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Background/aims: Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is a leading indication for liver transplantation (LT) worldwide. Early identification of patients at risk for HCC recurrence is of paramount importance since early treatment of recurrent HCC after LT may be associated with increased survival. We evaluated incidence of and predictors for HCC recurrence, with a focus on the course of AFP levels.
Methods: We performed a retrospective, single-center study of 99 HCC patients who underwent LT between January 28th, 1997 and May 11th, 2016. A multi-stage proportional hazards model with three stages was used to evaluate potential predictive markers, both by univariate and multivariable analysis, for influences on 1) recurrence after transplantation, 2) mortality without HCC recurrence, and 3) mortality after recurrence.
Results: 19/99 HCC patients showed recurrence after LT. Waiting time was not associated with overall HCC recurrence (HR = 1, p = 0.979). Similarly, waiting time did not affect mortality in LT recipients both with (HR = 0.97, p = 0.282) or without (HR = 0.99, p = 0.685) HCC recurrence. Log10-transformed AFP values at the time of LT (HR 1.75, p = 0.023) as well as after LT (HR 2.07, p = 0.037) were significantly associated with recurrence. Median survival in patients with a ratio (AFP at recurrence divided by AFP 3 months before recurrence) of 0.5 was greater than 70 months, as compared to a median of only 8 months in patients with a ratio of 5.
Conclusion: A rise in AFP levels rather than an absolute threshold could help to identify patients at short-term risk for HCC recurrence post LT, which may allow intensification of the surveillance strategy on an individualized basis.
Chronic viral hepatitis is associated with substantial morbidity and mortality worldwide. The aim of our study was to assess the ability of point shear‐wave elastography (pSWE) using acoustic radiation force impulse imaging for the prediction of the following liver‐related events (LREs): new diagnosis of HCC, liver transplantation, or liver‐related death (hepatic decompensation was not included as an LRE). pSWE was performed at study inclusion and compared with liver histology, transient elastography (TE), and serologic biomarkers (aspartate aminotransferase to platelet ratio index, Fibrosis‐4, FibroTest). The performance of pSWE and TE to predict LREs was assessed by calculating the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve and a Cox proportional‐hazards regression model. A total of 254 patients with a median follow‐up of 78 months were included in the study. LRE occurred in 28 patients (11%) during follow‐up. In both patients with hepatitis B virus and hepatitis C virus (HCV), pSWE showed significant correlations with noninvasive tests and TE, and median pSWE and TE values were significantly different between patients with LREs and patients without LREs (both P < 0.0001). In patients with HCV, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve for pSWE and TE to predict LREs were comparable: 0.859 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.747‐0.969) and 0.852 (95% CI, 0.737‐0.967) (P = 0.93). In Cox regression analysis, pSWE independently predicted LREs in all patients with HCV (hazard ratio, 17.9; 95% CI, 5.21‐61‐17; P < 0.0001) and those who later received direct‐acting antiviral therapy (hazard ratio, 17.11; 95% CI, 3.88‐75.55; P = 0.0002). Conclusion: Our study shows good comparability between pSWE and TE. pSWE is a promising tool for the prediction of LREs in patients with viral hepatitis, particularly those with chronic HCV. Further studies are needed to confirm our data and assess their prognostic value in other liver diseases.
Background: Chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV) infections are causally linked with metabolic comorbidities such as insulin resistance, hepatic steatosis, and dyslipidemia. However, the clinical impact of HCV eradication achieved by direct-acting antivirals (DAAs) on glucose and lipid homeostasis is still controversial. The study aimed to prospectively investigate whether antiviral therapy of HCV with DAAs alters glucose and lipid parameters. Methods: 50 patients with chronic HCV who were treated with DAAs were screened, and 49 were enrolled in the study. Biochemical and virological data, as well as noninvasive liver fibrosis parameters, were prospectively collected at baseline, at the end of treatment (EOT) and 12 and 24 weeks post-treatment. Results: 45 of 46 patients achieved sustained virologic response (SVR). The prevalence of insulin resistance (HOMA-IR) after HCV clearance was significantly lower, compared to baseline (5.3 ± 6.1 to 2.5 ± 1.9, p < 0.001), which is primarily attributable to a significant decrease of fasting insulin levels (18.9 ± 17.3 to 11.7 ± 8.7; p = 0.002). In contrast to that, HCV eradication resulted in a significant increase in cholesterol levels (total cholesterol, low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C), and high-density lipoprotein (HDL-C) levels) and Controlled Attenuated Score (CAP), although BMI did not significantly change over time (p = 0.95). Moreover, HOMA-IR correlated significantly with noninvasive liver fibrosis measurements at baseline und during follow-up (TE: r = 0.45; p = 0.003, pSWE: r = 0.35; p = 0.02, APRI: r = 0.44; p = 0.003, FIB-4: r = 0.41; p < 0.001). Conclusion: Viral eradication following DAA therapy may have beneficial effects on glucose homeostasis, whereas lipid profile seems to be worsened.