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This paper uses laboratory experiments to provide a systematic analysis of how di↵erent presentation formats a↵ect individuals’ investment decisions. The results indicate that the type of presentation as well as personal characteristics influence both, the consistency of decisions and the riskiness of investment choices. However, while personal characteristics have a larger impact on consistency, the chosen risk level is determined more by framing e↵ects. On the level of personal characteristics, participants’ decisions show that better financial literacy and a better understanding of the presentation format enhance consistency and thus decision quality. Moreover, female participants on average make less consistent decisions and tend to prefer less risky alternatives. On the level of framing dimensions, subjects choose riskier investments when possible outcomes are shown in absolute values rather than rates of return and when the loss potential is less obvious. In particular, reducing the emphasis on downside risk and upside potential simultaneously leads to a substantial increase in risk taking.
Gegenstand des Beitrages ist das Konzeptionsproblem der juristischen Schlüsselqualifikationen, das bisher auf der Ebene der Gesetzgebung, der Wissenschaft und der Praxis ungelöst ist. Gerade diese Tatsache könnte paradoxerweise mittel- und langfristig dazu führen, dass sich das Profil rechtswissenschaftlicher Fakultäten schärft, die Schlüsselqualifikationen in ihre rechtswissenschaftliche Ausbildung systematisch, aber nicht naiv, integrieren. Dazu muss ein funktionaler Blick auf die in den universitären Alltag zu integrierenden Schlüsselqualifikationen geworfen werden. Diese sind nicht selbsterklärend, sondern lediglich Mittel, die einem bestimmten Zweck dienen, der selbst wieder begründungsbedürftig ist. Wer als Studierender von einer Profilbildung juristischer Fakultäten profitieren will, sollte sich mit den zunehmend deutlicher werdenden Entwicklungen auseinander setzen, die dazu führen, Schlüsselqualifikationen auf eine je charakteristische Weise in den Ausbildungsalltag einer Fakultät einzubinden - oder aus diesem auszuschließen. Zu wünschen wäre, dass sich über kurz oder lang ein hochschulübergreifendes Forum herausbildet. Ziel wäre es, die Praxisrelevanz der rechtswissenschaftlichen Ausbildung zu steigern und deren Hinwendung zu rechtsdidaktischen, deontologischen und konzeptionellen Fragen zu ermöglichen, ohne das wissenschaftliche Fundament der Hochschulen und deren Autonomie einzuschränken, sondern beides im Idealfall zu stimulieren. Die Verfasser, die beide seit Jahren Seminare am Fachbereichszentrum für Schlüsselqualifikationen des Fachbereichs FB 01 der Johann Wolfgang Goethe-Universität Frankfurt am Main leiten, stellen damit keine Prognose auf, dass die Integration von Schlüsselqualifikationen im hier beschriebenen Sinn flächendeckend stattfinden oder gelingen wird. Nichtsdestoweniger zeigt sich am Umgang mit den Schlüsselqualifikationen exemplarisch, welche Analysen und Ableitungen eine Hochschule aus dem gesetzlich vorgegebenen Dialog zwischen Theorie und Praxis entwickelt hat. Hieraus lassen sich wiederum Schlussfolgerungen über den Zustand der Hochschulausbildung in Deutschland ziehen. Nach Auffassung der Autoren haben Hochschulen mit inklusivem Ansatz eine bessere Chance zur Bewahrung der eigenen Autonomie als solche, die sich gegenüber tendenziell übergriffigen Akteuren aus Wirtschaft und Politik (vermeintlich) kategorisch abschotten. Hochschulen, die das Stadium einer leitbildgetreuen Dialogfähigkeit erreichen, haben es einfacher, neben ihrer Wettbewerbsfähigkeit auch ihr Kernanliegen zu behaupten. Die Bedeutung von Hochschulen, die ihre Augen vor einer Aufweichung des ihnen zukommenden Forschungs-, Lehr- und Bildungsauftrags verschließen, wird, so die Prognose der Autoren, in Gesellschaft, Wirtschaft und Politik auf Dauer schwinden.
Luis de Molina (1535-1600) grants slaves a legal status through which they can take up a position with respect to their masters between equivalent legal entity and legal object. Here, what is decisive is the figure of the subjective right, which both for Molina and modern proponents of this legal concept describes the 'right per se'. According to Molina's definition of ius, the denial of a subjective right or the hindrance of exercising an individual right represents an injustice. The rights granted to a slave in virtue of his being regarded a human being (despite the condition of slavery) serve to protect the slave against unjust acts. Molina does not distinguish the slave as a legal entity as separate from his master insofar as the slave should be protected against injustices committed against him or his property; injustices for which he would be entitled to compensation. Yet, the slave is not able to stake his claim to a particular right because it is not possible for him to take the matter to court. His natural law justified coequal legal status with respect to his master is limited in such a way by the positive legal order (by means of which slavery is generally made possible) that he is to be held legally incompetent as a legal entity with regard to defending and enforcing his 'qua homo'-legal rights. This precarious situation is due to the complicated legal intermediate position of a human legal entity, which, at the same time, represents the legal object of another person.
