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Kann man Finanzkrisen vorhersagen? : über statistische Prognosen und ihre Grenzen (Article)

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  _____     _____     _____    _    _     _____      ___    
 /  ___||  |  ___||  |__  //  | || | ||  / ____||   / _ \\  
| // __    | ||__      / //   | || | || / //---`'  | / \ || 
| \\_\ ||  | ||__     / //__  | \\_/ || \ \\___    | \_/ || 
 \____//   |_____||  /_____||  \____//   \_____||   \___//  
  `---`    `-----`   `-----`    `---`     `----`    `---`
 


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