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Interview with Markus Habbel, Principal McKinsey & Company. IN THE ACTUAL CRISIS, ENTERPRISES FACE DWINDLING FINANCIAL RESOURCES AND
THE BOTTOM FALLS OUT OF A LOT OF BUSINESS. CHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICERS (CFOs) ARE IN THE EYE OF THE STORM. HOW DOES THEIR ROLE CHANGE?
We model the dynamics of ask and bid curves in a limit order book market using a dynamic semiparametric factor model. The shape of the curves is captured by a factor structure which is estimated nonparametrically. Corresponding factor loadings are assumed to follow multivariate dynamics and are modelled using a vector autoregressive model. Applying the framework to four stocks traded at the Australian Stock Exchange (ASX) in 2002, we show that the suggested model captures the spatial and temporal dependencies of the limit order book. Relating the shape of the curves to variables reflecting the current state of the market, we show that the recent liquidity demand has the strongest impact. In an extensive forecasting analysis we show that the model is successful in forecasting the liquidity supply over various time horizons during a trading day. Moreover, it is shown that the model’s forecasting power can be used to improve optimal order execution strategies.
The utility-maximizing consumption and investment strategy of an individual investor receiving an unspanned labor income stream seems impossible to find in closed form and very dificult to find using numerical solution techniques. We suggest an easy procedure for finding a specific, simple, and admissible consumption and investment strategy, which is near-optimal in the sense that the wealthequivalent loss compared to the unknown optimal strategy is very small. We first explain and implement the strategy in a simple setting with constant interest rates, a single risky asset, and an exogenously given income stream, but we also show that the success of the strategy is robust to changes in parameter values, to the introduction of stochastic interest rates, and to endogenous labor supply decisions.
Zum Gegenstand der Polizeiwissenschaft gehörte – jedenfalls unter der Herrschaft eines weiten Polizeibegriffs – auch die staatliche Sorge für die Wirtschaft. Die Herausbildung der Wirtschaft als eines eigenständigen gesellschaftlichen Teilsystems, also eines sozialen Bereichs, für den die Geltung von Leitprinzipien eigener Art beansprucht wird, fällt auf das Ende des 18. Jahrhunderts. Am Beginn der nachhaltigen Durchsetzung eines staatsunabhängigen wirtschaftlichen Denkens steht das Werk von Adam Smith, der die klassische Nationalökonomie begründete. Die Polizeiwissenschaft traf nun auf einen Gegenstand, für den eine überaus mächtige Theorie die Erklärungshoheit beanspruchte. Welche Konsequenzen ergaben sich daraus? Dieser Frage soll am Beispiel der staatlichen Kapitalhilfen für Unternehmen nachgegangen werden. ...
We provide explicit solutions to life-cycle utility maximization problems simultaneously involving dynamic decisions on investments in stocks and bonds, consumption of perishable goods, and the rental and the ownership of residential real estate. House prices, stock prices, interest rates, and the labor income of the decision-maker follow correlated stochastic processes. The preferences of the individual are of the Epstein-Zin recursive structure and depend on consumption of both perishable goods and housing services. The explicit consumption and investment strategies are simple and intuitive and are thoroughly discussed and illustrated in the paper. For a calibrated version of the model we find, among other things, that the fairly high correlation between labor income and house prices imply much larger life-cycle variations in the desired exposure to house price risks than in the exposure to the stock and bond markets. We demonstrate that the derived closed-form strategies are still very useful if the housing positions are only reset infrequently and if the investor is restricted from borrowing against future income. Our results suggest that markets for REITs or other financial contracts facilitating the hedging of house price risks will lead to non-negligible but moderate improvements of welfare.
In this paper, we analyze economies of scale for German mutual fund complexes. Using 2002-2005 data of 41 investment management companies, we specify a hedonic translog cost function. Applying a fixed effects regression on a one-way error component model there is clear evidence of significant overall economies of scale. On the level of individual mutual fund complexes we find significant economies of scale for all of the companies in our sample. With regard to cost efficiency, we find that the average mutual fund complexes in all size quartiles deviate considerably from the best practice cost frontier. JEL Classification: G2, L25 Keywords: mutual fund complex, investment management company, cost efficiency, economies of scale, hedonic translog cost function, fixed effects regression, one-way error component model