Futures markets are a potentially valuable source of information about market expectations. Exploiting this information has proved difficult in practice, because the presence of a time-varying risk premium often renders the futures price a poor measure of the market expectation of the price of the underlying asset. Even though the expectation in principle may be recovered by adjusting the futures price by the estimated risk premium, a common problem in applied work is that there are as many measures of market expectations as there are estimates of the risk premium. We propose a general solution to this problem that allows us to uniquely pin down the best possible estimate of the market expectation for any set of risk premium estimates. We illustrate this approach by solving the long-standing problem of how to recover the market expectation of the price of crude oil. We provide a new measure of oil price expectations that is considerably more accurate than the alternatives and more economically plausible. We discuss implications of our analysis for the estimation of economic models of energy-intensive durables, for the debate on speculation in oil markets, and for oil price forecasting.
On average, "young" people underestimate whereas "old" people overestimate their chances to survive into the future. We adopt a Bayesian learning model of ambiguous survival beliefs which replicates these patterns. The model is embedded within a non-expected utility model of life-cycle consumption and saving. Our analysis shows that agents with ambiguous survival beliefs (i) save less than originally planned, (ii) exhibit undersaving at younger ages, and (iii) hold larger amounts of assets in old age than their rational expectations counterparts who correctly assess their survival probabilities. Our ambiguity-driven model therefore simultaneously accounts for three important empirical findings on household saving behavior.
This paper solves a dynamic model of households' mortgage decisions incorporating labor income, house price, inflation, and interest rate risk. It uses a zero-profit condition for mortgage lenders to solve for equilibrium mortgage rates given borrower characteristics and optimal decisions. The model quantifies the effects of adjustable vs. fixed mortgage rates, loan-to-value ratios, and mortgage affordability measures on mortgage premia and default. Heterogeneity in borrowers' labor income risk is important for explaining the higher default rates on adjustable-rate mortgages during the recent US housing downturn, and the variation in mortgage premia with the level of interest rates.
Riley (1979)'s reactive equilibrium concept addresses problems of equilibrium existence in competitive markets with adverse selection. The game-theoretic interpretation of the reactive equilibrium concept in Engers and Fernandez (1987) yields the Rothschild-Stiglitz (1976)/Riley (1979) allocation as an equilibrium allocation, however multiplicity of equilibrium emerges. In this note we imbed the reactive equilibrium's logic in a dynamic market context with active consumers. We show that the Riley/Rothschild-Stiglitz contracts constitute the unique equilibrium allocation in any pure strategy subgame perfect Nash equilibrium.
This paper analyzes how on-the-job search (OJS) by an agent impacts the moral hazard problem in a repeated principal-agent relationship. OJS is found to constitute a source of agency costs because efficient search incentives require that the agent receives all gains from trade. Further, the optimal incentive contract with OJS matches the design of empirically observed compensation contracts more accurately than models that ignore OJS. In particular, the optimal contract entails excessive performance pay plus efficiency wages. Efficiency wages reduce the opportunity costs of work effort and hence serve as a complement to bonuses. Thus, the model offers a novel explanation for the use of efficiency wages. When allowing for renegotiation, the model generates wage and turnover dynamics that are consistent with empirical evidence. I argue that the model contributes to explaining the concomitant rise in the use of performance pay and in competition for high-skill workers during the last three decades.
From the late middle ages to early modern times (ca. 1200-1600) the Lübeck City Council was the most important courthouse in the Baltic. About 100 cities and towns on its shores lived according to the law of Lübeck. The paper deals with the old theory that Imperial law, i.e. mainly the learned Ius commune, was generally rejected by the council on the grounds of its foreign nature. The paper rejects this view with the help of 8 case studies. There exist rather spectacular statements against Imperial Law, but a closer look reveals that they have to be seen in the light of a specific practical context. They must not be confounded with general statements in which the council had no interest. Its attitude towards Learned Law was flexible and purely pragmatic.
This paper explores consequences of consumer education on prices and welfare in retail financial markets when some consumers are naive about shrouded add-on prices and firms try to exploit it. Allowing for different information and pricing strategies we show that education is unlikely to push firms to disclose prices towards all consumers, which would be socially efficient. Instead, price discrimination emerges as a new equilibrium. Further, due to a feedback on prices, education that is good for consumers who become sophisticated may be bad for consumers who stay naive and even for the group of all consumers as a whole