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Motivation: The topic of this paper is the estimation of alignments and mutation rates based on stochastic sequence-evolution models that allow insertions and deletions of subsequences ("fragments") and not just single bases. The model we propose is a variant of a model introduced by Thorne, Kishino, and Felsenstein (1992). The computational tractability of the model depends on certain restrictions in the insertion/deletion process; possible effects we discuss.
Results: The process of fragment insertion and deletion in the sequence-evolution model induces a hidden Markov structure at the level of alignments and thus makes possible efficient statistical alignment algorithms. As an example we apply a sampling procedure to assess the variability in alignment and mutation parameter estimates for HVR1 sequences of human and orangutan, improving results of previous work. Simulation studies give evidence that estimation methods based on the proposed model also give satisfactory results when applied to data for which the restrictions in the insertion/deletion process do not hold.
Availability: The source code of the software for sampling alignments and mutation rates for a pair of DNA sequences according to the fragment insertion and deletion model is freely available from www.math.uni-frankfurt.de/~stoch/software/mcmcsalut under the terms of the GNU public license (GPL, 2000).
Foundations of geometry
(2020)
In an earlier paper we proposed a recursive model for epidemics; in the present paper we generalize this model to include the asymptomatic or unrecorded symptomatic people, which we call dark people (dark sector). We call this the SEPARd-model. A delay differential equation version of the model is added; it allows a better comparison to other models. We carry this out by a comparison with the classical SIR model and indicate why we believe that the SEPARd model may work better for Covid-19 than other approaches.
In the second part of the paper we explain how to deal with the data provided by the JHU, in particular we explain how to derive central model parameters from the data. Other parameters, like the size of the dark sector, are less accessible and have to be estimated more roughly, at best by results of representative serological studies which are accessible, however, only for a few countries. We start our country studies with Switzerland where such data are available. Then we apply the model to a collection of other countries, three European ones (Germany, France, Sweden), the three most stricken countries from three other continents (USA, Brazil, India). Finally we show that even the aggregated world data can be well represented by our approach.
At the end of the paper we discuss the use of the model. Perhaps the most striking application is that it allows a quantitative analysis of the influence of the time until people are sent to quarantine or hospital. This suggests that imposing means to shorten this time is a powerful tool to flatten the curves.
Between his arrival in Frankfurt in 1922 and and his proof of his famous finiteness theorem for integral points in 1929, Siegel had no publications. He did, however, write a letter to Mordell in 1926 in which he explained a proof of the finiteness of integral points on hyperelliptic curves. Recognizing the importance of this argument (and Siegel's views on publication), Mordell sent the relevant extract to be published under the pseudonym "X".
The purpose of this note is to explain how to optimize Siegel's 1926 technique to obtain the following bound. Let K be a number field, S a finite set of places of K, and f∈oK,S[t] monic of degree d≥5 with discriminant Δf∈o×K,S. Then: #|{(x,y):x,y∈oK,S,y2=f(x)}|≤2rankJac(Cf)(K)⋅O(1)d3⋅([K:Q]+#|S|).
This improves bounds of Evertse-Silverman and Bombieri-Gubler from 1986 and 2006, respectively.
The main point underlying our improvement is that, informally speaking, we insist on "executing the descents in the presence of only one root (and not three) until the last possible moment".
For genus g=2i≥4 and the length g−1 partition μ=(4,2,…,2,−2,…,−2) of 0, we compute the first coefficients of the class of D¯¯¯¯(μ) in PicQ(R¯¯¯¯g), where D(μ) is the divisor consisting of pairs [C,η]∈Rg with η≅OC(2x1+x2+⋯+xi−1−xi−⋯−x2i−1) for some points x1,…,x2i−1 on C. We further provide several enumerative results that will be used for this computation.
For genus g=2i≥4 and the length g−1 partition μ=(4,2,…,2,−2,…,−2) of 0, we compute the first coefficients of the class of D¯¯¯¯(μ) in PicQ(R¯¯¯¯g), where D(μ) is the divisor consisting of pairs [C,η]∈Rg with η≅OC(2x1+x2+⋯+xi−1−xi−⋯−x2i−1) for some points x1,…,x2i−1 on C. We further provide several enumerative results that will be used for this computation.
The purpose of the paper is to initiate the development of the theory of Newton Okounkov bodies of curve classes. Our denition is based on making a fundamental property of NewtonOkounkov bodies hold also in the curve case: the volume of the NewtonOkounkov body of a curve is a volume-type function of the original curve. This construction allows us to conjecture a new relation between NewtonOkounkov bodies, we prove it in certain cases.
Using the notion of a root datum of a reductive group G we propose a tropical analogue of a principal G-bundle on a metric graph. We focus on the case G=GLn, i.e. the case of vector bundles. Here we give a characterization of vector bundles in terms of multidivisors and use this description to prove analogues of the Weil--Riemann--Roch theorem and the Narasimhan--Seshadri correspondence. We proceed by studying the process of tropicalization. In particular, we show that the non-Archimedean skeleton of the moduli space of semistable vector bundles on a Tate curve is isomorphic to a certain component of the moduli space of semistable tropical vector bundles on its dual metric graph.
We deal with the reconstruction of inclusions in elastic bodies based on monotonicity methods and construct conditions under which a resolution for a given partition can be achieved. These conditions take into account the background error as well as the measurement noise. As a main result, this shows us that the resolution guarantees depend heavily on the Lamé parameter μ and only marginally on λ.