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We discuss applications of a recently developed method for model reduction based on linear response theory of weakly coupled dynamical systems. We apply the weak coupling method to simple stochastic differential equations with slow and fast degrees of freedom. The weak coupling model reduction method results in general in a non-Markovian system; we therefore discuss the Markovianization of the system to allow for straightforward numerical integration. We compare the applied method to the equations obtained through homogenization in the limit of large timescale separation between slow and fast degrees of freedom. We numerically compare the ensemble spread from a fixed initial condition, correlation functions and exit times from a domain. The weak coupling method gives more accurate results in all test cases, albeit with a higher numerical cost.
Water is scarce in semi-arid and arid regions. Using alternative water sources (i.e. non-conventional water sources), such as municipal reuse water and harvested rain, contributes to using existing water resources more efficiently and productively. The aim of this study is to evaluate the two alternative water sources reuse water and harvested rain for the irrigation of small-holder agriculture from a system perspective. This helps decision and policy makers to have proper information about which system and technology to adopt under local conditions. For this, the evaluation included ecologic, societal, economic, institutional and political as well as technical aspects. For the evaluation, the study area in central-northern Namibia was chosen in the frame of the research and development project CuveWaters. The main methods used include a mathematical material flow analysis, the computation and modelling of crop requirements, a multi-criteria decision analysis using the Analytical Hierarchy Process (AHP) method and a financial cost-benefit analysis. From a systemic perspective, the proposed novel systems were compared to the exciting conventional infrastructure. The results showed that both water reuse and rainwater harvesting systems for the irrigation of small-holder horticulture offer numerous technological, ecologic, economic, societal, institutional and political benefits. Rainwater harvesting based gardens have a positive benefit-cost ratio under favorable conditions. Government programs could fund the infrastructure investment costs, while the micro-entrepreneur can assume a micro-credit to finance operation and maintenance costs. Installing sanitation in informal settlements and reusing municipal water for irrigation reduces the overall water demand of households and agriculture by 39%, compared to improving sanitation facilities in informal settlements without reusing the water for agriculture. Given that water is the limiting factor for crop fertigation, the generated nutrient-rich reuse water is sufficient to annually irrigate about 10 m2 to 13 m2 per sanitation user. Compared to crop nutrient requirements, there are too many nutrients in the reuse water. Thus when using nutrient-rich reuse water, no use of fertilizers and a careful salt management is necessary. When comparing this novel system with improved sanitation, advanced wastewater treatment and nutrient-rich water reuse to the conventional and to two adapted systems, results showed that the novel CuveWaters system is the best option for the given context in a semi-arid developing country. Therefore, the results of this study suggest a further roll-out of the novel CuveWaters system. The methodology developed and the results of this study demonstrated that taking sanitation users into consideration plays a major role for the planning of an integrated water reuse infrastructure because they are the determinant factor for the amount of available nutrient-rich reuse water. In addition, it could be shown that water reuse and rainwater harvesting systems for the irrigation of small-scale gardens provide a wide range of benefits and can be key to using scarce water resources more efficiently and to contributing to the Sustainable Development Goals.
This PhD thesis has been carried out within an interdisciplinary cooperational project between the Deutsches Bergbau-Museum Bochum and the Goethe-Universität Frankfurt, which is dedicated to ancient Pb-Ag mining and metal production in the hinterland of the municipium Ulpiana in central Kosovo. Geochemical analysis (OM, XRD, EMP, MC-ICP-MS) of ores, metallurgical (by-) products and metal artefacts allowed to reconstruct the local chaîne opératoire and to decipher significant chronological differences between presumably Roman/late antique and medieval/early modern metallurgical processing. Pb isotope provenance studies documented the relevance of local metal production within the Roman Empire and confirmed the actual existence of a Metalla Dardanica district, which until now solely has been suspected on basis of epigraphy.
The predominant abundance of the by-products matte (Cu, Pb, Fe and Zn sulphides) and speiss (ferrous speiss: Fe-As compounds; base metal speiss: ~(Cu,Ni,Fe,Ag )x(Sb,Sn,As )y ) at smelting sites with a preliminary Roman/late antique dating points to treatment of complex polymetallic ore. Pb isotope analysis demonstrated that the mining district of Shashkoc-Janjevo (partially) supplied six of the ten investigated metallurgical sites. In this mineralisation, parageneses with elevated Cu, As and Sb abundances comprise significant proportions of particularly tennantite-tetrahedrite minerals, chalcopyrite, arsenopyrite and were generated during the early and main stages of ore formation. Later precipitated ore in contrast is marked by a significantly less versatile mineralogy and consists almost exclusively of galena, sphalerite and pyrite/marcasite. Besides increased Cu, As and Sb contents, ore from the main formation stage also exhibits generally higher Ag abundances, which are mainly hosted by fahlore and locally abundant secondary Cu sulphides (chalcocite, digenite and covellite) and oxidised phases (e.g. malachite, azurite). The higher precious metal grades of this ore type, whose geochemical signature (i.e. higher proportions of Cu, As and Sb) is mirrored by the abundance of the metallurgical by-products matte and speiss (almost exclusively found at potentially Roman/late antique smelting sites; see above), presumably were a pivotal factor leading to its preferential exploitation in earlier times. Matte and base metal-rich speiss contain notable amounts of Ag, which are mainly present in Cu-(Fe) sulphides and particularly antimonides ((Cu,Ni)2Sb, Ag3Sb), respectively. While the speiss compounds due to their close association with Pb bullion presumably were cupelled automatically, the metallurgical treatment of matte could not have been proven unambiguously, but overall certainly is highly likely.
