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Stroke is a major public health issue worldwide. The prevalence of stroke in 2010 was 33 million, with 16.9 million people having a first stroke.1 Stroke was the second‐leading cause of death behind heart disease globally, accounting for over 10% of total deaths worldwide.
Stroke is a heterogeneous condition that can be due to rupture of a blood vessel (hemorrhagic) or to blockage of a vessel (ischemic). About 85% of strokes are ischemic in origin and these are often classified by mechanism. This should be distinguished from risk factors such as hypertension, diabetes, smoking, etc. Risk factors increase the risk of stroke but do not necessarily explain the mechanism of a particular stroke. About 25% of ischemic strokes have a radiographic appearance similar to that seen in patients with cardioembolic sources (such as atrial fibrillation [AF], prosthetic valves, valvular prolapse, or mitral valve regurgitation), but no embolic source is found. These "cryptogenic strokes" (CS; also called embolic strokes of undetermined source) pose a particular clinical challenge in that the optimal antithrombotic therapy to reduce recurrence is uncertain. Since there are currently no data to support long‐term oral anticoagulation (OAC) in CS, but also no specific trials that have addressed this question, guidelines recommend antiplatelet therapy. Identification of AF in these patients changes the most likely mechanism to cardioembolism, and thus changes the recommended antithrombotic therapy to OAC, which is extremely effective in preventing stroke in patients with AF.
This report is based on discussions held at The Diagnostics and Monitoring Stroke Focus Group, a meeting held on January 15 to 17, 2015. The meeting focused on CS as a healthcare issue, and the utility of extended cardiac monitoring for AF in patients with strokes of unknown origin. The objectives of the meeting were to review existing information on the subject, define areas where knowledge was lacking or limited, and discuss study designs by which information gaps might be filled.
Aims: History of bleeding strongly influences decisions for anticoagulation in atrial fibrillation (AF). We analyzed outcomes in relation to history of bleeding and randomization in ARISTOTLE trial patients.
Methods and results: The on-treatment safety population included 18,140 patients receiving at least 1 dose of study drug (apixaban) or warfarin. Centrally adjudicated outcomes in relation to bleeding history were analyzed using a Cox proportional hazards model adjusted for randomized treatment and established risk factors. Efficacy end points were analyzed on the randomized (intention to treat) population. A bleeding history was reported at baseline in 3,033 patients (16.7%), who more often were male, with a history of prior stroke/transient ischemic attack/systemic embolism and diabetes; higher CHADS2 scores, age, and body weight; and lower creatinine clearance and mean systolic blood pressure. Major (but not intracranial) bleeding occurred more frequently in patients with versus without a history of bleeding (adjusted hazard ratio 1.35, 95% CI 1.14-1.61). There were no significant interactions between bleeding history and treatment for stroke/systemic embolism, hemorrhagic stroke, death, or major bleeding, with fewer outcomes with apixaban versus warfarin for all of these outcomes independent of the presence/absence of a bleeding history.
Conclusion: In patients with AF in a randomized clinical trial of oral anticoagulants, a history of bleeding is associated with several risk factors for stroke and portends a higher risk of major—but not intracranial—bleeding, during anticoagulation. However, the beneficial effects of apixaban over warfarin for stroke, hemorrhagic stroke, death, or major bleeding remains consistent regardless of history of bleeding.