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Highlights
• New fumarole and thermal water data for Askja and Kverkfjöll volcanoes, Iceland.
• Data compared to modelled compositions and fluxes of magmatic gas.
• Fumarole compositions compatible with origin of CO2 and S from degassing intrusions.
• Intrusive magmatic fluxes sufficient to sustain hydrothermal fluxes of CO2 and S in Iceland
• Magma degassing insignificant/minor source of H2O and Cl to Icelandic hydrothermal fluids
Abstract
Mantle volatiles are transported to Earth's crust and surface by basaltic volcanism. During subaerial eruptions, vast amounts of carbon, sulfur and halogens can be released to the atmosphere during a short time-interval, with impacts ranging in scale from the local environment to the global climate. By contrast, passive volatile release at the surface originating from magmatic intrusions is characterized by much lower flux, yet may outsize eruptive volatile quantities over long timescales. Volcanic hydrothermal systems (VHSs) act as conduits for such volatile release from degassing intrusions and can be used to gauge the contribution of intrusive magmatism to global volatile cycles. Here, we present new compositional and isotopic (δD and δ18O-H2O, 3He/4He, δ13C-CO2, Δ33S-δ34S-H2S and SO4) data for thermal waters and fumarole gases from the Askja and Kverkfjöll volcanoes in central Iceland. We use the data together with magma degassing modelling and mass balance calculations to constrain the sources of volatiles in VHSs and to assess the role of intrusive magmatism to the volcanic volatile emission budgets in Iceland.
The CO2/ΣS (10−30), 3He/4He (8.3–10.5 RA; 3He/4He relative to air), δ13C-CO2 (−4.1 to −0.2 ‰) and Δ33S-δ34S-H2S (−0.031 to 0.003 ‰ and −1.5 to +3.6‰) values in high-gas flux fumaroles (CO2 > 10 mmol/mol) are consistent with an intrusive magmatic origin for CO2 and S at Askja and Kverkfjöll. We demonstrate that deep (0.5–5 kbar, equivalent to ∼2–18 km crustal depth) decompression degassing of basaltic intrusions in Iceland results in CO2 and S fluxes of 330–5060 and 6–210 kt/yr, respectively, which is sufficient to account for the estimated CO2 flux of Icelandic VHSs (3365–6730 kt/yr), but not the VHS S flux (220–440 kt/yr). Secondary, crystallization-driven degassing from maturing intrusions and leaching of crustal rocks are suggested as additional sources of S. Only a minor proportion of the mantle flux of Cl is channeled via VHSs whereas the H2O flux remains poorly constrained, because magmatic signals in Icelandic VHSs are masked by a dominant shallow groundwater component of meteoric water origin. These results suggest that the bulk of the mantle CO2 and S flux to the atmosphere in Iceland is supplied by intrusive, not eruptive magmatism, and is largely vented via hydrothermal fields.
Highlights
• We find DBrfluid/melt = 1.19 to 3.92 for experimental Br degassing from basalt magma into aqueous fluids.
• D <1 under almost dry conditions propose only little Br degassing for dry intra-plate volcanism relative to volcanic arcs.
• An annual global Br flux of 23.5–72.9 × 109 g/y into the atmosphere was calculated.
Abstract
We present the first in-situ partitioning data for bromine between a natural basaltic melt and a coexisting fluid. For this study hydrothermal diamond anvil cell experiments at pressures up to 1.7 GPa were conducted. We combined laser heating to melt the basalt glass with external heating to lower the temperature gradient in the cell and to initiate circulation for the aqueous fluid. Bromine concentrations were measured in-situ with X-ray fluorescence in the basaltic melts, glasses, and in the fluid. From the results we calculated partition coefficients of DBrfluid/melt = 1.19 to 3.92 in the range of 0.4 to 1 GPa for aqueous fluids. Experiments with neon as the surrounding fluid (DBrfluid/melt = 0.38 ± 0.01 at 1.1 GPa) suggest that Br-release from a basalt into volatiles that have no bonding affinity with Br is weak. This should be the case for dry intra-plate volcanic eruptions. From the experimentally gained partition coefficients and from global Br concentration values in melt inclusions of arc magmas, we calculated an annual global Br flux of 23.5–72.9 × 109 g/y.
Semi-arid African ecosystems influence trends and variability in global terrestrial carbon dynamics. However, there are uncertainties in potential effects of future climates for semi-arid ecosystems, especially for niche ecosystems. At the same time, African ecosystems provide the livelihoods and ecosystem services for around 1.4 billion people. Future population growth and associated changes in land use pose a challenge for the protection of African biodiversity. Therefore, this work focussed on future impacts of climate change on African ecosystems and carbon dynamics and also for African protected areas (PAs), where they may cooccur with other global change factors. Another focus was on uncertainties associated with future projections and with modelling the Nama Karoo, as an example of a semi-arid niche ecosystem. Dynamic vegetation models (DVMs) were the main research tool.
