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Long-distance seed dispersal is a crucial process allowing the dispersal of fleshy-fruited tree species among forest fragments. In particular, large frugivorous bird species have a high potential to provide inter-patch and long-distance seed transport, both important for maintaining fundamental genetic and demographic processes of plant populations in isolated forest fragments. In the face of increasing worldwide forest fragmentation, the investigation of long-distance seed dispersal and the factors influencing seed dispersal processes has recently become a central issue in ecology. In my thesis, I studied the movement behaviour and the seed dispersal patterns of the trumpeter hornbill (Bycanistes bucinator), a large obligate frugivorous bird, in KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa. I investigated (i) the potential of trumpeter hornbills to provide long-distance seed dispersal within different landscape structures, (ii) seasonal variations in ranging behaviour of this species, and (iii) the potential of this species to enhance the functional connectivity of a fragmented landscape. I used highresolution GPS-data loggers to record temporally and spatially fine-scaled movement data of trumpeter hornbills within both continuous forests and fragmented agricultural landscapes during the breeding- and the non-breeding season. First, combining these data with data on seed-retention times, I calculated seed dispersal kernels, able to distinguish between seed dispersal kernels from the continuous forests and those from the fragmented agricultural landscapes. The seed dispersal distributions showed a generally high ability of trumpeter hornbills to generate seed transport over a distance of more than 100 m and for potential dispersal distances of up to 14.5 km. Seed dispersal distributions were considerably different between the two landscape types, with a bimodal distribution showing larger dispersal distances for fragmented agricultural landscapes and a unimodal one for continuous forests. My results showed that the landscape structure strongly influenced the movement behaviour of trumpeter hornbills, and this variation in behaviour is likely reflected in the shape of the seed dispersal distributions. Second, for each individual bird I calculated daily ranges and investigated differences in daily ranging behaviour and in the process of range expansion comparatively between the breeding- and the non-breeding season. I considered differences in habitat use and possible consequences resulting for seed dispersal function during different seasons. I found that within the breeding season multi-day ranges were built from strongly overlapping and nearly stationary daily ranges which were almost completely restricted to continuous forest. In the non-breeding season, however, birds assembled multi-day ranges by shifting their range site to a generally different area, frequently utilizing the fragmented agricultural landscape. Thereby, several small daily ranges and few large daily ranges composed larger multi-day ranges within the non-breeding season. Seasonal differences in ranging behaviour and range assembly processes resulted in important consequences for seed dispersal function, with short distances and less spatial variation during the breeding season and more inter-patch dispersal across the fragmented landscape during the non-breeding season. Last, I used a projection of simulated seed dispersal events on a high-resolution habitat map to assess the extent to which trumpeter hornbills potentially facilitate functional connectivity between plant populations of isolated forest fragments. About 7% of dispersal events resulted in potential between-patch dispersal and trumpeter hornbills connected a network of about 100 forest patches with an overall extent of about 50 km. Trumpeter hornbills increased the potential of functional connectivity of the landscape more than twofold and seed dispersal pathways revealed certain forest patches as important stepping-stones for seed dispersal among forest fragments. Overall, my study highlights the overriding role that large frugivorous bird species, like trumpeter hornbills, play in seed dispersal in fragmented landscapes. In addition, it shows the importance of fine-scaled movement data combined with high-resolution habitat data and consideration of different landscape structures and seasonality for a comprehensive understanding of seed dispersal function.
Savanna regions in West Africa are valuable cultural landscapes and provide a wide range of ecosystem services for human well-being and are frequently affected by human-induced disturbances. Aside from agricultural activities (crop production and animal husbandry), the harvesting of timber and non-timber forest products is crucial for household income, alimentation and medicinal purposes. Most indigenous woody species have undergone increasing anthropogenic pressure as social and economic conditions have changed dramatically during recent decades, resulting in further habitat fragmentation and increased disturbance severity. Human land use activities influence growth conditions for plants by altering various abiotic factors, such as light, nutrient availability and water supply. They are found to alter demographic parameters (e.g., germination, seedling and sapling growth, survival and mortality rates) of woody plant individuals and alter the structure and stability of populations. The degree of anthropogenic disturbance varies between land-cover types, distance to settlements, and protection status. In the context of land-use change, there is an urgent need to better understand and evaluate the impact of land-use on savanna vegetation, particularly on the population biology of common savanna woody species. A major conclusion to be drawn from this thesis is that land use influences savanna vegetation in a complex way and does not necessarily lead to a decline or loss of tree populations and species. It is rather that in a constantly changing landscape, as a result of human-induced disturbances, populations of ubiquitous and some common species can be stable over time. The abundance of some species tends to decline consistently, whereas others benefit from human disturbance. Moreover, the study provides an insight into the structure and dynamics of common, dominant and less dominant savanna woody plants in a communal and a protected area. There is a need for further basic studies to assess the impact of land use and ecological preferences of all species, including repeated density studies that look at survivorship and transition probabilities over a number of seasons as well as longterm in-situ experiments in settlement areas in order to better understand woody plant populations in settlement areas as the few remaining semi-natural sites are likely to decrease in the future. A challenge will be the development of strategies to protect species within a landscape under cultivation.