The beneficiated ore (i.e. crushed and sorted, potentially also treated by more lavish techniques such as grinding, sieving or wet-mechanical methods) possibly was partially roasted and subsequently together with fluxes and charcoal submitted to the furnaces. The working temperatures approximately ranged between 1100 and 1400 °C. Slags from all presumably Roman/late antique dated and few of their potentially medieval/early modern analogues were produced from smelting of (partially roasted) ore with charcoal and added siliceous material, thus resulting in fayalite-dominant phase assemblages or rarely observed glassy parageneses. Even though several subtypes of fayalite slags have been established on basis of the abundance of Fe-rich oxide phases (i.e. spinel ss and wüstite), late clinopyroxene and the general solidification sequence of the slags, the process conditions (i.e. temperature, fO2, added fluxing agents) must have been widely similar; chemical variations could be explained by varying degrees of interaction of the slag melt with charcoal ash and furnace material. The other investigated metallurgical remains indicate employment of a calcareous flux, which led to formation of Ca-rich olivine-, olivine+clinopyroxene-, clinopyroxene- or melilite-type slags. These types as well as glassy slags were generated at more oxidising conditions outside the fayalite stability field (FMQ buffer equilibrium, cf. Lindsley, 1976) than their olivine-dominant analogues. Conclusions on the furnace construction could be drawn on basis of the typology of the slags, which mostly were tapped into a basin located outside the furnace, but partially (at two presumably medieval/early modern sites) also accumulated in a reservoir within the smelter.
Lead artefacts excavated in Ulpiana could be isotopically related to ores from mineralisations in its vicinity and demonstrate that the resources were at least utilised for local metal production. However, also ship wreck cargo from Israel - including several lead ingots with the inscription 'MET DARD' (Raban, 1999) - and late antique lead-glazed pottery from Serbia and Romania (Walton & Tite, 2010) could be related to a possible Kosovarian/Serbian provenance of the raw material and thus indicate flourishing trade of metal from the Metalla Dardanica district within the Roman Empire.
References:
Lindsley, D. H. (1976). Experimental studies of oxide minerals. In D. Rumble, III (Hrsg.), Oxide minerals (61-88). Reviews in Mineralogy, Volume 3. Washington, DC: Mineralogical Society of America.
Raban, A. (1999). The lead ingots from the wreck site (area K8). Journal of Roman Archaeology, Supplementary Series, 35, 179-188.
Walton, M. S., & Tite, M. S. (2010). Production technology of Roman lead-glazed pottery and its continuance into late antiquity. Archaeometry, 52(5), 733-759.
We present the prototype of a regional climate system model based on the COSMO-CLM regional climate model coupled with several model components, analyze the performance of the couplings and present a strategy to find an optimum configuration with respect to computational costs and time to solution.
The OASIS3-MCT coupler is used to couple COSMO-CLM with two land surface models (CLM and VEG3D), a regional ocean model for the Mediterranean Sea (NEMO-MED12), two ocean models for the North and Baltic Sea (NEMO-NORDIC and TRIMNP+CICE) and the atmospheric component of an earth system model (MPI-ESM). We present a unified OASIS3-MCT interface which handles all couplings in a similar way, minimizes the model source code modifications and describes the physics and numerics of the couplings. Furthermore, we discuss solutions for specific regional coupling problems like handling of different domains, multiple usage of MCT interpolation library and efficient exchange of 3D fields.
A series of real-case simulations over Europe has been conducted and the computational performance of the couplings has been analyzed. The usage of the LUCIA tool of the OASIS3-MCT coupler enabled separation of the direct costs of: coupling, load imbalance and additional computations. The resulting limits for time to solution and costs are shown and the potential of further improvement of the computational efficiency is summarized for each coupling.
It was found that the OASIS3-MCT coupler keeps the direct coupling costs of communication and horizontal interpolation small in comparison with the costs of the additional computations and load imbalance for all investigated couplings. For the first time this could be demonstrated for an exchange of approximately 450 2D fields per time step necessary for the atmosphere-atmosphere coupling between COSMO-CLM and MPI-ESM.
