TY  - GEN
A1  - Shestakova, Irina
T1  - Accelerating scientific and technological progress and forecasting accuracy
T2  - Journal of religious culture = Journal für Religionskultur
N2  - In this article, the author shows that progress of info-communications is a key factor of society changes, as it radically changes the key aspects of human life. Studying the time of progress and comparing it with the most important anthropic characteristic - length of human life, he comes to the conclusion that our generation has witnessed the tipping point in the rate of development of human civilization. This showing up in the fact that the present stage of the scientific and technological advance lead to the transformation, perhaps on the same scale, what were the appearance of written language and publishing, but these multiple fundamental changes in the life of society occur within the life of a single generation. In these circumstances, the task of forecasting, in its traditional setting, is becoming increasingly inaccurate. According to the author, the only possibility is to venture outside the framework of formal logic and technocratic approaches and try to find answers to these questions by generating new meanings of the realities surrounding us and in this context philosophy has a special role.
T3  - Journal of religious culture = Journal für Religionskultur - 186 
KW  - progress
KW  - the dimensionless characteristic time of progress
KW  - speed of societal changes
KW  - time of one generation life
KW  - strategic planning
KW  - the area of incorrect forecasting
KW  - planning horizons
Y1  - 2014
UR  - http://publikationen.ub.uni-frankfurt.de/frontdoor/index/index/docId/33061
UR  - https://nbn-resolving.org/urn:nbn:de:hebis:30:3-330610
IS  - 186
SP  - 1
EP  - 7
PB  - Goethe-Univ.
CY  - Frankfurt am Main
ER  -