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Tracking influenza a virus infection in the lung from hematological data with machine learning
(2022)
The tracking of pathogen burden and host responses with minimal-invasive methods during respiratory infections is central for monitoring disease development and guiding treatment decisions. Utilizing a standardized murine model of respiratory Influenza A virus (IAV) infection, we developed and tested different supervised machine learning models to predict viral burden and immune response markers, i.e. cytokines and leukocytes in the lung, from hematological data. We performed independently in vivo infection experiments to acquire extensive data for training and testing purposes of the models. We show here that lung viral load, neutrophil counts, cytokines like IFN-γ and IL-6, and other lung infection markers can be predicted from hematological data. Furthermore, feature analysis of the models shows that blood granulocytes and platelets play a crucial role in prediction and are highly involved in the immune response against IAV. The proposed in silico tools pave the path towards improved tracking and monitoring of influenza infections and possibly other respiratory infections based on minimal-invasively obtained hematological parameters.
Abstract
Co-infections by multiple pathogens have important implications in many aspects of health, epidemiology and evolution. However, how to disentangle the contributing factors of the immune response when two infections take place at the same time is largely unexplored. Using data sets of the immune response during influenza-pneumococcal co-infection in mice, we employ here topological data analysis to simplify and visualise high dimensional data sets.
We identified persistent shapes of the simplicial complexes of the data in the three infection scenarios: single viral infection, single bacterial infection, and co-infection. The immune response was found to be distinct for each of the infection scenarios and we uncovered that the immune response during the co-infection has three phases and two transition points. During the first phase, its dynamics is inherited from its response to the primary (viral) infection. The immune response has an early (few hours post co-infection) and then modulates its response to finally react against the secondary (bacterial) infection. Between 18 to 26 hours post co-infection the nature of the immune response changes again and does no longer resembles either of the single infection scenarios.
Author summary
The mapper algorithm is a topological data analysis technique used for the qualitative analysis, simplification and visualisation of high dimensional data sets. It generates a low-dimensional image that captures topological and geometric information of the data set in high dimensional space, which can highlight groups of data points of interest and can guide further analysis and quantification.
To understand how the immune system evolves during the co-infection between viruses and bacteria, and the role of specific cytokines as contributing factors for these severe infections, we use Topological Data Analysis (TDA) along with an extensive semi-unsupervised parameter value grid search, and k-nearest neighbour analysis.
We find persistent shapes of the data in the three infection scenarios, single viral and bacterial infections and co-infection. The immune response is shown to be distinct for each of the infections scenarios and we uncover that the immune response during the co-infection has three phases and two transition points, a previously unknown property regarding the dynamics of the immune response during co-infection.