A procedure for finding an optimum configuration for each of the couplings was developed considering the time to solution and costs of the simulations. The optimum configurations are presented for sequential and concurrent coupling layouts. The procedure applied can be regarded as independent on the specific coupling layout and coupling details.
About half of present-day cloud condensation nuclei originate from atmospheric nucleation, frequently appearing as a burst of new particles near midday1. Atmospheric observations show that the growth rate of new particles often accelerates when the diameter of the particles is between one and ten nanometres2,3. In this critical size range, new particles are most likely to be lost by coagulation with pre-existing particles4, thereby failing to form new cloud condensation nuclei that are typically 50 to 100 nanometres across. Sulfuric acid vapour is often involved in nucleation but is too scarce to explain most subsequent growth5,6, leaving organic vapours as the most plausible alternative, at least in the planetary boundary layer7,8,9,10. Although recent studies11,12,13 predict that low-volatility organic vapours contribute during initial growth, direct evidence has been lacking. The accelerating growth may result from increased photolytic production of condensable organic species in the afternoon2, and the presence of a possible Kelvin (curvature) effect, which inhibits organic vapour condensation on the smallest particles (the nano-Köhler theory)2,14, has so far remained ambiguous. Here we present experiments performed in a large chamber under atmospheric conditions that investigate the role of organic vapours in the initial growth of nucleated organic particles in the absence of inorganic acids and bases such as sulfuric acid or ammonia and amines, respectively. Using data from the same set of experiments, it has been shown15 that organic vapours alone can drive nucleation. We focus on the growth of nucleated particles and find that the organic vapours that drive initial growth have extremely low volatilities (saturation concentration less than 10−4.5 micrograms per cubic metre). As the particles increase in size and the Kelvin barrier falls, subsequent growth is primarily due to more abundant organic vapours of slightly higher volatility (saturation concentrations of 10−4.5 to 10−0.5 micrograms per cubic metre). We present a particle growth model that quantitatively reproduces our measurements. Furthermore, we implement a parameterization of the first steps of growth in a global aerosol model and find that concentrations of atmospheric cloud concentration nuclei can change substantially in response, that is, by up to 50 per cent in comparison with previously assumed growth rate parameterizations.
Amines are potentially important for atmospheric new particle formation, but their concentrations are usually low with typical mixing ratios in the pptv range or even smaller. Therefore, the demand for highly sensitive gas-phase amine measurements has emerged in the last several years. Nitrate chemical ionization mass spectrometry (CIMS) is routinely used for the measurement of gasphase sulfuric acid in the sub-pptv range. Furthermore, extremely low volatile organic compounds (ELVOCs) can be detected with a nitrate CIMS. In this study we demonstrate that a nitrate CIMS can also be used for the sensitive measurement of dimethylamine (DMA, (CH3/2NH) using the NO3−•(HNO3)1 − 2• (DMA) cluster ion signal. Calibration measurements were made at the CLOUD chamber during two different measurement campaigns. Good linearity between 0 and ~120 pptv of DMA as well as a sub-pptv detection limit of 0.7 pptv for a 10 min integration time are demonstrated at 278K and 38% RH.
Coccolithophores are an abundant phytoplankton group that exhibit remarkable diversity in their biology, ecology, and calcitic exoskeletons (coccospheres). Their extensive fossil record is testament to their important biogeochemical role and is a valuable archive of biotic responses to environmental change stretching back over 200 million years. However, to realise the potential of this archive requires an understanding of the physiological processes that underpin coccosphere architecture. Using culturing experiments on four modern coccolithophore species (Calcidiscus leptoporus, Calcidiscus quadriperforatus, Helicosphaera carteri and Coccolithus braarudii) from three long-lived families, we investigate how coccosphere architecture responds to shifts from exponential (rapid cell division) to stationary (slowed cell division) growth phases as cell physiology reacts to nutrient depletion. These experiments reveal statistical differences in cell size and the number of coccoliths per cell between these two growth phases, specifically that cells in exponential-phase growth are typically smaller with fewer coccoliths, whereas cells experiencing growth-limiting nutrient depletion have larger coccosphere sizes and greater numbers of coccoliths per cell. Although the exact numbers are species-specific, these growthphase
shifts in coccosphere geometry demonstrate that the core physiological responses of cells to nutrient depletion results in increased cell sizes and coccoliths per cell across four different coccolithophore families (Calcidiscaceae, Coccolithaceae, Isochrysidaceae, Helicosphaeraceae), a representative diversity of this phytoplankton group. Building on this, direct comparison of coccosphere geometries in modern and fossil coccolithophores enables a proxy for growth phase to be developed that allows growth responses to environmental change to be investigated throughout their evolutionary history. Our data also shows that changes in growth rate and coccoliths per cell associated with growth-phase shifts can substantially alter cellular calcite production. Coccosphere geometry is therefore a valuable tool for accessing growth information in the fossil record that provides unprecedented insights into the biotic responses of species to environmental change and its potential biogeochemical consequences.
