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This study presents a method for adjusting long-term climate data records (CDRs) for the integrated use with near-real-time data using the example of surface incoming solar irradiance (SIS). Recently, a 23-year long (1983–2005) continuous SIS CDR has been generated based on the visible channel (0.45–1 μm) of the MVIRI radiometers onboard the geostationary Meteosat First Generation Platform. The CDR is available from the EUMETSAT Satellite Application Facility on Climate Monitoring (CM SAF). Here, it is assessed whether a homogeneous extension of the SIS CDR to the present is possible with operationally generated surface radiation data provided by CM SAF using the SEVIRI and GERB instruments onboard the Meteosat Second Generation satellites. Three extended CM SAF SIS CDR versions consisting of MVIRI-derived SIS (1983–2005) and three different SIS products derived from the SEVIRI and GERB instruments onboard the MSG satellites (2006 onwards) were tested. A procedure to detect shift inhomogeneities in the extended data record (1983–present) was applied that combines the Standard Normal Homogeneity Test (SNHT) and a penalized maximal T-test with visual inspection. Shift detection was done by comparing the SIS time series with the ground stations mean, in accordance with statistical significance. Several stations of the Baseline Surface Radiation Network (BSRN) and about 50 stations of the Global Energy Balance Archive (GEBA) over Europe were used as the ground-based reference. The analysis indicates several breaks in the data record between 1987 and 1994 probably due to artefacts in the raw data and instrument failures. After 2005 the MVIRI radiometer was replaced by the narrow-band SEVIRI and the broadband GERB radiometers and a new retrieval algorithm was applied. This induces significant challenges for the homogenisation across the satellite generations. Homogenisation is performed by applying a mean-shift correction depending on the shift size of any segment between two break points to the last segment (2006–present). Corrections are applied to the most significant breaks that can be related to satellite changes. This study focuses on the European region, but the methods can be generalized to other regions. To account for seasonal dependence of the mean-shifts the correction was performed independently for each calendar month. In comparison to the ground-based reference the homogenised data record shows an improvement over the original data record in terms of anomaly correlation and bias. In general the method can also be applied for the adjustment of satellite datasets addressing other variables to bridge the gap between CDRs and near-real-time data.
In this study we show how size-resolved measurements of aerosol particles and cloud condensation nuclei (CCN) can be used to characterize the supersaturation of water vapor in a cloud. The method was developed and applied for the investigation of a cloud event during the ACRIDICON-Zugspitze campaign (17 September to 4 October 2012) at the high-alpine research station Schneefernerhaus (German Alps, 2650 m a.s.l.). Number size distributions of total and interstitial aerosol particles were measured with a scanning mobility particle sizer (SMPS), and size-resolved CCN efficiency spectra were recorded with a CCN counter system operated at different supersaturation levels.
During the evolution of a cloud, aerosol particles are exposed to different supersaturation levels. We outline and compare different estimates for the lower and upper bounds (Slow, Shigh) and the average value (Savg) of peak supersaturation encountered by the particles in the cloud. For the investigated cloud event, we derived Slow ≈ 0.19–0.25%, Shigh ≈ 0.90–1.64% and Savg ≈ 0.38–0.84%. Estimates of Slow, Shigh and Savg based on aerosol size distribution data require specific knowledge or assumptions of aerosol hygroscopicity, which are not required for the derivation of Slow and Savg from the size-resolved CCN efficiency spectra.