In Chapter 2, we analysed climate change impacts on African ecosystems and carbon pools until the end of the 21st century and associated uncertainties based on an ensemble of vegetation simulations with the DVM adaptive dynamic vegetation model (aDGVM). We investigated the impact of increased atmospheric CO2 concentrations and two climate change scenarios (medium (RCP4.5) and high emissions (RCP8.5); RCP - representative concentration pathway) on vegetation changes. Differences in the simulated vegetation were primarily driven by assumptions about the influence of CO2 on plants. Elevated CO2 concentrations led to increased total aboveground vegetation biomass and shrub encroachment into grasslands and savannas for both climate scenarios. In simulations without the direct influence of CO2 on plants, there was hardly any shrub encroachment and vegetation biomass decreased or varied between a slight decrease in some cases and a slight increase in others. Based on these results, biome changes due to climate change are likely in Africa in the future. Due to the large uncertainties in future projections, strategies to adapt to climate change must be flexible.
The simulated vegetation in Chapter 2 represented potential, natural vegetation and is particularly suitable to investigate PAs. However, PAs do not exist isolated from their environment and social developments. In Chapter 3, the vegetation projections with CO2 effect from Chapter 2 were combined with projections for population density and land use. Except for many PAs in North Africa, most PAs were adversely affected by at least one of the three drivers by the end of the 21st century in both investigated scenarios ("middle-of-the-road" and "fossil-fuelled development"). Cooccurrence of the drivers varied by region and scenario for PAs. Both scenarios implied increasing challenges for the conservation of African biodiversity in PAs. The impact of climate change on vegetation is likely to be exacerbated by socio-economic change for most African PAs. Strong mitigation of future climate change together with equitable societal development may facilitate successful ecosystem conservation.
The simulations in Chapters 2 and 3 showed large-scale patterns of vegetation change, but their low resolution makes them unsuitable for local analyses. In Chapter 4, the challenges of simulating smaller scale, semi-arid ecosystems and their carbon cycle were analysed for the Nama Karoo with the aDGVM2 and its shrub module. The aDGVM2 is based on the aDGVM, but represents plants more flexibly. In all tested aDGVM2 configurations, the carbon fluxes improved compared to initial simulations but still overestimated them. The measured morphology of the dwarf shrubs and soil water dynamics were not reproduced in aDGVM2. Semi-arid soil water dynamics and coping strategies of semi-arid dwarf shrubs under drought stress are not adequately implemented in the aDGVM2. Further field research on semi-arid water and carbon dynamics of vegetation is necessary to parameterise the aDGVM2 for dwarf shrubs. If these challenges are overcome, DVMs can be a powerful tool for much-needed research on the impacts of climate change on the Nama Karoo.
The analyses have shown that climate change under medium to high emission scenarios is likely to lead to large-scale changes in ecosystems and the carbon balance in Africa. Because lower emissions scenarios come with less uncertainty, climate change adaptation strategies likely need to be less complex or extensive if climate change is minimised. For African PAs, the challenges of climate change may be exacerbated by socio-economic factors to a regionally varying extent. This research suggests that successful ecosystem conservation depends on climate change mitigation measures and ensuring equitable, sustainable development. The shown uncertainties, e.g., in the implementation of the CO2 effect on plants or vegetation dynamics in more niche ecosystems, help to focus future research efforts and increase our understanding of the range of plausible futures we may need to adapt to.
Climatology of morphology and cloud-radiative properties of marine low-level mixed-phase clouds
(2023)
Marine stratocumuli cover about 40 - 60% of the ocean surface. They self-organize into different morphological regimes. The two organized cellular regimes are called open and closed mesoscale-cellular convective (MCC) clouds. In mid-to-high latitudes, open and closed cells are the two most frequent types of MCC clouds. In particular, many MCC clouds consist of a mixture of vapor, liquid droplets, and ice particles, referred to as mixed-phase clouds (MPCs). Even for the same cloud fraction, the albedo of open cells is, on average, lower than that of closed MCC clouds. Cloud phase and morphology individually influence the cloud radiative effect. Thus, this thesis investigates the relationships between the cloud phase, MCC organization, cell size, and differences regarding the cloud-radiative effect.