Ice nucleating particles over the Eastern Mediterranean measured by unmanned aircraft systems
(2016)
During an intensive field campaign on aerosol, clouds and ice nucleation in the Eastern Mediterranean in April 2016, we have measured the abundance of ice nucleating particles (INP) in the lower troposphere from unmanned aircraft systems (UAS). Aerosol samples were collected by miniaturized electrostatic precipitators onboard the UAS at altitudes up to 2.5 km. The number of INP in these samples, which are active in the deposition and condensation modes at temperatures from −20 to −30 ◦C, were analyzed immediately after collection on site using the ice nucleus counter FRIDGE. During the one month campaign we encountered a series of Saharan dust plumes that traveled at several kilometers altitude. Here we present INP data from 42 individual flights, together with aerosol number concentrations, observations of lidar backscattering, dust concentrations derived by the dust transport model DREAM (Dust Regional Atmospheric Model), and results from scanning electron microscopy. The effect of the dust plumes is reflected by the coincidence of INP with the particulate mass (PM), the lidar signal and with the predicted dust mass of the model. This suggests that mineral dust or a constituent related to dust was a major contributor to the ice nucleating properties of the aerosol. Peak concentrations of above 100 INP std.l -1 were measured at −30 ◦C. The INP concentration in elevated plumes was on average a factor of 10 higher than at ground level. Since desert dust is transported for long distances over wide areas of the globe predominantly at several km altitude we conclude that INP measurements at ground level may be of limited significance for the situation at the level of cloud formation.
Recently significant advances have been made in the collection, detection and characterization of ice nucleating particles (INPs). Ice nuclei are particles that facilitate the heterogeneous formation of ice within the atmospheric aerosol by lowering the free energy barrier to spontaneous nucleation and growth of ice from atmospheric water and/or vapor. The Frankfurt isostatic diffusion chamber (FRankfurt Ice nucleation Deposition freezinG Experiment: FRIDGE) is an INP collection and offline detection system that has become widely deployed and shows additional potential for ambient measurements. Since its initial development FRIDGE has gone through several iterations and improvements. Here we describe improvements that have been made in the collection and analysis techniques. We detail the uncertainties inherent in the measurement method and suggest a systematic method of error analysis for FRIDGE measurements. Thus what is presented herein should serve as a foundation for the dissemination of all current and future measurements using FRIDGE instrumentation.
In-situ single particle analysis of ice particle residuals (IPR) and out-of-cloud aerosol particles was conducted by means of laser ablation mass spectrometry during the intensive INUIT-JFJ/CLACE campaign at the high alpine research station Jungfraujoch (3580 m a.s.l.) in January/February 2013. During the four week campaign more than 70000 out-of-cloud aerosol particles and 595 IPR were analyzed covering a particle size diameter range from 100 nm to 3 μm. The IPR were sampled during 273 hours while the station was covered by mixed-phase clouds at ambient temperatures between -27 °C and -6 °C. The identification of particle types is based on laboratory studies of different types of biological, mineral and anthropogenic aerosol particles. As outcome instrument specific marker peaks for the different investigated particle types were obtained and applied to the field data. The results show that the sampled IPR contain a larger relative amount of natural, primary aerosol, like soil dust (13 %) and minerals (11 %), in comparison to out-of-cloud aerosol particles (2 % and <1 %, respectively). Additionally, anthropogenic aerosol particles, like particles from industrial emissions and lead-containing particles, were found to be more abundant in the IPR than in the out-of-cloud aerosol. The out of-cloud aerosol contained a large fraction of aged particles (30 %, including organic material and secondary inorganics), whereas this particle type was much less abundant (3 %) in the IPR. In a selected subset of the data where a direct comparison between out-of-cloud aerosol particles and IPR in air masses with similar origin was possible, a pronounced enhancement of biological particles was found in the IPR.
