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Global water models (GWMs) simulate the terrestrial water cycle, on the global scale, and are used to assess the impacts of climate change on freshwater systems. GWMs are developed within different modeling frameworks and consider different underlying hydrological processes, leading to varied model structures. Furthermore, the equations used to describe various processes take different forms and are generally accessible only from within the individual model codes. These factors have hindered a holistic and detailed understanding of how different models operate, yet such an understanding is crucial for explaining the results of model evaluation studies, understanding inter-model differences in their simulations, and identifying areas for future model development. This study provides a comprehensive overview of how state-of-the-art GWMs are designed. We analyze water storage compartments, water flows, and human water use sectors included in 16 GWMs that provide simulations for the Inter-Sectoral Impact Model Intercomparison Project phase 2b (ISIMIP2b). We develop a standard writing style for the model equations to further enhance model improvement, intercomparison, and communication. In this study, WaterGAP2 used the highest number of water storage compartments, 11, and CWatM used 10 compartments. Seven models used six compartments, while three models (JULES-W1, Mac-PDM.20, and VIC) used the lowest number, three compartments. WaterGAP2 simulates five human water use sectors, while four models (CLM4.5, CLM5.0, LPJmL, and MPIHM) simulate only water used by humans for the irrigation sector. We conclude that even though hydrologic processes are often based on similar equations, in the end, these equations have been adjusted or have used different values for specific parameters or specific variables. Our results highlight that the predictive uncertainty of GWMs can be reduced through improvements of the existing hydrologic processes, implementation of new processes in the models, and high-quality input data.
Global water models (GWMs) simulate the terrestrial water cycle on the global scale and are used to assess the impacts of climate change on freshwater systems. GWMs are developed within different modelling frameworks and consider different underlying hydrological processes, leading to varied model structures. Furthermore, the equations used to describe various processes take different forms and are generally accessible only from within the individual model codes. These factors have hindered a holistic and detailed understanding of how different models operate, yet such an understanding is crucial for explaining the results of model evaluation studies, understanding inter-model differences in their simulations, and identifying areas for future model development. This study provides a comprehensive overview of how 16 state-of-the-art GWMs are designed. We analyse water storage compartments, water flows, and human water use sectors included in models that provide simulations for the Inter-Sectoral Impact Model Intercomparison Project phase 2b (ISIMIP2b). We develop a standard writing style for the model equations to enhance model intercomparison, improvement, and communication. In this study, WaterGAP2 used the highest number of water storage compartments, 11, and CWatM used 10 compartments. Six models used six compartments, while four models (DBH, JULES-W1, Mac-PDM.20, and VIC) used the lowest number, three compartments. WaterGAP2 simulates five human water use sectors, while four models (CLM4.5, CLM5.0, LPJmL, and MPI-HM) simulate only water for the irrigation sector. We conclude that, even though hydrological processes are often based on similar equations for various processes, in the end these equations have been adjusted or models have used different values for specific parameters or specific variables. The similarities and differences found among the models analysed in this study are expected to enable us to reduce the uncertainty in multi-model ensembles, improve existing hydrological processes, and integrate new processes.
Oceanic islands only comprise a small amount of the Earth’s land area but harbour a disproportionate amount of global biodiversity. This vast diversity is not only reflected in the taxonomic uniqueness of island biota but also in the remarkable evolution of functional traits. Functional traits, i.e. measurable characteristics that strongly influence the fitness of species, determine how a species responds to its environment and can help to gain more insights into the biogeographical, ecological and evolutionary processes that have shaped island biodiversity. However, research in island biogeography has primarily focused on species richness, and knowledge of functional trait patterns on oceanic islands is scarce. Hence, in this dissertation, I have explored how trait-based approaches can increase our understanding of how biodiversity on oceanic islands assembles and how it is driven by the environment. The Canary Islands (Spain) are a particularly suitable model system to investigate patterns and drivers of biodiversity. The archipelago is characterised by a high variation in environmental heterogeneity and inhabits a unique and well-described native flora. Therefore, I have investigated five principal research questions using the flora (Spermatophytes) of the Canary Islands as a study object. First, I have analysed how climate and biogeography shape the assembly of the Canary Islands flora using a novel trait-based approach. Second, the question of whether rare climates link to functional trait distinctiveness in the native Canary Islands flora was addressed. Third, I have examined how intraspecific trait variation is represented in the native flora of oceanic islands focusing on the succulent scrub of La Palma (Canary Islands). Fourth, this dissertation investigated whether scientific floras can be reliable sources for trait data of plants native to oceanic islands. Finally, I have explored how climate change may impact the native Canary Islands flora by analysing possible climate change-induced shifts in plant species distribution and plant traits.
