARS-CoV-2 pneumonia (p=0.0016 and p<0.0001, respectively). • Incorporating CAC-DRS Score and pulmonary involvement into clinical decision making revealed great potential to discriminate patients with fatal outcomes from a mild course of disease (AUC 0.938, 95% CI 0.89 to 0.97) and the need for intensive care treatment (AUC 0.801, 95% CI 0.77 to 0.83). Purpose: To assess and correlate pulmonary involvement and outcome of SARS-CoV-2 pneumonia with the degree of coronary plaque burden based on the CAC-DRS classification (Coronary Artery Calcium Data and Reporting System). Methods: This retrospective study included 142 patients with confirmed SARS-CoV-2 pneumonia (58 ± 16 years; 57 women) who underwent non-contrast CT between January 2020 and August 2021 and were followed up for 129 ± 72 days. One experienced blinded radiologist analyzed CT series for the presence and extent of calcified plaque burden according to the visual and quantitative HU-based CAC-DRS Score. Pulmonary involvement was automatically evaluated with a dedicated software prototype by another two experienced radiologists and expressed as Opacity Score. Results: CAC-DRS Scores derived from visual and quantitative image evaluation correlated well with the Opacity Score (r=0.81, 95% CI 0.76-0.86, and r=0.83, 95% CI 0.77-0.89, respectively; p<0.0001) with higher correlation in severe than in mild stage SARS-CoV-2 pneumonia (p<0.0001). Combined, CAC-DRS and Opacity Scores revealed great potential to discriminate fatal outcomes from a mild course of disease (AUC 0.938, 95% CI 0.89-0.97), and the need for intensive care treatment (AUC 0.801, 95% CI 0.77-0.83). Visual and quantitative CAC-DRS Scores provided independent prognostic information on all-cause mortality (p=0.0016 and p<0.0001, respectively), both in univariate and multivariate analysis. Conclusions: Coronary plaque burden is strongly correlated to pulmonary involvement, adverse outcome, and death due to respiratory failure in patients with SARS-CoV-2 pneumonia, offering great potential to identify individuals at high risk.

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Author:Vitali KochORCiDGND, Leon David GrünewaldORCiDGND, Moritz Hans Ernst AlbrechtORCiDGND, Katrin EichlerGND, Tatjana Gruber-RouhORCiDGND, Ibrahim YelORCiDGND, Leona Soraja AlizadehORCiDGND, Scherwin MahmoudiORCiDGND, Jan-Erik ScholtzGND, Simon S. MartinORCiDGND, Lukas LengaORCiDGND, Thomas J. VoglORCiDGND, Nour-Eldin Abdelrehim Nour-Eldin MohammedORCiDGND, Florian Bienenfeld, Renate Maria HammerstinglGND, Christiana GrafORCiDGND, Christof M. SommerORCiDGND, Stefan HardtORCiDGND, Silvio MazziottiORCiD, Giorgio AscentiORCiD, Giovanni Antonio VersaceORCiD, Tommaso D’AngeloORCiD, Christian BoozORCiDGND
URN:urn:nbn:de:hebis:30:3-783294
DOI:https://doi.org/10.1016/j.acra.2022.02.019
ISSN:1076-6332
Parent Title (English):Academic radiology
Publisher:Elsevier
Place of publication:Amsterdam
Document Type:Article
Language:English
Date of Publication (online):2022/05/02
Date of first Publication:2022/02/28
Publishing Institution:Universitätsbibliothek Johann Christian Senckenberg
Release Date:2024/08/22
Tag:CAC-DRS Score; Computed Tomography; Coronary Heart Disease; Coronary Plaque Burden; SARS-CoV-2 Pneumonia
Volume:29
Issue:6
Page Number:10
First Page:861
Last Page:870
HeBIS-PPN:521215625
Institutes:Medizin
Dewey Decimal Classification:6 Technik, Medizin, angewandte Wissenschaften / 61 Medizin und Gesundheit / 610 Medizin und Gesundheit
Sammlungen:Universitätspublikationen
Licence (German):License LogoCreative Commons - CC BY - Namensnennung 4.0 International