Despite mounting evidence of the anthropogenic influence on the Earth's climate, underlying mechanisms of climate change often remain elusive. The investigation of periods of rapid climate change from geological archives may provide crucial information about magnitude, duration, teleconnections of and regional responses to global and hemispheric scale climate perturbations. Thus, paleoclimate reconstructions may help in mitigating and adapting to the challenges of the coming decades. The '8.2 kyr B.P. climatic event' has previously been proposed as a possible analogue for the future climatic scenario of a reduced Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC). The catastrophic drainage of the Laurentide meltwater lakes through the Hudson Bay and into the Labrador Sea, that occurred ca. 8.47 kyr B.P., caused the slowdown of the AMOC around 8.2 kyr B.P.. Subsequently, reduced heat transfer towards Europe triggered a substantial decline in (winter) temperature and pronounced changes in atmospheric circulation patterns in many regions of the northern hemisphere, especially the North Atlantic realm and Europe. Among the regions affected by the 8.2 kyr B.P. climatic event, the Eastern Mediterranean region is of particular interest for both past and future climate developments. Traditionally characterized as a region highly sensitive to variations in the climate systems of the high and low latitudes, abrupt climate changes have the potential to strongly alter atmospheric circulation patterns and thus precipitation distribution in the region that may have severe socioeconomical consequences. The analysis of stable hydrogen (δD) and oxygen isotopes (δ18O) in precipitation is an excellent tool to trace changes in atmospheric circulation. Here, we present a comparative study of δD and δ18O in precipitation from the Eastern Mediterranean region both in a present day scenario and during the 8.2 kyr B.P. climatic event. We analyze the influences of topography, air mass trajectory, climate and seasonality among others the stable isotopic compositions of meteoric waters from the Central Anatolian Plateau (CAP), Turkey, in order to create a first-order template which may serve as a reference against which paleoenvironmental proxy data may be more accurately interpreted and tested. Further, we employ a multiproxy approach on the early Holocene peat deposits of the classical site of Tenaghi Philippon (TP), NE Greece, to investigate paleoenvironmental responses to northern hemisphere cooling during the 8.2 kyr B.P. climatic event and aim to determine changes atmospheric circulation from δD of leaf wax n-alkanes (δDwax).
Based on δD and δ18O data from more than 480 surface water samples from the CAP, we characterize moisture sources affecting the net isotopic budget of precipitation, manifesting in a systematic north-south difference in near-sea level moisture compositions. Rainout, induced by the major orographic barriers of the plateau, the Pontic Mountains to the north and the Taurus Mountains to the south, strongly shape the modern patterns of δD and δ18O. Stable isotope data from the semi-arid plateau interior provide clear evidence for an evaporitic regime that drastically affects surface water compositions. Strong evaporative enrichment contrasts rainfall patterns along the plateau margins, in part obfuscating the effects of topography and air mass trajectory.
Consequently, in order to address possible influences of evaporation on δD and δ18O in paleoprecipitation from TP, we analyze n-alkane abundances and distributions along with stable carbon isotope compositions of total organic carbon (δ13CTOC) and palynological data to estimate surface moisture conditions during the early Holocene (ca. 8.7 - 7.5 kyr B.P.) and especially during the 8.2 kyr B.P. climatic event. A period of relatively dry surface conditions from ca. 8.7 to 8.2 kyr B.P., indicated by low values of the 'aquatic index' (Paq ) and by elevated Average Chain Length (ACL) values, in concert with elevated δ13CTOC values, precedes the 8.2 kyr B.P. climatic event. The event itself is characterized by slightly wetter, more humid conditions, as suggested by an increase in Paq values as well as reduced ACL and δ13CTOC values between ca. 8.2 and 7.9 kyr B.P.. In the upper section of the core, a distinct change in paleohydrology becomes. A steep increase in Paq and a decrease in ACL values as well as variations in δ13CTOC from 7.9 kyr B.P. onwards imply considerably elevated surface moisture levels, likely caused by the increased activity of the karstic system of the surrounding mountains. Collectively, the biomarker proxies presented here, reveal a concise picture of changing moisture conditions at TP that is consistent with palynological data and provide detailed paleoenvironmental information for the analysis of δDwax as a paleoprecipitation proxy. The long-term decline in δDwax values characterizes the lower section of the core until ca. 8.2 kyr B.P.. The 8.2 kyr B.P. climatic event itself is connected to two distinct positive hydrogen isotope excursions: a minor shift in δDwax around 8.2 kyr B.P. and a major shift in δDwax between ca. 8.1 and 8.0 kyr B.P.. The upper part of the section shows a progressive trend towards higher δDwax values. With no indication of increased evaporitic conditions at TP during the 8.2 kyr B.P. climatic event, as evident in biomarker proxies and pollen data, we link shifts in δDwax to changes in Mediterranean air mass trajectories supplying precipitation to northeastern Greece, with variations in the relative contributions of northerly derived, D-depleted moisture and southerly-derived, D-enriched moisture. Possible control mechanisms include changes in the influence of the Siberian High and differences in the influence of the African and Asian monsoon circulations on anticyclonic conditions in the Mediterranean region as well as regional inflow of moist air from the Aegean Sea.
