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The turnover time of terrestrial ecosystem carbon is an emergent ecosystem property that quantifies the strength of land surface on the global carbon cycle–climate feedback. However, observation- and modeling-based estimates of carbon turnover and its response to climate are still characterized by large uncertainties. In this study, by assessing the apparent whole ecosystem carbon turnover times (τ) as the ratio between carbon stocks and fluxes, we provide an update of this ecosystem level diagnostic and its associated uncertainties in high spatial resolution (0.083∘) using multiple, state-of-the-art, observation-based datasets of soil organic carbon stock (Csoil), vegetation biomass (Cveg) and gross primary productivity (GPP). Using this new ensemble of data, we estimated the global median τ to be 43+7−7 yr (median+difference to percentile 75−difference to percentile 25) when the full soil is considered, in contrast to limiting it to 1 m depth. Only considering the top 1 m of soil carbon in circumpolar regions (assuming maximum active layer depth is up to 1 m) yields a global median τ of 37+3−6 yr, which is longer than the previous estimates of 23+7−4 yr (Carvalhais et al., 2014). We show that the difference is mostly attributed to changes in global Csoil estimates. Csoil accounts for approximately 84 % of the total uncertainty in global τ estimates; GPP also contributes significantly (15 %), whereas Cveg contributes only marginally (less than 1 %) to the total uncertainty. The high uncertainty in Csoil is reflected in the large range across state-of-the-art data products, in which full-depth Csoil spans between 3362 and 4792 PgC. The uncertainty is especially high in circumpolar regions with an uncertainty of 50 % and a low spatial correlation between the different datasets (0.2<r<0.5) when compared to other regions (0.6<r<0.8). These uncertainties cast a shadow on current global estimates of τ in circumpolar regions, for which further geographical representativeness and clarification on variations in Csoil with soil depth are needed. Different GPP estimates contribute significantly to the uncertainties of τ mainly in semiarid and arid regions, whereas Cveg causes the uncertainties of τ in the subtropics and tropics. In spite of the large uncertainties, our findings reveal that the latitudinal gradients of τ are consistent across different datasets and soil depths. The current results show a strong ensemble agreement on the negative correlation between τ and temperature along latitude that is stronger in temperate zones (30–60∘ N) than in the subtropical and tropical zones (30∘ S–30∘ N). Additionally, while the strength of the τ–precipitation correlation was dependent on the Csoil data source, the latitudinal gradients also agree among different ensemble members. Overall, and despite the large variation in τ, we identified robust features in the spatial patterns of τ that emerge beyond the differences stemming from the data-driven estimates of Csoil, Cveg and GPP. These robust patterns, and associated uncertainties, can be used to infer τ–climate relationships and for constraining contemporaneous behavior of Earth system models (ESMs), which could contribute to uncertainty reductions in future projections of the carbon cycle–climate feedback. The dataset of τ is openly available at https://doi.org/10.17871/bgitau.201911 (Fan et al., 2019).
The turnover time of terrestrial carbon (τ) controls the global carbon cycle – climate feedback and, yet, is poorly simulated by the current Earth System Models (ESMs). In this study, by assessing apparent carbon turnover time as the ratio between carbon stocks and fluxes, we provide a new, updated ensemble of diagnostic terrestrial carbon turnover times and associated uncertainties on a global scale using multiple, state-of-the-art, observation-based datasets of soil organic carbon stock (Csoil), vegetation biomass (Cveg) and gross primary productivity (GPP). Using this new ensemble, we estimated the global average τ to be 42$% &' years when the full soil depth is considered, longer than the previous estimates of 23$) &* years. Only considering the top 1 m (assuming maximum active layer depth is up to 1 meter) of soil carbon in circumpolar regions yields a global τ of 35$) &' years. Csoil in circumpolar regions account for two thirds of the total uncertainty in global τ estimates, whereas Csoil in non-circumpolar contributes merely 9.38%. GPP (2.25%) and Cveg (0.05%) contribute even less to the total uncertainty. Therefore, the high uncertainty in Csoil is the main factor behind the uncertainty in global τ, as reflected in the larger range of full-depth Csoil (3152-4372 PgC). The uncertainty is especially high in circumpolar regions with a behaviour of ESMs which could contribute to uncertainty reductions in future projections of the carbon cycle - climate feedback. The dataset of the terrestrial turnover time ensemble (DOI: 10.17871/bgitau.201911) is openly available from the data portal: https://doi.org/10.17871/bgitau.201911 (Fan et al., 2019) uncertainty of 50% and the spatial correlations among different datasets are also low compared to other regions. Overall, we argue that current global datasets do not support robust estimates of τ globally, for which we need clarification on variations of Csoil with soil depth and stronger estimates of Csoil in circumpolar regions. Despite the large variation in both magnitude and spatial patterns of τ, we identified robust features in the spatial patterns of τ that emerge regardless of soil depth and differences in data sources of Csoil, Cveg and GPP. Our findings show that the latitudinal gradients of τ are consistent across different datasets and soil depth. Furthermore, there is a strong consensus on the negative correlation between τ and temperature along latitude that is stronger in temperate zones (30ºN-60ºN) than in subtropical and tropical zones (30ºS30ºN). The identified robust patterns can be used to infer the response of τ to climate and for constraining contemporaneous behaviour of ESMs which could contribute to uncertainty reductions in future projections of the carbon cycle - climate feedback. The dataset of the terrestrial turnover time ensemble (DOI:10.17871/bgitau.201911) is openly available from the data portal: https://doi.org/10.17871/bgitau.201911 (Fan et al., 2019).
