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River corridor plants in Central Europe account for an above-average proportion of endangered species. The main objective of this study was to examine the effects of habitat fragmentation and abiotic conditions on the survival and changes in population size of four endangered, long-lived river corridor plant species (Euphorbia palustris, Pseudolysimachion longifolium, Sanguisorba officinalis, and Senecio paludosus) over the course of at least ten years. We sampled altogether 138 populations in the Weser and Elbe river systems in Northwestern Germany.
Overall, 33% of the populations went extinct during the study period. Extinction rates and changes in population size were related to initial population sizes, but not to population isolation and only marginally so to habitat quality. Large populations (> 100 individuals) had a much higher probability to survive or increase in size (to > 1000 individuals) than smaller populations. There was no general decline in population size in surviving populations, and extinction rates and changes in population size were independent of time. We therefore conclude that the high extinction rates in small populations are best explained by sudden short-term environmental events, such as changes in land use, rather than by long-term negative effects of, for example, genetic deterioration. A projection matrix for the next 117 years, however, predicted that 85% of the surveyed populations will have gone extinct. Since any establishment of new populations in the study area is unlikely owing to the lack of potential habitats and dispersal limitation, river corridor plants will probably continue to decline. Apart from preventing further habitat deterioration it will be crucial to maintain or establish an appropriate management, and to avoid sudden and adverse changes in land use.
Wet grasslands once covered a large area in the lowlands of northern Germany, but have declined since several decades as a result of land use intensification. Permanent plot data from such grasslands in the region that would allow to assess the extent of changes in species composition and richness are still rare. Here, we present a re-visitation study of 52 quasi-permanent plots from the Stedinger Land area in the basin of the river Weser near Bremen, comparing quadrat data between 1948 and 2015. In 1948, the grasslands were characterized by species typical of wet, moderately fertile grasslands belonging to the Bromo-Senecionetum aquatici (Bromion racemosi), including 15 species currently classified as threatened. Until 2015, the vegetation had changed strongly: almost all indicators of wet grasslands had either declined or completely vanished, whereas more nutrient-demanding species of less wet soils had increased, especially grasses. The cumulative number of species had declined by 50%, while mean plot species richness had decreased by 64.6%, mainly resulting from the pronounced loss of many herbs. A comparison of mean Ellenberg indicator values suggested that the plots had become drier, but also more base- and nutrient-rich, most likely triggered by the intensification of land use with drainage and fertilization as well as more frequent and earlier cutting. Our study reflects the dramatic loss of plant species diversity in wet grasslands over the past 60−70 years in areas not preserved and properly managed, and it documents the need for protecting remnants of these grasslands and for restoring wet grassland areas by re-wetting, nutrient removal and the transition to a less intensive land use.