Within the framework of the Transboundary Waters Assessment Programme (TWAP), initiated by the Global Environment Facility (GEF), we contributed to a comprehensive baseline assessment of transboundary aquifers (TBAs) by quantifying different groundwater indicators using the global water resources and water use model WaterGAP 2.2. All indicators were computed under current (2010) and projected conditions in 2030 and 2050 for 91 selected TBAs larger than 20,000 km2 and for each nation’s share of the TBAs (TBA-CU: country unit). TBA outlines were provided by the International Groundwater Resources Assessment Centre (IGRAC). The set of indicators comprises groundwater recharge, groundwater depletion, per-capita groundwater recharge, dependency on groundwater, population density, and groundwater development stress (groundwater withdrawals to groundwater recharge). Only the latter four indicators were projected to 2030 and 2050. Current-state indicators were quantified using the Watch Forcing Data climate dataset, while projections were based on five climate scenarios that were computed by five global climate models for the high-emissions scenario RCP 8.5. Water use projections were based on the Shared Socio-economic Pathway SSP2 developed within ISI-MIP. Furthermore, two scenarios of future irrigated areas were explored. For individual water use sectors, the fraction of groundwater abstraction was assumed to remain at the current level.
According to our assessment, aquifers with the highest current groundwater depletion rates worldwide are not transboundary. Exceptions are the Neogene Aquifer System (Syria) with 53 mm/yr between 2000 and 2009 and the Indus River Plain aquifer (India) with 28 mm/yr. For current conditions, we identified 20 out of 258 TBA-CUs suffering from medium to very high groundwater development stress, which are located in the Middle East and North Africa region, in South Asia, China, and the USA. Considering projections, ensemble means of per-cent changes or percent point changes to current conditions were determined. Per-capita groundwater recharge is projected to decrease in 80-90% of all TBA-CUs until 2030/2050. Due to the strongly varying projections of the global climate models, we applied a worst-case scenario approach to define future hotspots of groundwater development stress, taking into account the strongest computed increase until either 2030 or 2050 among all scenarios and individual GCMs. Based on this approach, the number of TBA-CUs under at least medium groundwater development stress increases from 20 to 58, comprising all hotspots under current conditions. New hotspots are projected to develop mainly in Sub-Saharan Africa, China, and Mexico.
The CARIBIC (Civil Aircraft for the Regular Investigation of the Atmosphere Based on an Instrument Container) passenger aircraft observatory performed in situ measurements at 10–12 km altitude in the South Asian summer monsoon anticyclone between June and September 2008. These measurements enable us to investigate this atmospheric region (which so far has mostly been observed from satellites) using the broad suite of trace gases and aerosol particles measured by CARIBIC. Elevated levels of a variety of atmospheric pollutants (e.g. carbon monoxide, total reactive nitrogen oxides, aerosol particles, and several volatile organic compounds) were recorded. The measurements provide detailed information about the chemical composition of air in different parts of the monsoon anticyclone, particularly of ozone precursors. While covering a range of 3500 km inside the monsoon anticyclone, CARIBIC observations show remarkable consistency, i.e. with distinct latitudinal patterns of trace gases during the entire monsoon period.
Using the CARIBIC trace gas and aerosol particle measurements in combination with the Lagrangian particle dispersion model FLEXPART, we investigated the characteristics of monsoon outflow and the chemical evolution of air masses during transport. The trajectory calculations indicate that these air masses originated mainly from South Asia and mainland Southeast Asia. Estimated photochemical ages of the air were found to agree well with transport times from a source region east of 90–95° E. The photochemical ages of the air in the southern part of the monsoon anticyclone were systematically younger (less than 7 days) and the air masses were mostly in an ozone-forming chemical mode. In its northern part the air masses were older (up to 13 days) and had unclear ozone formation or destruction potential. Based on analysis of forward trajectories, several receptor regions were identified. In addition to predominantly westward transport, we found evidence for efficient transport (within 10 days) to the Pacific and North America, particularly during June and September, and also of cross-tropopause exchange, which was strongest during June and July. Westward transport to Africa and further to the Mediterranean was the main pathway during July.
The Earth’s surface condition we find today is a result of long exposure to metabolism of life forms. Particularly, molecular oxygen in the atmosphere is a feature which developed over time. The first substantial and lasting rise of atmospheric oxygen level happened ≈ 2.5 Ga ago, but localities are reported where transiently elevated oxygen levels appeared before this time-point. To trace the timing and circumstances of the earliest availability of free oxygen in the atmosphere is important to understand the habitats of early microbial life forms on Earth.
This thesis focuses to obtain information of oxygen levels and the related atmospheric cycling of metals in sediments of the 3.5 to 3.2 Ga Barberton Greenstone Belt. First, as iron was a ubiquitous constituent of Archean seawater, I investigated its isotopic composition in minerals of chemical sediments. Hereby, I tried to resolve the changes within the water basin on small scale sedimentary sequence cycles. Second, I focused on the minor constituents of Archean seawater. The Re-Os geochronologic system and the abundance patterns of the platinum-group elements were chosen to integrate information of oxygen promoted weathering of a large source area. To integrate information of a large time interval, the isotopes of uranium were investigated over a large stratigraphic section.