The results of my dissertation expand the understanding of the importance of biogeography and the environment in determining the functional composition of island floras. I have assessed that traits of endemic plant species did not expand the functional trait space of the Canary Islands but were packed with the ones of non-endemic species. This result hints at a trait convergence in endemic species, possibly driven by non-adaptive speciation processes. Moreover, I have evidenced that humidity is a critical driver of functional diversity in native plant assemblages and particularly leads to a high trait convergence in arid environments via environmental filtering. In contrast, alien species have expanded the Canary Islands flora’s functional trait space. I further have shown that in contrast to native species assemblages, alien species assemblages are characterised by an increasing functional diversity with increasing aridity. This contrasting pattern of functional diversity could pose a potential risk to the native flora of the Canary Islands as a low functional diversity is expected to reduce the resilience of species assemblages to the establishment of more functionally diverse alien plant species. However, in this dissertation, I also have revealed that endemic plant species on the Canary Islands show a high intraspecific variation in arid environments, possibly as an adaptation to environmental stress. Intraspecific variation could help endemic plant species have a competitive advantage over alien species and be more resilient to environmental changes. Furthermore, in this dissertation, I have shown that scientific floras and taxonomic monographs could be used to gain information on quantitative functional traits of plants native to oceanic islands. This finding is particularly relevant for advances in trait-based research, as coverage of trait data for oceanic island floras is extremely poor in global trait databases. Hence, for some of the studies included in this dissertation, trait data were retrieved from scientific floras and taxonomic monographs and used to answer novel scientific research questions. Thus, I have used trait data from the literature to analyse the effect of climate change on the range size of plants native to the Canary Islands. Identifying plant species of particular conservation concern is critical on oceanic islands as many island species have limited distributions and small population sizes, and their niche tracking is impeded by insularity. I have revealed that single-island endemic plants gain less and lose more climatically suitable areas than archipelago endemic and non-endemic native plants due to a climate change-induced decrease in precipitation until 2100...
In vielen Städten werden gemeinschaftlicher Wohnprojekte in unterschiedlicher Weise gefördert, weil sie dauerhaft bezahlbares und sicheres Wohnen ermöglichen sowie positiv ins Quartier wirken (sollen). Mitunter kommt dabei die Frage auf, wie ein solcher Mehrwert für das Gemeinwohl bestimmt und wie die Projekte seitens der fördernden Kommune begleitet werden können. Mit diesen Fragen hat sich das Forschungsprojekt 'Gemeinschaftliches Wohnen als kommunales städtebauliches Instrument. Monitoring, Vernetzung und Auswertung gemeinschaftlichen Wohnens in Frankfurt am Main (GeWokosl)' in explorativer Weise befasst. Ziel war es einen Monitoring-Ansatz vorzubereiten, mit dessen Hilfe die Quartiersangebote städtisch geförderter gemeinschaftlicher Wohnprojekten erfasst und unterstützt werden sollen. Dazu wurden Interviews mit zuständigen Verwaltungen in Hamburg, Tübingen, Leipzig und Stuttgart sowie Gruppendiskussion mit sechs gemeinschaftlichen Wohnprojekten in Frankfurt am Main geführt. Ein Monitoring der Wirkungen in das Quartier wird von allen Beteiligten als eine Herausforderung gesehen, da es eine Erfassung der qualitativen projektspezifischen Dynamiken erfordert. Insgesamt zeigen die Interviewergebnisse mit den Stadtverwaltungen ein Spannungsfeld zwischen dem Wunsch, einen die Wohnprojekte unterstützenden Ansatz zu entwickeln und dem Anspruch, die gemeinwohlorientierten Beiträge der Projekte zu kontrollieren und zu steuern. Die Projekte fordern in diesem Kontext eine zuverlässige finanzielle Unterstützung für ihr soziales Engagement und den Ausbau der städtischen sozialen Infrastruktur. Das Forschungsvorhaben wurde als Kooperation zwischen der Stabsstelle Wohnungsmarkt, Mietrecht und innovative Wohnprojekte des Amtes für Wohnungswesen Frankfurt am Main sowie der Professur von Bernd Belina am Institut für Humangeographie der Goethe-Universität im Zeitraum von Mai 2021 bis Februar 2022 durchgeführt.