Background: Since there is no standardized and effective treatment for advanced uveal melanoma (UM), the prognosis is dismal once metastases develop. Due to the availability of immune checkpoint blockade (ICB) in the real-world setting, the prognosis of metastatic UM has improved. However, it is unclear how the presence of hepatic and extrahepatic metastasis impacts the response and survival after ICB. Methods: A total of 178 patients with metastatic UM treated with ICB were included in this analysis. Patients were recruited from German skin cancer centers and the German national skin cancer registry (ADOReg). To investigate the impact of hepatic metastasis, two cohorts were compared: patients with liver metastasis only (cohort A, n = 55) versus those with both liver and extra-hepatic metastasis (cohort B, n = 123). Data were analyzed in both cohorts for response to treatment, progression-free survival (PFS), and overall survival (OS). The survival and progression probabilities were calculated with the Kaplan–Meier method. Log-rank tests, χ2 tests, and t-tests were performed to detect significant differences between both cohorts. Results: The median OS of the overall population was 16 months (95% CI 13.4–23.7) and the median PFS, 2.8 months (95% CI 2.5–3.0). The median OS was longer in cohort B than in cohort A (18.2 vs. 6.1 months; p = 0.071). The best objective response rate to dual ICB was 13.8% and to anti-PD-1 monotherapy 8.9% in the entire population. Patients with liver metastases only had a lower response to dual ICB, yet without significance (cohort A 8.7% vs. cohort B 16.7%; p = 0.45). Adverse events (AE) occurred in 41.6%. Severe AE were observed in 26.3% and evenly distributed between both cohorts. Conclusion: The survival of this large cohort of patients with advanced UM was more favorable than reported in previous benchmark studies. Patients with both hepatic and extrahepatic metastasis showed more favorable survival and higher response to dual ICB than those with hepatic metastasis only.
Nodular lymphocyte predominant Hodgkin lymphoma (NLPHL) is a subtype of Hodgkin lymphoma with a preserved B‐cell phenotype and follicular T helper (TFH) cells rosetting around the tumor cells, the lymphocyte‐predominant (LP) cells. As we recently described reactivity of the B‐cell receptors of LP cells of some NLPHL cases with Moraxella spp. proteins, we hypothesized that LP cells could present peptides to rosetting T cells in a major histocompatibility complex class II (MHCII)‐bound manner. Rosetting PD1+ T cells were present in the majority of NLPHL cases, both in typical (17/20) and variant patterns (16/19). In most cases, T‐cell rosettes were CD69+ (typical NLPHL, 17/20; NLPHL variant, 14/19). Furthermore, both MHCII alpha and beta chains were expressed in the LP cells in 23/39 NLPHL. Proximity ligation assay and confocal laser imaging demonstrated interaction of the MHCII beta chain expressed by the LP cells and the T‐cell receptor alpha chain expressed by rosetting T cells. We thus conclude that rosetting T cells in NLPHL express markers that are encountered after antigenic exposure, that MHCII is expressed by the LP cells, and that LP cells interact with rosetting T cells in an immunological synapse in a subset of cases. As they likely receive growth stimulatory signals in this way, blockade of this interaction, for example, by PD1‐directed checkpoint inhibitors, could be a treatment option in a subset of cases in the future.