Planktonic Foraminifera are important marine calcifiers, and the ongoing change in the oceanic carbon system makes it essential to understand the influence of environmental factors on the biomineralization of their shells. The amount of calcite deposited by planktonic Foraminifera during calcification has been hypothesized to reflect a range of environmental factors. However, it has never been assessed whether their calcification only passively responds to the conditions of the ambient seawater or whether it reflects changes in resource allocation due to physiological stress. To disentangle these two end-member scenarios, an experiment is required where the two processes are separated. A natural analogue to such an experiment occurred during the deposition of the Mediterranean sapropels, where large changes in surface water composition and stratification at the onset of the sapropel deposition were decoupled from local extinctions of planktonic Foraminifera species. We took advantage of this natural experiment and investigated the reaction of calcification intensity, expressed as mean area density (MAD), of four species of planktonic Foraminifera to changing conditions during the onset of Sapropel S5 (126–121 ka) in a sediment core from the Levantine Basin. We observed a significant relationship between MAD and surface water properties, as reflected by stable isotopes in the calcite of Foraminifera shells, but we failed to observe any reaction of calcification intensity on ecological stress during times of decreasing abundance culminating in local extinction. The reaction of calcification intensity to surface water perturbation at the onset of the sapropel was observed only in surface-dwelling species, but all species calcified more strongly prior to the sapropel deposition and less strongly within the sapropel than at similar conditions during the present-day. These results indicate that the high-salinity environment of the glacial Mediterranean Sea prior to sapropel deposition induced a~more intense calcification, whereas the freshwater injection to the surface waters associated with sapropel deposition inhibited calcification. The results are robust to changes in carbonate preservation and collectively imply that changes in normalized shell weight in planktonic Foraminifera should reflect mainly abiotic forcing.
Planktonic Foraminifera are important marine calcifiers, and the ongoing change in the oceanic carbon system makes it essential to understand the influence of environmental factors on the biomineralisation of their shells. The amount of calcite deposited by planktonic Foraminifera during calcification has been hypothesized to reflect a range of environmental factors. However, it has never been assessed whether their calcification only passively responds to the conditions of the ambient seawater or whether it reflects changes in resource allocation due to physiological stress. To disentangle these two end-member scenarios, an experiment is required where the two processes are separated. A natural analogue to such an experiment occurred during the deposition of the Mediterranean sapropels, where large changes in surface water composition and stratification at the onset of the sapropel deposition were decoupled from local extinctions of planktonic Foraminifera species. We take advantage of this natural experiment and investigate the reaction of calcification intensity, expressed as size-normalized weight (SNW), of four species of planktonic Foraminifera to changing conditions during the onset of Sapropel S5 (126–121 ka) in a sediment core from the Levantine Basin. We observe a significant relationship between SNW and surface water properties, as reflected by stable isotopes in the calcite of Foraminifera shells, but we failed to observe any reaction of calcification intensity on ecological stress during times of decreasing abundance culminating in local extinction. The reaction of calcification intensity to surface water perturbation at the onset of the sapropel was observed only in surface dwelling species, but all species calcified more strongly prior to the sapropel deposition and less strongly within the sapropel than at comparable conditions during the present day. These results indicate that the high-salinity environment of the glacial Mediterranean Sea prior to sapropel deposition induced a more intense calcification, whereas the freshwater injection to the surface waters associated with sapropel deposition inhibited calcification. The results are robust to changes in carbonate preservation and collectively imply that changes in normalized shell weight in planktonic Foraminifera should reflect mainly abiotic forcing.
Projections of future changes in runoff can have important implications for water resources and flooding. In this study, runoff projections from ISI-MIP (Inter-sectoral Impact Model Intercomparison Project) simulations forced with HadGEM2-ES bias-corrected climate data under the Representative Concentration Pathway 8.5 have been analysed. Projections of change from the baseline period (1981–2010) to the future (2070–2099) from a number of different ecosystems and hydrological models were studied. The differences between projections from the two types of model were looked at globally and regionally. Typically, across different regions the ecosystem models tended to project larger increases and smaller decreases in runoff than the hydrological models. However, the differences varied both regionally and seasonally. Sensitivity experiments were also used to investigate the contributions of varying CO2 and allowing vegetation distribution to evolve on projected changes in runoff. In two out of four models which had data available from CO2 sensitivity experiments, allowing CO2 to vary was found to increase runoff more than keeping CO2 constant, while in two models runoff decreased. This suggests more uncertainty in runoff responses to elevated CO2 than previously considered. As CO2 effects on evapotranspiration via stomatal conductance and leaf-area index are more commonly included in ecosystems models than in hydrological models, this may partially explain some of the difference between model types. Keeping the vegetation distribution static in JULES runs had much less effect on runoff projections than varying CO2, but this may be more pronounced if looked at over a longer timescale as vegetation changes may take longer to reach a new state.