This thesis focuses on space-borne retrievals to achieve extensive temporal and spatial coverage. The liDAR-raDAR (DARDAR) version 2 product collocates two active and one passive satellite: CloudSat, Cloud-Aerosol Lidar and Infrared Pathfinder Satellite Observations (CALIPSO), and Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS). The cloud phase of DARDAR is vertically integrated to establish a single cloud phase at each data point. The MCC classification data set based on the liquid water path (LWP) of MODIS scenes is collocated with the DARDAR product to determine the MCC organization. Cell-size statistics of both MCC clouds are obtained using a marker-based image segmentation method on MODIS reflectance scenes. In addition, based on MODIS reflectance scenes, a convolutional neural network (CNN) is developed to classify open and closed MCC scenes to avoid missing mature MPCs with a low LWP.
The first part of this thesis explores the relationships between cloud phase, morphology, and cloud albedo in the Southern Ocean (SO). At a given cloud-top temperature (CTT), seasonal changes in the mixed-phase fraction, defined as the number of MPCs divided by the sum of MPC and supercooled liquid cloud (SLC) pixels, are stronger than the morphological changes. Therefore, external factors seem to influence these changes instead of morphology. The dependence of cloud phase on cloud-top height (CTH) is more substantial than on CTT in clouds with CTHs below 2.5 km. The previously observed acceleration of closed-to-open transition in MPCs, known as preconditioning, is not the primary driver of climatological cloud morphology statistics in the SO. The morphological differences in cloud albedo are more pronounced in SLCs than in MPCs. This change in albedo alters the cloud radiative effect in the SO by 21Wm−2 to 39Wm−2 depending onseason and cloud phase.
Open and closed MCC clouds exhibit larger equivalent cell diameters in the MPCs than in SLCs in austral summer, whereas, in austral winter, the SLCs are larger. The cell’s aspect ratio accounts for varying CTHs. Closed cells have smaller aspect ratios than open cells, so their cell diameter is smaller, independent of CTH. While the seasonal differences in closed cells are due to changes in CTH, the seasonal aspect ratio differences in open cells are mainly caused by MPCs. With increasing aspect ratios, the cloud albedo decreases in both open and closed MCC clouds, with the most substantial decrease in open MPCs clouds. This leads to cloud-radiative changes of 60 - 75Wm−2 in the SO, depending on cloud phase and aspect ratio.
The established CNN exhibits a good accuracy of 80.6%, with even higher accuracies in the Open (85.5%) and Closed (87.3%) categories. The global MCC climatology based on the CNN generally agrees well with previous MCC distributions. The most notable difference occurs in the Northern Hemisphere (NH) in boreal winter, with a higher occurrence frequency of closed and open MCC clouds. This might indicate missing MPCs in previous studies based on the LWP and some restricted to warm cloud scenes. Thus, the developed CNN seems to better represent the different morphologies in MPCs than in previous classifications.
In conclusion, this thesis shows that understanding the dependencies of cloud phase, cloud morphology, and cell size is important to enhance predictions of the cloud-radiative effect and thus, it is important to evaluate how cloud phase, cloud morphology, and cellsize change in a warming climate.
Herein, the high-pressure/high-temperature synthesis (11 GPa, 650 °C) of Tb3B10O17(OH)5 in a modified Walker-type multianvil device is presented. The structure of this rare-earth borate was determined by single-crystal X-ray diffraction methods and was found to crystallize orthorhombically in the space group Pmn21 (no. 31) with the unit cell parameters a = 16.2527(4), b = 4.4373(1), and c = 8.8174(2) Å. The new compound was further characterized using infrared spectroscopy, energy-dispersive X-ray spectroscopy, second harmonic generation (SHG) measurements, and temperature-dependent X-ray powder diffraction. Tb3B10O17(OH)5 decomposes to β-Tb(BO2)3 at temperatures higher than 460 °C. With increasing temperatures, the formation of μ-TbBO3 was observed, which transforms to π-TbBO3 upon cooling.
Local climate change risk assessments (LCCRAs) are best supported by a quantitative integration of physical hazards, exposures and vulnerabilities that includes the characterization of uncertainties. We propose to use Bayesian Networks (BNs) for this task and show how to integrate freely-available output of multiple global hydrological models (GHMs) into BNs, in order to probabilistically assess risks for water supply. Projected relative changes in hydrological variables computed by three GHMs driven by the output of four global climate models were processed using MATLAB, taking into account local information on water availability and use. A roadmap to set up BNs and apply probability distributions of risk levels under historic and future climate and water use was co-developed with experts from the Maghreb (Tunisia, Algeria, Morocco) who positively evaluated the BN application for LCCRAs. We conclude that the presented approach is suitable for application in the many LCCRAs necessary for successful adaptation to climate change world-wide.