There is increasing evidence that climate change will have a severe impact on species’ distributions by altering the climatic conditions within their present ranges. Especially species inhabiting stream ecosystems are expected to be strongly affected due to warming temperatures and changes in precipitation patterns. The aim of this thesis was to
investigate how distributions of aquatic insects, i.e., benthic stream macroinvertebrates would be impacted by warming climates. The methods comprised of an ensemble forecasting technique based on species distribution models (SDMs) and climate change scenarios of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change of the year 2080. Future model projections were generated for a wide variety of species from a number of taxonomic orders for two spatial scales: a stream network within the lower mountain ranges of Germany, and the entire territory across Europe. In addition, the effect of the modelling technique on habitat suitability projections was investigated by modifying the choice of study area (continuous area vs. stream network) and the choice of predictors (standard vs. corrected set).
Projections of future habitat suitability showed that potential climate-change impacts would be dependent on species’ thermal preferences, and with a similar pattern for both spatial scales. Future habitat suitability was projected to remain for most or all of the modelled species, and species were projected to track their climatically suitable conditions by shifting uphill along the river continuum within the lower mountain ranges, and into a north-easterly direction across Europe. Cold-adapted headwater and high-latitude species were projected to lose suitable habitats, whereas gains would be expected for warm-adapted river and low-latitude species along the river continuum and across Europe, respectively. Additionally, habitat specialist species in terms of endemics of the Iberian Peninsula were identified as potential climate-change losers, highlighting their restricted habitat availability and therefore vulnerability to warming climates.
The main findings of this thesis underline the high susceptibility of stream macroinvertebrates to ongoing climate change, and give insights into patterns of possible consequences due to changes in species’ habitat suitability. Concerning the methodology, a clear recommendation can be given for future modelling approaches of stream macroinvertebrates by building models within a stream network and with a careful choice of environmental predictors, to reduce uncertainties and thus to improve model projections.
Phenology is the study of periodic life cycle events of living organisms and how these are influenced by environmental factors. Late phenological phases such as the timing of seed release and subsequent seed dispersal considerably affect ecology and evolution in plants. Since plants are mostly sessile organisms, seed dispersal is a crucial life cycle event for the ecology and evolution of plants. In fact, long-distance seed dispersal (LDD) is a very complex process in plant biology and significantly shapes the spatial and temporal dynamics of plant populations. For example, wind dispersal in plants is influenced by a variety of factors such as plant traits, habitat type and environmental conditions (e.g. wind speed). Considering the variability of wind conditions throughout the year, the timing of seed release and dispersal is known to have considerable effects on LDD. Even though late phenologies such as ripening duration and timing of seed release and subsequent dispersal are vital in estimating ecologically highly relevant LDD, these phenologies are not appropriately addressed in ecological research. The aim of this thesis is to gain insights into the factors that shape late plant phenologies. In particular, we address the following questions: which ecologically or evolutionary parameters drive the ripening process of plant species? How does the seasonal variability of wind affect the seed release phenology of plant species? How do these factors interact for plant species in different habitat types?
In order to address these questions, we applied different methodological approaches, ranging from fieldwork and monitoring phenology to computational simulation studies and statistical modeling. To study the ripening process of species, we monitored the flowering, ripening and seed release phenology of more than 100 Central European plant species. We conducted computational simulation studies for estimating LDD by wind to study the phenology of seed release and the parameters determining LDD by wind. In conjunction with phenological data from literature, we used the obtained simulation results to investigate evidence for the existence of phenological adaptations towards LDD in 165 plant species. Further, we used the results from simulation studies of LDD by wind to disentangle the effects of species, habitat types and meteorological conditions and their interactions on the spatial spread of plant species.
The results of the relationship between plant traits, phylogeny, the ripening process and climatic factors provide insights into the basic understanding of the ripening process of plants. We identified ecological factors that shape species’ ripening phenology and seed release timing. In particular, we suggest that the species’ seed weight, life form and phylogeny shapes ripening and seed release phenology. With the statistical models on species’ temperature demands for reproduction, we introduce data that that are well suitable for parametrization and further development of plant dispersal models. The results from the simulation study based on a seasonal perspective showed that heavier seeded tree species with medium wind dispersal potential (including genera Abies, Acer, Fraxinus and Larix) have a clear synchronisation of seed abscission with periods favouring LDD. These species, which are both ecologically and economically important, showed significant synchronisation of the highest rate of seed release with high wind-speed that promoted LDD by wind in wintertime. For the tree species mentioned, we suggest strong seasonal synchronisation as evidence for phenological adaptations in order to match favourable conditions during seed release. With a closer look at the wind conditions that promote LDD by wind, our results showed considerable differences in how specific wind conditions affect LDD in different species and habitat types. We suggest that LDD by wind in species from open habitats with high wind dispersal potential is likely to be driven by thermal updrafts that are mainly driven by the sun providing energy to the ground. By contrast, LDD of heavier-seeded species from open and forested habitats is more likely to be driven by storms that produce shear-driven turbulence. The results from this thesis contribute to an increased understanding of the complete dispersal process of plants and to making more realistic projections of (future) plant distribution.
The results obtained on factors driving ripening and release phenology provide valuable insights into their ecological and phylogenetic factor constraints. The implementation of more realistic assumptions in assessing species’ dispersal potential throughout the year could help considerably in improving landscape management (e.g. timing of mowing) and in the conservation of plant populations. The evidence found for phenological adaptations towards LDD in plants is an important step in understanding the evolutionary basis of LDD in these species.