TY - JOUR A1 - Montcel, Sophie Tezenas du A1 - Durr, Alexandra A1 - Rakowicz, Maria A1 - Nanetti, Lorenzo A1 - Charles, Perrine A1 - Sulek, Anna A1 - Mariotti, Caterina A1 - Rola, Rafal A1 - Schols, Ludger A1 - Bauer, Peter A1 - Dufaure-Garé, Isabelle A1 - Jacobi, Heike A1 - Forlani, Sylvie A1 - Schmitz-Hübsch, Tanja A1 - Filla, Alessandro A1 - Timmann, Dagmar A1 - Warrenburg, Bart P. van de A1 - Marelli, Cecila A1 - Kang, Jun-Suk A1 - Giunti, Paola A1 - Cook, Arron A1 - Baliko, Laszlo A1 - Bela, Melegh A1 - Boesch, Sylvia A1 - Szymanski, Sandra A1 - Berciano, José A1 - Infante, Jon A1 - Buerk, Katrin A1 - Masciullo, Marcella A1 - Di Fabio, Roberto A1 - Depondt, Chantal A1 - Ratka, Susanne A1 - Stevanin, Giovanni A1 - Klockgether, Thomas A1 - Brice, Alexis A1 - Golmard, Jean-Louis T1 - Prediction of the age at onset in spinocerebellar ataxia type 1, 2, 3 and 6 T2 - Journal of medical genetics N2 - Background: The most common spinocerebellar ataxias (SCA)—SCA1, SCA2, SCA3, and SCA6—are caused by (CAG)n repeat expansion. While the number of repeats of the coding (CAG)n expansions is correlated with the age at onset, there are no appropriate models that include both affected and preclinical carriers allowing for the prediction of age at onset. Methods: We combined data from two major European cohorts of SCA1, SCA2, SCA3, and SCA6 mutation carriers: 1187 affected individuals from the EUROSCA registry and 123 preclinical individuals from the RISCA cohort. For each SCA genotype, a regression model was fitted using a log-normal distribution for age at onset with the repeat length of the alleles as covariates. From these models, we calculated expected age at onset from birth and conditionally that this age is greater than the current age. Results: For SCA2 and SCA3 genotypes, the expanded allele was a significant predictor of age at onset (−0.105±0.005 and −0.056±0.003) while for SCA1 and SCA6 genotypes both the size of the expanded and normal alleles were significant (expanded: −0.049±0.002 and −0.090±0.009, respectively; normal: +0.013±0.005 and −0.029±0.010, respectively). According to the model, we indicated the median values (90% critical region) and the expectancy (SD) of the predicted age at onset for each SCA genotype according to the CAG repeat size and current age. Conclusions: These estimations can be valuable in clinical and research. However, results need to be confirmed in other independent cohorts and in future longitudinal studies. Y1 - 2014 UR - http://publikationen.ub.uni-frankfurt.de/frontdoor/index/index/docId/34402 UR - https://nbn-resolving.org/urn:nbn:de:hebis:30:3-344021 SN - 1468-6244 SN - 0022-2593 N1 - This is an Open Access article distributed in accordance with the Creative Commons Attribution Non Commercial (CC BY-NC 3.0) license, which permits others to distribute, remix, adapt, build upon this work non-commercially, and license their derivative works on different terms, provided the original work is properly cited and the use is non-commercial. See: http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/3.0/ VL - 51 IS - 7 SP - 479 EP - 486 PB - BMJ Publishing Group CY - London ER -