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Purpose: The aim of this work was to retrospectively identify prognostic factors for patients with neuroendocrine liver metastases (NELM) undergoing conventional transarterial chemoembolization (c-TACE), microwave ablation (MWA) or laser interstitial thermal therapy (LITT) and to determine the most effective therapy in terms of volume reduction and survival.
Method: Between 1996 and 2020, 130 patients (82 men, 48 women) were treated with c-TACE, 41 patients were additionally treated with thermoablative procedures.
Survival was retrospectively analyzed by using Kaplan-Meier-method. Prognostic factors were derived by using cox-regression. To find predictive factors for volume reduction due to c-TACE, a mixed-effects model was used.
Results: With c-TACE, an overall median volume reduction of 23.5 % was achieved. An average decrease of tumor volume was shown until the 6th c-TACE treatment, then the effect stopped. So, the median volume reduction off all lesions takes on a negative value from the 7th c-TACE intervention onwards. The mixed-effects model demonstrated that c-TACE interventions were most effective at the beginning of c-TACE therapy, and that treatment breaks longer than 90 days negatively influenced the outcome. For all patients evaluable for survival, Kaplan-Meier analysis showed a 1-year survival rate of 75 % and a 5-year survival rate of 36 %. Significant prognostic factors for survival were number of liver lesions (p = 0.0001) and therapeutical intention (p < 0.0001). Considering the clinical indication, 90.9 % of curative patients and 43.6 % of palliative patients responded to c-TACE therapy and thus could be submitted to a thermoablative procedure. Minor and one major complication occurred in 20.3 % of LITT and only in 8.6 % of MWA interventions. Complete ablation was observed in 95.7 % (LITT) and 93.1 % (MWA) of interventions
Conclusions: C-TACE is an effective treatment for volume reduction of NELM, however efficacy decreases after the 6th intervention and treatment breaks longer than 90 days should be avoided. With thermal ablation, a high rate of complete ablation was achieved and survival improved. Significant factors for survival were found and may be used as prognostic factors in the future.