Comparing projections of future changes in runoff from hydrological and biome models in ISI-MIP
(2013)
Future changes in runoff can have important implications for water resources and flooding. In this study, runoff projections from ISI-MIP (Inter-sectoral Impact Model Intercomparison Project) simulations forced with HadGEM2-ES bias-corrected climate data under the Representative Concentration Pathway 8.5 have been analysed for differences between impact models. Projections of change from a baseline period (1981–2010) to the future (2070–2099) from 12 impacts models which contributed to the hydrological and biomes sectors of ISI-MIP were studied. The biome models differed from the hydrological models by the inclusion of CO2 impacts and most also included a dynamic vegetation distribution. The biome and hydrological models agreed on the sign of runoff change for most regions of the world. However, in West Africa, the hydrological models projected drying, and the biome models a moistening. The biome models tended to produce larger increases and smaller decreases in regionally averaged runoff than the hydrological models, although there is large inter-model spread. The timing of runoff change was similar, but there were differences in magnitude, particularly at peak runoff. The impact of vegetation distribution change was much smaller than the projected change over time, while elevated CO2 had an effect as large as the magnitude of change over time projected by some models in some regions. The effect of CO2 on runoff was not consistent across the models, with two models showing increases and two decreases. There was also more spread in projections from the runs with elevated CO2 than with constant CO2. The biome models which gave increased runoff from elevated CO2 were also those which differed most from the hydrological models. Spatially, regions with most difference between model types tended to be projected to have most effect from elevated CO2, and seasonal differences were also similar, so elevated CO2 can partly explain the differences between hydrological and biome model runoff change projections. Therefore, this shows that a range of impact models should be considered to give the full range of uncertainty in impacts studies.
In this study we report the set-up of a novel twin chamber technique that uses the comparative method and establishes an appropriate connection of atmospheric and laboratory methods to broaden the tools for investigations. It is designed to study the impact of certain parameters and gases on ambient processes, such as particle formation online, and can be applied in a large variety of conditions. The characterisation of both chambers proved that both chambers operate identically, with a residence time xT (COMPASS1) = 26.5 ± 0.3 min and xT (COMPASS2) = 26.6 ± 0.4 min, at a typical flow rate of 15 L min−1 and a gas leak rate of (1.6 ± 0.8) × 10−5 s−1. Particle loss rates were found to be larger (due to the particles' stickiness to the chamber walls), with an extrapolated maximum of 1.8 × 10−3 s−1 at 1 nm, i.e. a hundredfold of the gas leak rate. This latter value is associated with sticky non-volatile gaseous compounds, too. Comparison measurement showed no significant differences. Therefore operation under atmospheric conditions is trustworthy. To indicate the applicability and the benefit of the system, a set of experiments was conducted under different conditions, i.e. urban and remote, enhanced ozone and terpenes as well as reduced sunlight. In order to do so, an ozone lamp was applied to enhance ozone in one of two chambers; the measurement chamber was protected from radiation by a first-aid cover and volatile organic compounds (VOCs) were added using a small additional flow and a temperature-controlled oven. During the elevated ozone period, ambient particle number and volume increased substantially at urban and remote conditions, but by a different intensity. Protection of solar radiation displayed a clear negative effect on particle number, while terpene addition did cause a distinct daily pattern. E.g. adding β pinene particle number concentration rose by 13% maximum at noontime, while no significant effect was observable during darkness. Therefore, the system is a useful tool for investigating local precursors and the details of ambient particle formation at surface locations as well as potential future feedback processes.