The two key findings of this thesis are:
• Quantitative oxidation of ferrous iron in surface layers of Paleoarchean seawater occurred during the onset and termination of hydrothermal FeIIaq delivery into shallow waters.
• Paleoarchean sedimentary successions of the Barberton Greenstone Belt lack any evidence of transient basin-scale oxygenation.
The Manzimnyama Iron Formation (IF, Fig Tree Group, Barberton Greenstone Belt, South Africa) has been deciphered to exist of cyclic stacks of lithostratigraphic units with varying amounts of iron oxide and carbonate minerals. In-situ femtosecond-Laser-Ablation ICP-MS iron isotope measurements showed that the majority of siderite (γ56Fe ≈ −0.5 ‰) precipitated directly from seawater of γ56Fe ≈ 0 ‰. Ferric iron from the surface layers is preserved in ≤ 1μ m hematite and in magnetite that has been grown within the consolidated sediment. During FeIIaq events, fine-grained hematite (γ56Fe ≈ 2.2 ‰) and magnetite (γ56Fe 0.5 to 0.8 ‰) indicate oxygen levels in surface waters of lower than 0.0002 μM. Upon onset and termination of iron oxide abundance, magnetite with γ56Fe ≈ 0 ‰ indicates that low concentrations of FeIIaq in surface waters were oxidized quantitatively. These observations demonstrate the existence of iron oxidation in Paleoarchean surface waters independent of FeIIaq concentration. This is the first investigation of Paleoarchean IF showing that lithostratigraphic cyclicity can be traced in iron isotopic composition of oxide minerals.
ID-ICP-MS measurement of Re, Ir, Ru, Pt and Pd, trace element (SF-ICP-MS) and ID-MCICP- MS uranium isotope determination have been applied to carbonaceous shale of the Mapepe Fm. (Fig Tree Group) after inverse Aqua Regia leaching and bulk digestion. The sediments reveal a silicified fraction which exhibits a seawater REE signature and a mixture of detrital and meteoritic PGE. Neither enrichment of the redox-sensitive elements Re or Mo nor fractionated uranium isotopes have been found on a stratigraphic interval of several hundred meters. The non-silica fraction shows no depletion of Re which indicates that the detrital material had no contact to oxidizing fluids. ID-TIMS measurements of Re and Os after the CrO3-SO4 Carius Tube method of two sample intervals showed that the Re-Os isotopic systems of the non-silica fractions are identical to two komatiite occurrences. Weltevreden Fm. and Komati Fm. rocks were uplifted, eroded and transported to the deep part of the sedimentary basin without any change to the Re-Os system. Negative fractionated uranium isotopes (γ238U = −0.41 ± 0.01 ‰) associated with detrital Ba-Cr-U occurrences suggest the existence of distal redox-processes that involve uranium species. This study demonstrates that over the time of exposure and deposition of the Mapepe Fm. sedimentation, free oxygen was not available for weathering in the catchment area.
The Fire Modeling Intercomparison Project (FireMIP), phase 1: experimental and analytical protocols
(2016)
The important role of fire in regulating vegetation community composition and contributions to emissions of greenhouse gases and aerosols make it a critical component of dynamic global vegetation models and Earth system models. Over two decades of development, a wide variety of model structures and mechanisms have been designed and incorporated into global fire models, which have been linked to different vegetation models. However, there has not yet been a systematic examination of how these different strategies contribute to model performance. Here we describe the structure of the first phase of the Fire Model Intercomparison Project (FireMIP), which for the first time seeks to systematically compare a number of models. By combining a standardized set of input data and model experiments with a rigorous comparison of model outputs to each other and to observations, we will improve the understanding of what drives vegetation fire, how it can best be simulated, and what new or improved observational data could allow better constraints on model behavior. Here we introduce the fire models used in the first phase of FireMIP, the simulation protocols applied, and the benchmarking system used to evaluate the models. The works published in this journal are distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License. This license does not affect the Crown copy-right work, which is re-usable under the Open Government Licence (OGL). The Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License and the OGL are interoperable and do not conflict with, reduce, or limit each other.
Size-resolved long-term measurements of atmospheric aerosol and cloud condensation nuclei (CCN) concentrations as well as hygroscopicity were conducted at the remote Amazon Tall Tower Observatory (ATTO) in the central Amazon Basin over a one-year period and full seasonal cycle (March 2014 - February 2015). The presented measurements provide a climatology of CCN properties for a characteristic central Amazonian rain forest site.
The CCN measurements were continuously cycled through 10 levels of supersaturation (S = 0.11 to 1.10 %) and span the aerosol particle size range from 20 to 245 nm. The observed mean critical diameters of CCN activation range from 43 nm at S = 1.10 % to 172 nm at S = 0.11 %. The particle hygroscopicity exhibits a pronounced size dependence with lower values for the Aitken mode (κAit = 0.14 ± 0.03), elevated values for the accumulation mode (κAcc = 0.22 ± 0.05), and an overall mean value of κmean = 0.17 ± 0.06, consistent with high fractions of organic aerosol.