Financial poverty, mobility and social participation are interrelated. This nexus makes old-age poverty a highly relevant issue in terms of transport-related social exclusion in an ageing society. To understand how financial poverty affects older people’s travel practices and how they cope with their limited financial resources, we conducted qualitative interviews with low-income older people (aged 60 and above) in Ronnenberg (Hanover region, Germany). Although all the respondents have comparably limited financial resources, using a practice theory perspective along the elements of materials, competences and meanings (Shove et al., 2012), we identified three different types of low-income older people by their travel practices: (i) active older people with multifaceted social interactions, (ii) neighbourhood-oriented older people with local interactions and (iii) home-centred older people with few social interactions. From our analysis, we conclude that financial poverty shapes each element of low-income older people’s travel practices and thereby increases the risk of transport-related social exclusion: (i) certain materials have to be financed, which is challenging or even impossible due to financial poverty; (ii) meanings of travel practices are strongly linked to other practices, thus, if (also for financial reasons) no or a limited range of destinations are mentioned, travel practices are restricted in their frequency and distance; and (iii) necessary competences to be mobile and engage in social activities despite low financial means seem to be differentially available or - more cautiously formulated – less often utilised by low-income older people, which may lead to them abandoning travel practices and related social activities.
Mobilität ist eine Grundvoraussetzung, um am gesellschaftlichen Leben teilhaben zu können. Ist der Möglichkeitsraum potenzieller Ortsveränderungen eingeschränkt – beispielsweise durch räumliche, finanzielle oder körperliche Barrieren oder Ängste –, wird von Mobilitätsarmut gesprochen. Wie Mobilitätsarmut auf der Verwaltungsebene verhindert werden kann, zeigt dieser Policy Brief des Projektes Social2Mobility. Diese Handlungsempfehlungen basieren auf Erkenntnissen des Projektes Social2Mobility und adressieren insbesondere Verwaltungsmitarbeitende der Fachplanungen Verkehrs-, Raum- und Sozialplanung von der Kommunal- bis zur Landes- und Bundesebene. Ziel des Projektes Social2Mobility war es, die soziale Teilhabe armutsgefährdeter Personen durch eine Steigerung ihrer Mobilitätsoptionen zu stärken. Der Policy Brief erläutert die Problematik von Mobilitätsarmut, thematisiert deren Relevanz und zeigt verschiedene Facetten von Mobilitätsarmut auf. Er beinhaltet fünf verschiedene Handlungsfelder zur Verhinderung von Mobilitätsarmut. Der Policy Brief soll zu einer dezernats- und abteilungsübergreifenden Zusammenarbeit der Fachplanungen Sozial-, Raum- und Verkehrsplanung zur Lösung von Mobilitätsarmut anregen. Synergieeffekte und gegenseitige Potentiale bei einer Zusammenarbeit werden dabei herausgestellt. Hierzu gehören beispielsweise die Anwendung von Verkehrsnachfragemodellen in der Sozialplanung oder die Berücksichtigung vielfältiger unterschiedlicher Lebenslagen und der daraus hervorgehenden Mobilitätsbedarfe in der Verkehrsplanung.