The anthropogenic influence on climate and environment has increased strongly since industrialization about 150 yr ago. The consequences for the atmosphere became more and more apparent and nowadays affect our life quality on Earth progressively. Because of that it is very important to understand the atmospheric processes, on which these effects are based on, in detail. In this study we report the set-up of a novel twin chamber technique that uses the comparative method and establishes an appropriate connection of atmospheric and laboratory methods to broaden the tools for investigations. It is designed to study the impact of certain parameters and gases on ambient processes such as particle formation online and can be applied in a large variety of conditions. The characterisation of both chambers proved that both chambers operate identically with a residence time (xT (COMPASS 1) = 26.5 ± 0.3 min and xT (COMPASS 2) = 26.6 ± 0.4 min) at a typical flow rate of 15 L min−1 and a deposition rate (1.6 ± 0.8) × 10−5 s−1. Comparison measurement showed no significant differences. Therefore operation under atmospheric conditions is trustworthy. To indicate the applicability and the benefit of the system a set of experiments was conducted at different conditions, i.e. urban and remote, enhancing ozone and terpenes as well as reducing sunlight. In the ozone enhanced ambient particle number and volume increased substantially at urban and remote conditions in a different strength. Solar radiation displayed a clear positive effect on particle number as well as terpene addition did at remote conditions. Therefore the system is a useful tool to investigate local precursors, the details of ambient particle formation at surface locations as well as future feedback processes.
Since the 1980s, advances in wastewater treatment technology have led to considerably improved surface water quality in the urban areas of many high income countries. However, trace concentrations of organic wastewater-associated contaminants may still pose a key environmental hazard impairing the ecological quality of surface waters. To identify key impact factors, we analyzed the effects of a wide range of anthropogenic and environmental variables on the aquatic macroinvertebrate community. We assessed ecological water quality at 26 sampling sites in four urban German lowland river systems with a 0–100% load of state-of-the-art biological activated sludge treated wastewater. The chemical analysis suite comprised 12 organic contaminants (five phosphor organic flame retardants, two musk fragrances, bisphenol A, nonylphenol, octylphenol, diethyltoluamide, terbutryn), 16 polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons, and 12 heavy metals. Non-metric multidimensional scaling identified organic contaminants that are mainly wastewater-associated (i.e., phosphor organic flame retardants, musk fragrances, and diethyltoluamide) as a major impact variable on macroinvertebrate species composition. The structural degradation of streams was also identified as a significant factor. Multiple linear regression models revealed a significant impact of organic contaminants on invertebrate populations, in particular on Ephemeroptera, Plecoptera, and Trichoptera species. Spearman rank correlation analyses confirmed wastewater-associated organic contaminants as the most significant variable negatively impacting the biodiversity of sensitive macroinvertebrate species. In addition to increased aquatic pollution with organic contaminants, a greater wastewater fraction was accompanied by a slight decrease in oxygen concentration and an increase in salinity. This study highlights the importance of reducing the wastewater-associated impact on surface waters. For aquatic ecosystems in urban areas this would lead to: (i) improvement of the ecological integrity, (ii) reduction of biodiversity loss, and (iii) faster achievement of objectives of legislative requirements, e.g., the European Water Framework Directive.
Mantle convection is the process by which heat from the Earth’s core is transferred upwards to the surface and it is accepted to explain the dynamics of the Earth’s interior. On geological time-scales, mantle material flows like a viscous fluid as a consequence of the buoyancy forces arising from thermal expansion. Indeed, mantel convection provides a framework which links together the major disciplines, such as seismology, mineral physics, geochemistry tectonic and geology. The numerical model has been applied to understand the dynamic, structure and evaluation of the Earth, and other terrestrial planets and the investigations continue to explore, different aspects of the mantle convection.
