TY - JOUR A1 - Trebicka, Jonel A1 - Gu, Wenyi A1 - de Ledinghen, Victor A1 - Aubé, Christophe A1 - Krag, Aleksander A1 - Praktiknjo, Michael A1 - Castera, Laurent A1 - Dumortier, Jerome A1 - Bauer, David Josef Maria A1 - Friedrich-Rust, Mireen A1 - Pol, Stanislas A1 - Grgurevic, Ivica A1 - Zheng, Rongqin A1 - Francque, Sven A1 - Gottfriedovà, Halima A1 - Mustapic, Sanda A1 - Sporea, Ioan A1 - Berzigotti, Annalisa A1 - Uschner, Frank Erhard A1 - Simbrunner, Benedikt Michael A1 - Ronot, Maxime A1 - Cassinotto, Christophe A1 - Kjaergaard, Maria A1 - Andrade, Filipe A1 - Schulz, Martin A1 - Semmler, Georg A1 - Drinkovic, Ida Tjesic A1 - Chang, Johannes A1 - Brol, Maximilian A1 - Rautou, Pierre Emmanuel A1 - Vanwolleghem, Thomas A1 - Straßburg, Christian P. A1 - Boursier, Jerome A1 - Ferstl, Philip A1 - Rasmussen, Ditlev Nytoft A1 - Reiberger, Thomas A1 - Vilgrain, Valerie A1 - Guibal, Aymeric A1 - Guillaud, Olivier A1 - Zeuzem, Stefan A1 - Vassord, Camille A1 - Lu, Xue A1 - Vonghia, Luisa A1 - Senkerikova, Renata A1 - Popescu, Alina A1 - Margini, Cristina A1 - Wang, Wenping A1 - Thiele, Maja A1 - Jansen, Chrisitan T1 - Two-dimensional shear wave elastography predicts survival in advanced chronic liver disease T2 - Gut N2 - Objective Liver stiffness measurement (LSM) is a tool used to screen for significant fibrosis and portal hypertension. The aim of this retrospective multicentre study was to develop an easy tool using LSM for clinical outcomes in advanced chronic liver disease (ACLD) patients. Design This international multicentre cohort study included a derivation ACLD patient cohort with valid two-dimensional shear wave elastography (2D-SWE) results. Clinical and laboratory parameters at baseline and during follow-up were recorded. LSM by transient elastography (TE) was also recorded if available. The primary outcome was overall mortality. The secondary outcome was the development of first/further decompensation. Results After screening 2148 patients (16 centres), 1827 patients (55 years, 62.4% men) were included in the 2D-SWE cohort, with median liver SWE (L-SWE) 11.8 kPa and a model for end stage liver disease (MELD) score of 8. Combination of MELD score and L-SWE predict independently of mortality (AUC 0.8). L-SWE cut-off at ≥20 kPa combined with MELD ≥10 could stratify the risk of mortality and first/further decompensation in ACLD patients. The 2-year mortality and decompensation rates were 36.9% and 61.8%, respectively, in the 305 (18.3%) high-risk patients (with L-SWE ≥20 kPa and MELD ≥10), while in the 944 (56.6%) low-risk patients, these were 1.1% and 3.5%, respectively. Importantly, this M10LS20 algorithm was validated by TE-based LSM and in an additional cohort of 119 patients with valid point shear SWE-LSM. Conclusion The M10LS20 algorithm allows risk stratification of patients with ACLD. Patients with L-SWE ≥20 kPa and MELD ≥10 should be followed closely and receive intensified care, while patients with low risk may be managed at longer intervals. Y1 - 2021 UR - http://publikationen.ub.uni-frankfurt.de/frontdoor/index/index/docId/86008 UR - https://nbn-resolving.org/urn:nbn:de:hebis:30:3-860081 SN - 1468-3288 N1 - JT is supported by grants from the Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft (SFB TRR57 to P18), European Union’s Horizon 2020 Research and Innovation Programme (Galaxy, No. 668031, MICROB-PREDICT, No. 825694 and DECISION No.84794), and Societal Challenges - Health, Demographic Change and Wellbeing (No. 731875), and Cellex Foundation (PREDICT). WG is supported by the China Scholarships Council (CSC: #201906230332). SF has a senior clinical research mandate from the Fund for Scientific Research (FWO) Flanders (1802154N). RZ was supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China under grant no. 81827802. VL - 71 IS - 2 SP - 402 EP - 414 PB - BMJ Publishing Group CY - London ER -