The hygroscopicity parameter κ exhibits remarkably little temporal variability: no pronounced diurnal cycles, weak seasonal trends, and few short-term variations during long-range transport events. In contrast, the CCN number concentrations exhibit a pronounced seasonal cycle, tracking the pollution-related seasonality in total aerosol concentration. We find that the variability in the CCN concentrations in the central Amazon is mostly driven by aerosol particle number concentration and size distribution, while variations in aerosol hygroscopicity and chemical composition matter only during a few episodes.
For modelling purposes, we compare different approaches of predicting CCN number concentration and present a novel parameterization, which allows accurate CCN predictions based on a small set of input data.
Size-resolved long-term measurements of atmospheric aerosol and cloud condensation nuclei (CCN) concentrations and hygroscopicity were conducted at the remote Amazon Tall Tower Observatory (ATTO) in the central Amazon Basin over a 1-year period and full seasonal cycle (March 2014–February 2015). The measurements provide a climatology of CCN properties characteristic of a remote central Amazonian rain forest site.
The CCN measurements were continuously cycled through 10 levels of supersaturation (S = 0.11 to 1.10 %) and span the aerosol particle size range from 20 to 245 nm. The mean critical diameters of CCN activation range from 43 nm at S = 1.10 % to 172 nm at S = 0.11 %. The particle hygroscopicity exhibits a pronounced size dependence with lower values for the Aitken mode (κAit = 0.14 ± 0.03), higher values for the accumulation mode (κAcc = 0.22 ± 0.05), and an overall mean value of κmean = 0.17 ± 0.06, consistent with high fractions of organic aerosol.
The hygroscopicity parameter, κ, exhibits remarkably little temporal variability: no pronounced diurnal cycles, only weak seasonal trends, and few short-term variations during long-range transport events. In contrast, the CCN number concentrations exhibit a pronounced seasonal cycle, tracking the pollution-related seasonality in total aerosol concentration. We find that the variability in the CCN concentrations in the central Amazon is mostly driven by aerosol particle number concentration and size distribution, while variations in aerosol hygroscopicity and chemical composition matter only during a few episodes.
For modeling purposes, we compare different approaches of predicting CCN number concentration and present a novel parametrization, which allows accurate CCN predictions based on a small set of input data.
We present an estimation of the uptake coefficient (γ) and yield of nitryl chloride (ClNO2) (f) for the heterogeneous processing of dinitrogen pentoxide (N2O5) using simultaneous measurements of particle and trace gas composition at a semi-rural, non-coastal, mountain site in the summer of 2011. The yield of ClNO2 varied between (0.035 ± 0.027) and (1.38 ± 0.60) with a campaign average of (0.49 ± 0.35). The large variability in f reflects the highly variable chloride content of particles at the site. Uptake coefficients were also highly variable with minimum, maximum and average γ values of 0.004, 0.11 and 0.028 ± 0.029, respectively, with no significant correlation with particle composition, but a weak dependence on relative humidity. The uptake coefficients obtained are compared to existing parameterisations based on laboratory datasets and with other values obtained by analysis of field data.
We present an estimation of the uptake coefficient (γ) and yield of nitryl chloride (ClNO2) (f) for the heterogeneous processing of dinitrogen pentoxide (N2O5) using simultaneous measurements of particle and trace gas composition at a semi-rural, non-coastal, mountain site in the summer of 2011. The yield of ClNO2 varied between (0.035 ± 0.027) and (1.38 ± 0.60) with a campaign average of (0.49 ± 0.35). The large variability in f reflects the highly variable chloride content of particles at the site. Uptake coefficients were also highly variable with minimum, maximum and average γ values of 0.004, 0.11 and 0.028 ± 0.029, respectively, with no significant correlation with particle composition, but a weak dependence on relative humidity. The uptake coefficients obtained are compared to existing parameterizations based on laboratory datasets and with other values obtained by analysis of field data.
Clouds and precipitation are essential climate variables. Because of their high spatial and temporal variability, their observation and modeling is difficult. In this thesis multiple observational data sources, including satellite data and station data are globally analyzed to understand the distribution and variability of clouds and precipitation, while a special focus is on the diurnal cycle of both variables. Substantial diurnal cycles of clouds and precipitation are observed in the tropics, with different properties over land and ocean. But also in Europe cloud diurnal cycles are observed in the summer season. Overall the maximum cloud cover and also the maximum precipitation is observed in the afternoon over land, and in the morning over ocean. The analyzed climate model simulations and the model-based reanalysis fail to simulate the observed diurnal cycles. Owing to their limited resolution, models can not fully resolve the processes responsible for the existence of diurnal cycles of clouds and precipitation.