In fact, to model this phenomenon, two complementary approaches are possible. On the one hand, one can solve self-consistently the equations of thermal convection, including parameters and employing physical relationships derived from mineral physics. Our understanding of mantle convection depends ultimately upon the success of such fully self-consistent dynamic models in explaining observable features of the flow. Although, these models presently unable to predict the actual convection pattern of the Earth, they are extremely useful to investigate general characteristics of given physical systems. On the other hand, to permit comparison with specific observables associated with the flow, one can consider a more restricted problem. Instead of focusing on the time evolution of mantle flow, if we know a priori the temperature - and hence presumably the density - anomalies that drive the convection, we can try to build a snapshot of the present-day flow pattern, consistent with those anomalies, that can successfully predict the observables. As matter of fact, the aim of this study is to investigate both approaches in comparison with the main geophysical constraints on mantle structure. These constraints include the geoid anomalies, the dynamic surface and core-mantle boundary topography and tectonic plate motions.
The most appropriate mathematical basis functions for describing a bounded and continuous function on a spherical surface are spherical harmonics. We may therefore expand the geodynamic observables in terms of spherical harmonics. We have investigated two methods of the global spherical harmonic analysis by specific attention to the dynamic geoid computation of the geodynamic models. The first method is the quadrature method in which the loss of the orthogonality of the Legendre functions in transition from continues to discrete case is the major drawback to the method. Particularly, we showed that in the absence of the tesseral harmonics, quadrature formulation leads to obtain inaccurate results. The second method is the least-squares which can be considered as the best linear unbiased estimator that provides the exact results. We showed that even with a low resolution grid data it is possible to reconstruct the data and achieve an accurate result by using this method, which is extremely remarkable in three-dimensional global convection studies. However, special care has to be taken since there is some source of errors that might influence the efficiency of this method.
In general, to better understanding of the properties of the mantle, it is useful to assess observable characteristics of plumes in the mantle, including geoid, topography and heat flow anomalies. However, only few studies exist on geoid and topography for axi-symmetric convection and their models were restricted to isoviscous (or stratified) mantle and low Rayleigh numbers. We studied fully coupled depth and temperature dependent Arrhenius type of viscosity in axi-symmetric spherical shell geometry in order to investigate the shape of geoid anomalies and dynamic topography above a plume. Indeed, the topography and geoid anomalies produced from plumes are sensitive to rheology of the mantle and rheology of the plume; both have effects on shape and amplitude of the geoid anomalies. As results we are able to define different classes of plumes by their geoid signals.
Mainly depth-dependent viscosity models show a geoid with negative sign above the plume which can turn to the positive sign by decrease the viscosity contrast. This can be considered as a transition between the strongly depth dependent and the constant viscosity case. Our results basically support the idea by Morgan [1965] and McKenzie [1977]. They have shown the magnitude and even the sign of the total gravity anomaly depend on the spatial variation in effective viscosity. In addition, Hager [1984] has concluded that the total gravity field is depend on the radial distribution of effective viscosity, and a small change in viscosity contrast leads to varying sign of the response function.
In the case of temperature-dependent viscosity, the formation of an immobile lithosphere is a natural result, and the flow as well as the total geoid becomes strongly time dependent. When we increase the activation energy, all geoids associated with the first arriving plumes look like bell shaped whereas for typical plumes, after reaching a statistical steady state, bell-shaped geoids with decreasing amplitude as well as linear flank shaped geoids are observed. It is surprising that in spite of large differences in lateral and depth varying viscosities, the shapes of the geoid anomalies remained rather similar. We also identified different behaviors in the combined model with temperature-and pressure-dependent viscosity. In fact, in spite of the strongly different rheology, the geoid anomalies in all cases were surprisingly similar. Furthermore, we proposed a scaling law for the geoid which makes our results directly applicable to other planets. Moreover, we can apply the results of our calculation to find relations between different rheology and sub-lid temperature, since we know that the mantle temperature can change significantly with variation in pressure-temperature dependent viscosity. It is also possible to define a range of stagnant lid thickness related to the amplitude of the geoid which can be reasonable for study of the lid thickness in Venus or Mars.