The calcareous substrate of spring-fed fens makes them unique islands of biodiversity, hosting endangered, vulnerable, and protected vascular plants. Hence, spring-fed fens ecosystems require special conservation attention because many of them are destroyed (e.g. drained, forested) and it is extremely difficult or even impossible to restore the unique hydrogeological and geochemical conditions enabling their function. The long-term perspective of paleoecological studies allows indication of former wetland ecosystem states and provides understanding of their development over millennia. To examine the late Holocene dynamics of a calcareous spring-fed fen (Raganu Mire) ecosystem on the Baltic Sea coast (Latvia) in relation to environmental changes, substrate and human activity, we have undertaken high-resolution analyses of plant macrofossils, pollen, mollusc, stable carbon (δ13C) and oxygen (δ18O) isotopes combined with radiocarbon dating (AMS) in three coring locations. Our study revealed that peat deposits began accumulating ca. 7000 cal. yr BP and calcareous deposits (tufa) from 1450 cal. yr BP, coinciding with regional hydrological changes. Several fire events occurred between 4000 and 1600 cal. yr BP, which appeared to have had a limited effect on local vegetation. The most significant changes in the forest and peatland ecosystems were at 3200 cal. yr BP associated with a dry climate stage and high fire activity, and then between 1400 and 500 cal. yr BP potentially associated with temperature changes during the Medieval Climate Anomaly (MCA) and Little Ice Age. Hydrological disturbances in the peatland catchment from 1400 cal. yr BP were most likely strengthened by human activity (deforestation) in this region. The relationship between the development of this peatland and changes in its catchment area, such as land cover changes or fluctuations in groundwater levels, suggest that protection and restoration of spring-fed fen ecosystems should also include the surrounding catchment. The presence of calcareous sediments, as well as appropriate temperature and local hydrological conditions appear to be the most crucial factors controlling Cladium marisus populations in our site - currently at the eastern limit of its distribution in Europe.
Non-forest ecosystems, dominated by shrubs, grasses and herbaceous plants, provide ecosystem services including carbon sequestration and forage for grazing, and are highly sensitive to climatic changes. Yet these ecosystems are poorly represented in remotely sensed biomass products and are undersampled by in situ monitoring. Current global change threats emphasize the need for new tools to capture biomass change in non-forest ecosystems at appropriate scales. Here we developed and deployed a new protocol for photogrammetric height using unoccupied aerial vehicle (UAV) images to test its capability for delivering standardized measurements of biomass across a globally distributed field experiment. We assessed whether canopy height inferred from UAV photogrammetry allows the prediction of aboveground biomass (AGB) across low-stature plant species by conducting 38 photogrammetric surveys over 741 harvested plots to sample 50 species. We found mean canopy height was strongly predictive of AGB across species, with a median adjusted R2 of 0.87 (ranging from 0.46 to 0.99) and median prediction error from leave-one-out cross-validation of 3.9%. Biomass per-unit-of-height was similar within but different among, plant functional types. We found that photogrammetric reconstructions of canopy height were sensitive to wind speed but not sun elevation during surveys. We demonstrated that our photogrammetric approach produced generalizable measurements across growth forms and environmental settings and yielded accuracies as good as those obtained from in situ approaches. We demonstrate that using a standardized approach for UAV photogrammetry can deliver accurate AGB estimates across a wide range of dynamic and heterogeneous ecosystems. Many academic and land management institutions have the technical capacity to deploy these approaches over extents of 1–10 ha−1. Photogrammetric approaches could provide much-needed information required to calibrate and validate the vegetation models and satellite-derived biomass products that are essential to understand vulnerable and understudied non-forested ecosystems around the globe.
Refugee reception in Germany is a primarily municipal task that relies heavily on neighborhood-based volunteering. This paper asserts that there are fundamental spatial mismatches between municipal policies and neighborhood-based approaches that place additional burden on all of the stakeholders involved. Drawing from the case of Frankfurt-Rödelheim, which is a socially and ethnically mixed neighborhood in Frankfurt am Main, I show how the way the municipality accommodates refugees disregards the politically embraced work of neighborhood-based volunteers and how the ideal of neighborhood-based inclusion creates a spatial fetish that fails the living reality of the refugees. The findings are based on my ethnographic fieldwork as volunteer in a neighborhood-based welcome initiative.