The Miocene was a key time in the evolution of African ecosystems witnessing the origin of the African apes and the isolation of eastern coastal forests through an expanding arid corridor. Until recently, however, Miocene sites from the southeastern regions of the continent were unknown. Here, we report the first Miocene fossil teeth from the shoulders of the Urema Rift in Gorongosa National Park, Mozambique. We provide the first 1) radiometric ages of the Mazamba Formation, 2) reconstructions of paleovegetation in the region based on pedogenic carbonates and fossil wood, and 3) descriptions of fossil teeth. Gorongosa is unique in the East African Rift in combining marine invertebrates, marine vertebrates, reptiles, terrestrial mammals, and fossil woods in coastal paleoenvironments. The Gorongosa fossil sites offer the first evidence of woodlands and forests on the coastal margins of southeastern Africa during the Miocene, and an exceptional assemblage of fossils including new species.
Highlights
• We show the first observations of seismo-acoustic tremor at Oldoinyo Lengai, the world's only active carbonatite volcano.
• We observe significant changes in seismic and acoustic tremor properties and their correlation in one year of data collection.
• Using satellite-based thermal data, we identify different volcanic processes (degassing, lava pond dynamics and spattering).
Abstract
We analyze volcanic tremor from Oldoinyo Lengai, Tanzania, which is currently the only active volcano on Earth producing carbonatitic lavas. Here, we use data from the recent SEISVOL deployment and focus on a co-located seismic and infrasound station about 200 m below the summit. We show the very first observations of seismo-acoustic tremor caused by carbonatitic eruptions. This seismo-acoustic tremor is highly variable throughout the ∼one year of data which we characterize by analyzing its seismic amplitude, duration, recurrence, dominant seismic frequency and harmonics. Frequency gliding occurs frequently and over short (minutes to hours) to long time scales (hours to days) and likely reflects different time-dependent mechanisms, such as evenly-spaced repeating events with a change in inter-event times, crater dynamics that alter resonators, and dike intrusions. Seismic and acoustic wavefields correlate well for stronger eruptive sequences but are only partially coherent which suggests that high-frequency seismic tremor (up to 25 Hz) may be caused by the low viscosity of the carbonatitic melt and not by ground-coupled airwaves. In addition, the comparison between seismic-acoustic and satellite InfraRed thermal data allows us to infer different volcanic activity styles which partially alternate throughout the year: intrusive activity and the construction of hornitos, degassing, activity from a lava pond, and varying styles of extrusive activity, in particular spattering. Our study provides important insights into the eruption dynamics of this peculiar volcano which suggests shallow melt storage within the crater floor.
High-pressure/high-temperature synthesis of the new boron-rich terbium hydroxyborate Tb3B12O19(OH)7
(2023)
Monoclinic Tb3B12O19(OH)7 was obtained by multianvil high-pressure/high-temperature syntheses at 6 GPa and 650 °C. The crystal structure was investigated by single-crystal X-ray diffraction methods and space group C2 (no. 5) with the unit cell parameters a = 24.2299(5) Å, b = 4.4667(1) Å, c = 7.0964(2) Å, β = 94.58(1)°, and two formula units per cell were revealed. Powder X-ray diffraction, infrared spectroscopy and the investigation of its second harmonic generation properties support the proposed structural model.
The reanalysis products and derived products, ERA5 (Copernicus Climate Change Service, 2018) and W5E5 (WATCH Forcing Data (WFD) methodology applied to ERA5) (LANGE ET AL., 2021) have been recently published initiating a new phase of scientific research utilizing these datasets. ERA5 and W5E5 offer the possibility to reduce insecurities in model results through their improved quality compared to previous climate reanalyses (CUCCHI ET AL., 2020). The suitability of either climate forcing as input for the hydrological model WaterGAP and the influence of the models specific calibration routine has been evaluated with four model experiments. The model was validated by analysing the models ability to produce reasonable values for global water balance components and to reproduce observed discharge in 1427 basins as well as total water storage anomalies in 143 basins using well established efficiency metrics. Bias correction of W5E5 was found to lead to more global realistic mean precipitation and consequently discharge and AET values. In an uncalibrated model setup ERA5 results in better performances across all efficiency metrics. Model results produced with W5E5 as climate input were strongly improved through calibration ultimately leading to the best performances out of all four model experiments. However, model performances considerably improved through calibration with both climate forcings hence calibration was found to have the strongest effect on model performance. Furthermore, spatial differences in performance of either forcing were identified. Snow-dominated regions show an overall better performance with ERA5, while wetter and warmer regions are better represented with W5E5. Finally, it can be concluded that W5E5 should be preferred as climate input for impact modelling; however, depending on the spatial scale and region ERA5 should at least be considered, in particular for snow-dominated regions.