Nevertheless, in these series of models, we simplified a number of complexities within the Earth. One of the most important of such simplification is the Boussinesq approximation. This approximation is valid if the temperature scale height (i.e. the depth over which temperature increases by a factor of “ ” due to adiabatic compression) is much greater than the convection depth. However, a temperature scale height in the Earth’s mantle is at best only slightly greater than the mantle depth. Hence, the Boussinesq approximation could mask some very important stratification and compressibility effects that influence both the spatial and temporal structure of the convection. Therefore, in more advance models we considered compressibility in our mantle convection models, assuming that density vary both radially and laterally, being determined as a function of pressure and temperature through an appropriate equation of the state. Moreover, thermodynamic properties assumed to be a function of depth.
We examined the details of the structure of the spherical axi-symmetric Anelastic Liquid Approximation model (ALA) with special attention to the Arrhenius rheology, and compare it to the cases of compressible convection without depth dependent thermodynamical properties, and to cases of the extended Boussinesq approximation. At the same time, the effects of the interaction between temperature and pressure-dependent viscosity and thermodynamic parameters in the compressible mantle convection on the geoid and topography have been studied. We showed that assuming compressible convection with depth-dependent thermodynamic properties strongly influence the geoid undulations. Using compressible convection with constant thermodynamic properties is physically inconsistent and may lead to spurious results for the geoid and convection pattern. Indeed, by a systematic study of different approaches of compressibility in the spherical shell convection for different Arrhenius viscosity laws we proved that only in the unrealistic case of zero activation energy the different compressibility modes result in comparable convection and geoid patterns. In all other rheological cases, large differences have been obtained, that stressing the important role of consistent compressible thermodynamic properties for mantle convection.
In addition, we examine the impact of compressibility as well as different rheologies on the power law relation that connects the Nusselt number to the Rayleigh number. We have discovered that the power law index of the relationship is controlled by the rheology, independent of which approximation is used. Instead, the bound of this relation is controlled by a combination of different approximation and rheology.
Next, instead of focusing on the time evolution of mantle flow, we have carried out three-dimensional spherical shell models of mantle circulation to investigate the effects of joint radial and lateral viscosity variations on the Earth’s non-hydrostatic geoid, surface and core-mantle boundary topographies. These models include realistic lateral viscosity variations (LVV) in the lithosphere, upper mantle and lower mantle in combination with different stratified viscosity structures. We have demonstrated that the contradictory results concerning the effects of LVV can be clarified by the most straight-forward problem in geoid modeling; namely, rather poorly known stratified viscosity structure. We explored three classes of dynamic geoid models due to lateral viscosity variations. In the first class, the LVV strongly improved the fit to the observed geoid. Indeed, when the viscosity contrast between lower and upper mantles is not large enough to produce a good fit to geoid the LVVs are able to perform this action by adjusting amplitudes, so that it becomes comparable with observation. In the second class, inducing the LVV moderately improved the fit. Actually, when the geoid induced by a stratified viscosity structure already has a good correlation with observation, then the LVV causes its amplitude to further improve. In the last class, if the viscosity contrast between upper and lower mantle would be high enough, inducing LVV deteriorate the fit to the observed geoid.. Indeed, depending on the stratified viscosity, inducing the LVV may take place in one of these categories.
We also quantified the effects of LVV in the mantle and lithosphere individually. We found that the presence of LVV in the mantle (upper and lower) improves the fit to the observed geoid regardless of stratified viscosity. While LVV in the lithosphere is a crucial parameter, and dependent of the stratified viscosity, may increase or decrease the geoid fit. In fact, when the lower mantle considers being viscous enough, it would support the negative buoyancy of subducting slabs. Thus, it transmits some of the stress back to the top boundary and causes a weak coupling between slab and surface. Therefore, by including the low viscous plate boundaries in this model, the slabs and overriding plates decouples and the fit to the observed geoid degrades. In contrast, when the lower mantle viscosity is not sufficiently stiff, the presence of the low viscous plate boundaries assists to weaken the strong mechanical coupling between slab and surface. Hence, a better fit achieved.